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AMT

Current
Price
$190.24
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Next earnings
Jan 27, 2027
Next earnings is estimate
Yes
Company name
American Tower
Sector
Tower & data center REIT
About
American Tower is one of the largest global real estate investment trusts (REITs). It owns, operates and develops communications sites, mostly towers, and leases space on them to wireless carriers and other tenants under long contracts. It has more than 148,000 sites in the United States and Canada, Latin America, Africa and Asia Pacific, and Europe. It also owns US data centers through CoreSite, which has many interconnections between networks and cloud providers. For 2026, it expects property revenue of $10,785 million to $10,865 million, of which $5,085 million to $5,095 million comes from the United States and Canada and $1,218 million to $1,228 million from data centers. As a REIT, it pays out most of its taxable income as dividends.
Thesis
The market prices American Tower for slow growth in its largest market and for its debt. In the United States and Canada, organic tenant billings grow only about 0.5% in 2026, and property revenue there falls about 3% at the midpoint of guidance. All revenue from DISH Wireless counts as churn from January 1, 2026. American Tower ended its DISH agreement in June 2026, DISH filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on June 30, 2026, and American Tower continues to seek relief. Total debt was $37.58 billion at September 30, 2026, and net leverage was 4.9 times annualized adjusted EBITDA, so higher interest rates raise its costs. Revenue from emerging markets also moves with exchange rates. For the gap to close, three things must be true. US carriers must increase their spending on new equipment, so that US organic tenant billings grow again in 2027. CoreSite must keep its data center growth near the 16% expected for 2026. American Tower must reach its 2026 AFFO guidance of $11.04 to $11.16 per share and keep net leverage near 5 times. The 2027 outlook with the Q4 2026 report, expected in early 2027, is the main test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next three to five quarters. The main reason it may not close is weak spending by US carriers, which leaves tower revenue flat.
Risks
A few large wireless carriers give most of the US revenue. Carrier mergers, lower spending or the loss of a tenant can reduce growth. DISH stopped being a source of revenue in 2026 and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on June 30, 2026, and US organic tenant billings grow only about 0.5% this year. Total debt was $37.58 billion at September 30, 2026, and net leverage was 4.9 times. About $5.4 billion was due within 12 months, of which $1.0 billion was repaid on October 14, 2026. Higher interest rates raise the cost of refinancing. Latin America, Africa and Asia Pacific give a large part of revenue in local currencies. Weaker currencies, inflation or tenant problems in these markets can lower results. Organic tenant billings in Latin America fall about 3% in 2026. The data center business needs large investments and much power. Delays in power supply or lower demand from cloud and AI customers can slow its growth.
Balance sheet
Cash: $1.9B Debt: $37.6B Net debt: $35.7B Net debt / EBITDA: 4.9× (high) Interest cover: 3.5× Undrawn credit line: $8.7B Debt due within 12 months: $5.4B American Tower funds its towers and data centers with senior unsecured notes, bank loans and revolving credit facilities. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $37.58 billion, and cash was $1.87 billion, so net debt was $35.71 billion. The company states net leverage of 4.9 times net debt to Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA multiplied by four. About $5.36 billion of long-term obligations were current at September 30, 2026. On September 14, 2026, it issued $1.6 billion of new notes due 2031 to 2036 and repaid $600 million of notes. On October 14, 2026, it repaid $1.0 billion of notes at maturity. Total liquidity was about $10.6 billion at September 30, 2026, including about $8.7 billion available under its revolving credit facilities. Interest cover is operating income divided by interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. It pays a quarterly dividend of $1.79 per share, and on October 23, 2026, the board added $2.0 billion to its share repurchase program. As of Sep 30, 2026.
Checkpoints
Oct 27, 2026: Q3 2026 earnings: US leasing and data centers. Passed. Watch: AFFO per share on track for the $11.00 to $11.17 guidance and steady data center growth pass; a cut to the guidance fails. Outcome: AFFO per share rose 3.2% to $2.87, data center cash revenue grew 16.3%, and the company raised its 2026 AFFO outlook to $11.04 to $11.16 per share. Jan 27, 2027 (estimate): Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 outlook: US organic growth. Pending. Watch: A 2027 outlook with higher US organic tenant billings growth than the about 0.5% of 2026 and AFFO per share growth passes; flat or lower AFFO per share fails.
Recent events
Nov 9, 2026: American Tower priced $1.5 billion of senior notes: $450 million of 5.300% notes due 2031, $500 million of 5.560% notes due 2033 and $550 million of 5.750% notes due 2036. They add to the notes of the same series that it issued on September 14, 2026. It expects net proceeds of $1,474.9 million. It will use them to repay borrowings under its $6.0 billion revolving credit facility and for general corporate purposes. Oct 27, 2026: American Tower reported Q3 2026 results. Total revenue rose 2.5% to $2,785 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose 0.9% to $1,832 million. Organic tenant billings grew 1.1%, and data center cash revenue grew 16.3%. AFFO per share rose 3.2% to $2.87. The company raised its 2026 outlook for the third time, to AFFO of $11.04 to $11.16 per share. It also said that the sale of its Canadian towers is for about CAD 288 million, or about $202 million, and it expects the sale to close in Q4 2026. Oct 23, 2026: The board authorized an additional $2.0 billion of share repurchases. About $1.1 billion was still available under the earlier program on October 20, 2026. American Tower bought back about 1.8 million shares for about $315 million in Q3 2026. Sep 18, 2026: American Tower declared a dividend of $1.79 per share, payable on October 20, 2026. The board also elected Kristen M. Ludgate, the former Chief People Officer of HP, as a director. Sep 14, 2026: American Tower issued $1.6 billion of senior notes: $500 million of 5.300% notes due 2031, $500 million of 5.560% notes due 2033 and $600 million of 5.750% notes due 2036. Aug 27, 2026: CVC DIF said that its company Aurora Towers agreed to buy American Tower's Canadian tower business of 255 wireless sites. The parties did not disclose the price. They expect the sale to close in Q4 2026, after regulatory approvals. Jul 28, 2026: American Tower reported Q2 2026 results. Total revenue rose 4.7% to $2,749 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose 3.2% to $1,808 million. AFFO per share rose 4.2% to $2.71. CoreSite had record leasing activity. The company raised its 2026 outlook for the second time, to AFFO of $11.00 to $11.17 per share. Jun 15, 2026: American Tower sold its subsidiary in the Philippines for $75.6 million. On June 29, 2026, it also sold its controlling interest in a tower company in Bangladesh for $6.9 million. Jun 2, 2026: American Tower ended its 2021 Strategic Collocation Agreement with DISH Wireless. All DISH revenue already counts as churn from January 1, 2026, so the company does not expect an impact on its 2026 results. It continues to sue DISH over its obligations under the agreement.
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