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VZ changes

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View the full Oct 31, 2026 version
Price
$44.79 → $46.60(+4.0%)
Discount category
Below intrinsic value → Close to intrinsic value
Next earnings
Oct 26, 2026 → Jan 26, 2027
Next earnings is estimate
No → Yes
About
Verizon provides wireless phone service, home broadband and network services, mostly in the United States. Its largest business is postpaid mobile service for consumers and businesses. It also sells fiber broadband and fixed wireless access broadband. It bought Frontier Communications on January 20, 2026, which expanded its fiber network to 31 states and Washington, D.C., and it bought Starry on January 30, 2026. Revenue was $138.2 billion in 2025. At removed: June added: September 30, 2026, Verizon had about removed: 17.1 added: 17.4 million added: broadband connections, from fixed wireless access and removed: fiber broadband connections. added: fiber. Dan Schulman is CEO.
Thesis
The market prices Verizon for slow growth and high debt. Total operating revenue removed: fell 0.7% added: rose only 1.5% in removed: Q2 added: Q3 2026, because equipment revenue fell removed: by more than $1.2 billion added: 9.0% as customers kept their phones longer and Verizon cut device subsidies. removed: Verizon expects wireless service revenue to be about flat in 2026. Unsecured debt was removed: $136.5 added: $136.1 billion at removed: June added: September 30, 2026, and the wireless market has strong price competition. added: Results improved during 2026. Mobility and broadband service revenue growth rose from 1.6% in Q1 to 2.8% in Q2 and 2.9% in Q3, and postpaid phone net additions were 406,000 in Q3. Verizon raised its 2026 guidance for the third time. It now expects 1.1 million to 1.2 million postpaid phone net additions and free cash flow growth near 12%. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Mobility and broadband service revenue growth must rise to about 4% in Q4 2026, as Verizon expects, removed: from 2.8% added: and stay near that level in removed: Q2. Postpaid phone net additions added: 2027. The subscriber gains must removed: reach the upper half of the 750,000 to 1.0 million range for 2026. added: continue without price cuts that lower margins. Free cash flow must removed: grow 9% to 10% in 2026, added: keep growing, so that Verizon can pay its dividend, buy back removed: up to $4.5 billion of shares and reduce debt. The removed: Q3 2026 report on October 26, 2026 gives the first test. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 removed: guidance added: guidance, expected in added: late January removed: 2027 show whether growth continues. added: 2027, are the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a price war in wireless, which can stop the subscriber gains or lower margins.
Risks
The wireless market has strong price competition. If competitors cut prices or raise promotions, Verizon can lose its subscriber gains or must accept lower margins. Unsecured debt was removed: $136.5 added: $136.1 billion at removed: June added: September 30, 2026. Higher interest rates increase the cost to refinance it, and the debt limits the money left for buybacks. Verizon is changing its business model, with lower device subsidies and large cost cuts. Q2 2026 included $397 million of severance charges and $258 million of asset charges. If the changes harm customer service, churn can rise. The joint venture with BT needs regulatory approvals. A delay or new conditions can change its value.
Balance sheet
Cash: removed: $1.8B added: $4.5B Debt: removed: $136.5B added: $136.1B Net debt: removed: $134.7B added: $131.6B Net debt / EBITDA: removed: 2.5× added: 2.3× (medium) Interest cover: removed: 3.9× added: 4.1× Verizon funds its business with unsecured notes and other debt in several currencies. At removed: June added: September 30, 2026, unsecured debt was removed: $136.5 added: $136.1 billion, down from removed: $142.5 added: $136.5 billion at removed: March 31, added: June 30, 2026, and cash was removed: $1.75 added: $4.50 billion. added: Total debt was $166.2 billion, and $23.9 billion of it matures within one year. Net unsecured debt as Verizon defines it was removed: $128.7 added: $123.7 billion, and net unsecured debt to consolidated adjusted EBITDA was removed: 2.5 added: 2.3 times. Interest cover is operating income divided by interest expense for the first removed: six added: nine months of 2026. Free cash flow was removed: $10.2 added: $18.0 billion in the first removed: half added: nine months of 2026, up removed: 16.0%. added: 14.3%. As of removed: Jun added: Sep 30, 2026.
Checkpoints
Oct 26, 2026: Q3 2026 earnings: service revenue growth. removed: Pending. added: Passed. Watch: Mobility and broadband service revenue growth near 3% and positive postpaid phone net additions pass; slower service revenue growth or a guidance cut fails. added: Outcome: Mobility and broadband service revenue rose 2.9%, postpaid phone net additions were 406,000 and Verizon raised its 2026 guidance for the third time. Jan added: 26, 2027 (estimate): Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance. Pending. Watch: Service revenue growth near 4% in Q4 2026 and 2027 guidance for free cash flow growth pass; growth below 3% or lower free cash flow guidance fails.
Recent events
added: Oct 26, 2026: Verizon reported Q3 2026 results. Mobility and broadband service revenue rose 2.9% to about $23.5 billion, and postpaid phone net additions were 406,000. Postpaid phone churn fell to 0.94%. EPS was $1.25, adjusted EPS was $1.31 and adjusted EBITDA was a record $13.8 billion. Free cash flow was $7.8 billion, up 12.1%. Verizon raised its 2026 guidance to adjusted EPS of $5.04 to $5.06, postpaid phone net additions of 1.1 million to 1.2 million and free cash flow growth near 12%. It also signed an agreement with Amazon Web Services that it values at more than $2 billion, for network capacity for AI workloads. Sep 25, 2026: The board elected Charles Phillips, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Recognize Partners, as a director. Jul 24, 2026: Verizon reported Q2 2026 results. Mobility and broadband service revenue rose 2.8% to about $23.4 billion, and postpaid phone net additions were 184,000. Adjusted EPS was $1.30 and adjusted EBITDA was a record $13.7 billion. Net income fell 22.9% to $3.9 billion because of $1.8 billion of special items. Verizon raised its 2026 guidance to adjusted EPS of $4.99 to $5.04 and raised its buyback target to up to $4.5 billion. Jun 28, 2026: Verizon agreed with BT Group to combine their international wireline connectivity and managed network services businesses in a 50/50 joint venture. Verizon will pay $625 million in cash. It expected a loss of $700 million to $800 million in Q2 2026 when it classified its business as held for sale. The deal needs regulatory approvals. Jan 20, 2026: Verizon completed the purchase of Frontier Communications, which expanded its fiber footprint to 31 states and Washington, D.C.