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View the full Nov 4, 2026 version
Price
$40.04 → $45.89(+14.6%)
Next earnings
Nov 3, 2026 → Feb 3, 2027
Next earnings is estimate
No → Yes
About
Fortune Brands Innovations makes home, security and digital products for houses and commercial buildings. It reports three segments. Water Innovations sells faucets, showers and water products under brands such as Moen, House of Rohl, Aqualisa and SpringWell, and it is the largest segment. Outdoors sells entry doors and storm doors under the Therma-Tru and Larson brands, and composite decking under Fiberon, which it agreed to sell in October 2026. Security sells locks and safes under Master Lock, SentrySafe and Yale residential. Demand comes mainly from repair and remodel work on homes and from new home construction, and the company also sells outside the US. added: In November 2026, it said that it will exit its commercial business in China by Q3 2027.
Thesis
Fortune Brands trades at a discount because its sales fall with a weak US housing market and because the market doubts that the new management can fix execution. added: In Q3 2026, sales fell 3.1%, Water Innovations sales fell 5.5%, and the operating margin before charges fell to 14.0% from 17.9%. The company added: now expects 2026 removed: sales added: EPS before charges of $3.20 to added: $3.30, down from $3.22 to $3.52, and this includes one-time tariff refunds and a $0.28 net tax benefit. It expects new single-family construction to fall by a removed: low added: mid to high single-digit removed: percentage, with US added: percentage in 2026 and repair and remodel spending removed: down and new single-family construction down added: to fall by a removed: mid added: low single-digit percentage. In March 2026, after talks with shareholders, Amit Banati gave up his planned move to CEO, an interim CEO took over, and Ed Garden of Garden Investments joined the Board under a cooperation agreement. Jesse Singh, the former CEO of AZEK, became CEO on June 29, 2026, and removed: Peter Clifford became CFO on September 21, 2026. In August 2026, the added: calls his plan a multi-year turnaround. The company removed: raised added: agreed to sell Fiberon for $160 million, will exit its removed: 2026 EPS outlook added: commercial business in China and will reduce the EMEA operations of a Water business. Together these units lose about $50 million to removed: $3.22 to $3.52 before charges, but this includes $0.52 added: $55 million a year on revenue of removed: one-time tariff refunds, so the outlook without refunds fell. added: $320 million to $330 million. It also removed: wrote down Fiberon by $221 added: expects $70 million removed: and now sells it for $160 million. added: of annual SG&A savings by Q1 2027. For the gap to close, sales in Water Innovations must return to growth, the operating margin before charges must rise without added: one-time items, the removed: tariff refunds, the new leaders added: exits and savings must removed: show a clear plan with cost cuts, added: arrive on time, and lower mortgage rates must help the housing market. The removed: first test is the Q3 2026 report on November 3, 2026. The full-year report and the 2027 removed: outlook added: outlook, expected in added: early February removed: 2027 added: 2027, will give the new team's first full plan. If execution improves, the gap can close over the next four to eight quarters. The main risk is a housing market that stays weak for longer.
Risks
Demand depends on US home repair and remodel spending and on new home construction. The company expects removed: both added: new single-family construction to fall added: by a mid to high single-digit percentage in removed: 2026. added: 2026 and repair and remodel spending to fall by a low single-digit percentage. High mortgage rates keep home sales low, and fewer home sales lead to fewer remodels. The leadership team is new. The company had an interim CEO from March 16 to June 29, 2026, a new CFO from September 21, 2026, and removed: an interim added: a new Chief removed: Legal Officer. added: Information Officer from November 2, 2026. In October 2026, it also changed the leaders of Moen and House of Rohl. The new team must improve execution while it removed: spends more on service added: exits weak businesses and removed: growth. added: cuts costs. The company imports many products and parts, and tariffs raise its landed product cost. Tariff refunds add removed: about $81 million to 2026 removed: operating income, added: earnings, but these refunds are one-time income. New tariffs can raise costs again. Commodity costs rose in 2026. If the company cannot raise prices enough, its margins fall. Large retail customers also have strong buying power. The Fiberon sale needs regulatory approval and can fail. If it closes, the company receives only $160 million after impairments of about $400 million or more on the business. added: The exits from China and from part of EMEA bring more charges until late 2027.
