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AMRZ

Current
Price
$41.63
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Next earnings
Jan 28, 2027
Next earnings is estimate
Yes
Company name
Amrize
Sector
Building materials
About
Amrize sells building materials in North America. Holcim spun it off in June 2025, and its shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange and the SIX Swiss Exchange. It has two segments. Building Materials makes and sells cement, aggregates and ready-mix concrete. Building Envelope sells commercial and residential roofing and other products for the outside of buildings. Amrize has more than 1,000 sites and serves every US state and Canadian province. Its customers build infrastructure, commercial buildings, homes and large projects such as data centers and factories. Revenues were $11.8 billion in 2025. In Q3 2026, Building Materials had revenues of $2,842 million and Building Envelope had revenues of $929 million.
Thesis
The market prices Amrize for higher costs, flat cement prices and many changes in its management. Oil prices raised freight, diesel and raw material costs through 2026. In August 2026, Amrize revised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $3.1 billion to $3.2 billion because of these costs. In October 2026, it cut the guidance to $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion. In Q3 2026, revenues rose only 2.2%, and the adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 28.5% from 29.1%. Amrize now expects Building Envelope to reach positive price against cost only in 2027. In 2026, Amrize also changed its CFO twice, appointed a new chief accounting officer, replaced the president of Building Envelope and revised earlier financial statements to correct small errors. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Price increases and surcharges must catch up with costs; Amrize expects Building Materials to be price-cost positive in Q4 2026. Aggregates prices must keep rising at mid-single-digit rates, and demand from data centers, energy and factories must bring cement and aggregates volumes back to growth. The new finance team must meet its guidance with no more cuts. The Q3 2026 report failed the first test. The full-year 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in early 2027, are the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a slowdown in US construction, which would lower volumes and prices together.
Risks
Demand for cement, aggregates and roofing depends on US and Canadian construction. Higher interest rates or a weak housing market can lower volumes and prices. Energy and freight are large costs. In Q2 2026, oil prices raised freight, diesel and raw material costs, and the adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 28.2% from 29.0%. In Q3 2026, the margin fell to 28.5% from 29.1%, Building Envelope adjusted EBITDA fell 14.6%, and Amrize cut its 2026 guidance. If prices do not catch up with costs, margins can fall further. Amrize changed its CFO twice in 2026, appointed a new chief accounting officer in September 2026 and replaced the president of Building Envelope. In October 2026, it also revised earlier financial statements to correct errors that it called not material. Frequent changes in finance leaders can reduce confidence in guidance and controls. Gross debt was $5.8 billion at September 30, 2026, with $1.61 billion due within 12 months, including $904 million of short-term borrowings. Higher rates raise the cost to refinance this debt.
Balance sheet
Cash: $299M Debt: $5.8B Net debt: $5.5B Net debt / EBITDA: 1.8× (low) Interest cover: 5.6× Debt due within 12 months: $1.6B Amrize funds its operations with senior unsecured notes, commercial paper and a revolving credit facility. At September 30, 2026, gross debt was $5,848 million: $904 million of short-term borrowings, $708 million of long-term debt due within one year and $4,236 million of long-term debt. Cash was $299 million, so net debt was $5,549 million. Cash fell from $1,922 million at December 31, 2025. In the first nine months of 2026, Amrize paid $750 million for buybacks, $364 million for dividends and $773 million for capital expenditures, and free cash flow was a use of $551 million. The company's net leverage ratio, net debt divided by adjusted EBITDA of $3,032 million for the 12 months to September 2026, was 1.8 times. Interest cover is operating income divided by net interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. Amrize expects net interest expense of about $340 million and capital expenditures of about $900 million in 2026. It generates most of its cash flow in the second half of the year, and free cash flow was $435 million in Q3 2026. Its $2 billion revolving credit facility had nothing drawn at June 30, 2026; the Q3 2026 release does not say how much of it was drawn at September 30, 2026. As of Sep 30, 2026.
Checkpoints
Oct 28, 2026: Q3 2026 earnings: price against cost. Failed. Watch: Results on track for adjusted EBITDA of $3.1 billion to $3.2 billion, with better price against cost than in the first half, pass; a cut to the guidance fails. Outcome: Amrize cut its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion because of cost inflation and high interest rates. Jan 28, 2027 (estimate): Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance. Pending. Watch: 2027 guidance for adjusted EBITDA growth with higher cement and aggregates prices passes; guidance for flat or lower adjusted EBITDA fails.
Recent events
Oct 28, 2026: Amrize reported Q3 2026 results. Revenues rose 2.2% to $3,771 million. Net income rose 3.3% to $558 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose 0.2% to $1,076 million. Cement volumes fell 4.2% because of weather, and cement prices rose 1.8% in constant currency. Aggregates prices rose 6.9%. Building Envelope adjusted EBITDA fell 14.6% because of higher freight and raw material costs. Amrize cut its 2026 guidance to revenues of $12.2 billion to $12.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion, because of cost inflation and high interest rates. It completed its $1 billion share buyback on October 28, 2026, and it completed the purchase of Rapid Redi-Mix, a ready-mix concrete company in Dallas-Fort Worth. It also revised earlier financial statements to correct errors that it called not material, including an extended warranty misstatement. Oct 14, 2026: Amrize said it will release its Q3 2026 results on October 28, 2026, after the US market closes, and hold its webcast on October 29, 2026. Sep 11, 2026: Amrize appointed Mario Gross as President, Building Envelope. Jake Gosa, the former president, gave notice of his resignation on September 6, 2026, and stays an employee during his 12-month notice period. Aug 28, 2026: The board appointed Zane Nielsen as Chief Accounting Officer and Corporate Controller from September 1, 2026, replacing Richard Hoffman in that role. Aug 24, 2026: Amrize appointed Samuel J. Poletti, its Chief Strategy and M&A Officer, as CFO. He succeeded Baris Oran, who had become CFO on April 1, 2026. Aug 6, 2026: Amrize reported Q2 2026 results. Revenues rose 8.6% to $3,494 million, with organic growth of 6.7%. Net income rose 14.4% to $476 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose 5.8% to $986 million. Amrize returned $502 million to shareholders. It raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.5 billion to $12.7 billion and set adjusted EBITDA guidance at $3.1 billion to $3.2 billion, because of cost inflation from oil prices. May 4, 2026: Amrize paid a special dividend of $0.44 per share for 2025, and on May 20, 2026, it paid its first quarterly dividend of $0.11 per share. In Q2 2026, it also launched a $1 billion share buyback program and bought back $197 million of shares.
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