Balance sheet
Cash: removed: $210M added: $231M Debt: removed: $2.6B added: $2.3B Net debt: removed: $2.4B added: $2.1B EBITDA, last 12 months: removed: $881M added: $830M Net debt / EBITDA: removed: 2.7× added: 2.5× (medium) Undrawn credit line: removed: $858M, added: $1.1B, to January 2031 Last debt due: 2052 At removed: June 27, added: September 26, 2026, Fortune Brands had removed: $210 added: $231 million of cash and removed: about $2.57 billion added: $2,297 million of removed: debt: $2.2 billion added: long-term debt, down from $2,545 million at December 27, 2025. Most of added: the debt is senior added: notes. At June 27, 2026, the notes removed: and $374 million of commercial paper. The notes are added: were $700 million at 3.250% due September 2029, $450 million at 4.000% due March 2032, $600 million at 5.875% due June 2033 and $450 million at 4.500% due March removed: 2052. The added: 2052, and the company removed: shows added: showed its commercial paper as long-term removed: debt, added: debt because its revolving credit facility backs it. The company reports net debt of removed: $2.34 billion, based on the carrying value of debt, added: $2.07 billion and net debt of removed: 2.7 added: 2.5 times EBITDA before charges for the 52 weeks to removed: June 27, added: September 26, 2026. EBITDA here is that figure, removed: $880.5 added: $829.6 million. Its $1.25 billion revolving credit facility runs to January removed: 2031, had no borrowings, added: 2031 and requires net debt below 3.5 times EBITDA and EBITDA above 3.0 times interest. removed: The company had about $858 million added: About $1.1 billion was available on the removed: facility. added: facility at September 26, 2026. In removed: Q2 added: Q3 2026, removed: it added: the company made removed: $179 added: $331 million of free cash flow and bought back removed: $2 added: $40 million of shares. It expects removed: $370 added: $380 million to removed: $420 added: $410 million of free cash flow in 2026. The sale of Fiberon for $160 million in cash, if it closes, adds to cash. As of removed: Jun 27, added: Sep 26, 2026.
Checkpoints
Nov 3, 2026: Q3 2026 results: sales trend and margins. removed: Pending. added: Failed. Watch: Water Innovations sales that fall less than in Q2, a higher margin before charges without tariff refunds and the 2026 outlook kept pass; another sales decline of more than 4% or an outlook cut fails. added: Outcome: Water Innovations sales fell 5.5%, less than the 6.5% of Q2, but the operating margin before charges fell to 14.0% from 17.9% and the company cut its 2026 EPS outlook to $3.20 to $3.30. Dec 2026 (estimate): Fiberon sale closes. Pending. Watch: The sale closes within the expected 60 days for $160 million in cash passes; a failed approval or a lower price fails. Feb added: 3, 2027 (estimate): Full-year 2026 results and the new team's 2027 outlook. Pending. Watch: removed: A added: 2026 EPS before charges inside the $3.20 to $3.30 outlook and a 2027 outlook with sales growth, margin expansion and removed: a clear cost plan passes; added: the $70 million of SG&A savings pass; another year of falling sales and margins fails.
Recent events
added: Nov 3, 2026: Fortune Brands reported Q3 2026 results. Sales fell 3.1% to $1.11 billion, and Water Innovations sales fell 5.5%. GAAP EPS was $0.42, after a $0.47 asset impairment charge. EPS before charges was $1.14, including a $0.28 net tax benefit and $0.14 of net tariff refunds. The operating margin before charges fell to 14.0% from 17.9%. Free cash flow was $331 million, and the company bought back $40 million of shares. It cut its 2026 outlook to sales of $4,205 million to $4,275 million and EPS before charges of $3.20 to $3.30. It will exit its commercial business in China by Q3 2027 and reduce the EMEA operations of a Water business by Q4 2027. Oct added: 27, 2026: Fortune Brands named David Barry, its Chief Operating Officer, President of Moen. House of Rohl now reports directly to the CEO. Peter DuBois joined as Chief Information Officer on November 2, 2026. Oct 15, 2026: Fortune Brands agreed to sell its Fiberon composite decking business to a subsidiary of Inteplast Group for $160 million in cash. It expects to close within 60 days, subject to regulatory approval. It expects an additional non-cash impairment of about $175 million to $205 million, after a $221 million impairment of Fiberon at June 27, 2026. Sep 9, 2026: Fortune Brands named Peter Clifford CFO, effective September 21, 2026. He was CFO and Chief Operations Officer of AZEK and CFO of Filtration Group. Aug 4, 2026: Fortune Brands reported Q2 2026 results. Sales fell 4.1% to $1.15 billion. GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.19, with a $1.44 impairment charge and a $0.52 benefit from tariff refunds. EPS before charges was $1.35. Water Innovations sales fell 6.5%. It raised its 2026 EPS outlook before charges to $3.22 to $3.52 from $3.00 to $3.30, which includes $0.52 of tariff refunds and new spending to improve execution. Jul 24, 2026: The Chief Legal Officer, Hiranda Donoghue, agreed to leave the company on July 31, 2026. Jun 29, 2026: Fortune Brands appointed Jesse Singh as CEO. He led AZEK from 2016 to 2025. The interim CEO, David Barry, became Chief Operating Officer. The Board Chair took direct oversight of the Fiberon business during its strategic review. May 7, 2026: Fortune Brands reported Q1 2026 results. Sales fell 2% to $1.0 billion. EPS before charges fell 20% to $0.53. It cut its 2026 EPS outlook before charges to $3.00 to $3.30 from $3.35 to $3.65, because of higher commodity costs and more cautious consumers.