ECLWater & hygiene services
Ecolab
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By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $292.41
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 9 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $82B
- Shares of Jun 30, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 39.2
- Price of Oct 29, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $7.45
- 12 months to Jun 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $243.15 – $309.27
- To Oct 29, 2026
- Beta
- 0.88
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Sep 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.3M
- 3 months, to Oct 29, 2026
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices Ecolab for the cost and debt of its CoolIT deal, and faster organic growth, a higher margin and lower leverage in 2027 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report and 2027 outlook, expected in early February 2027, and the first full year of CoolIT in July 2027 show whether growth and margins pay for the new debt.
Company guidance: Adjusted diluted EPS of $8.10 to $8.20 for 2026 and $2.13 to $2.23 for Q4 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
About
Ecolab sells water, hygiene and infection prevention products and services to customers in more than 170 countries. It has four reportable segments: Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination and Global Life Sciences. Global Water includes Heavy Water, Light Water, High-Tech, Food & Beverage and Paper. High-Tech serves chip factories and data centers.
Ecolab bought Ovivo Electronics, an ultrapure water business for chip factories, on December 16, 2025, and CoolIT Systems, a maker of liquid cooling systems for data centers, on July 2, 2026. Net sales were $13.18 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Ecolab has about 48,000 employees, and its headquarters is in St. Paul, Minnesota.
Thesis
The market prices Ecolab for the cost and the debt of its move into data center cooling. Ecolab paid about $4.75 billion in cash for CoolIT Systems, which the company said is 29 times CoolIT's estimated adjusted EBITDA for the next 12 months. It financed the deal with new debt, so total debt rose to $13.19 billion at September 30, 2026 from $8.24 billion at December 31, 2025. Amortization and financing costs of CoolIT lowered the 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $8.10 to $8.20, from $8.43 to $8.63 in February 2026.
Commodity costs and disruption in the Middle East also put pressure on margins in 2026. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Organic sales growth must reach the upper end of the 5% to 7% target in 2027, and the adjusted operating income margin must reach 20%, as the company expects. Ovivo Electronics and CoolIT must add about two percentage points to annual organic sales growth one year after each closing, as the company expects.
Ecolab must bring net debt back to about 2 times adjusted EBITDA by the end of the second year after the CoolIT closing, which is mid-2028. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 outlook, expected in early February 2027, are the next test. The first full year of CoolIT, in July 2027, is a second test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters.
The main reason it may not close is slower data center or chip factory spending, which can lower the growth that justified the CoolIT price.
Checkpoints
- Feb 9, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 outlookQ4 adjusted diluted EPS within $2.13 to $2.23 and a 2027 outlook with organic sales growth near the top of 5% to 7% and adjusted EPS growth of 12% to 15% pass; a lower outlook or slower High-Tech growth fail.
- Jul 2027 · est.PendingOne year of CoolITCoolIT and Ovivo Electronics that add about two percentage points to organic sales growth, as the company expects, pass; slower data center sales or a goodwill impairment fail.
Recent events
- October 27, 2026Ecolab reported Q3 2026 results. Reported sales rose 13% to $4.69 billion, and organic sales rose 7%, with volume up 2% and pricing up 5%. Organic sales of Global High-Tech rose 63%. Reported diluted EPS fell 5% to $1.95, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 5% to $2.18, after a headwind of about 10% from CoolIT amortization and financing costs. Ecolab narrowed its 2026 adjusted diluted EPS outlook to $8.10 to $8.20.
- July 28, 2026Ecolab reported Q2 2026 results. Reported sales rose 10% to $4.4 billion, organic sales rose 5%, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 11% to $2.09. Ecolab raised its 2026 adjusted diluted EPS outlook to $8.05 to $8.25, from $8.03 to $8.23. This outlook includes the cost of the CoolIT acquisition.
- July 2, 2026Ecolab completed the acquisition of CoolIT Systems. CoolIT designs and makes liquid cooling systems for data centers, such as coolant distribution units and cold plates. The business is now part of the Global Water segment.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- May 29, 2026Ecolab sold $5.0 billion of senior notes: $1.2 billion of 4.600% notes due 2029, $900 million of 4.800% notes due 2031, $1.5 billion of 5.150% notes due 2033 and $1.4 billion of 5.350% notes due 2036. It used the money for the CoolIT acquisition and for general purposes.
- April 28, 2026Ecolab reported Q1 2026 results. Reported diluted EPS was $1.52, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 13% to $1.70. Ecolab kept its 2026 adjusted diluted EPS outlook of $8.43 to $8.63, before the CoolIT acquisition.
- March 20, 2026Ecolab agreed to buy CoolIT Systems from funds managed by KKR for about $4.75 billion in cash. Ecolab expected CoolIT to have sales of about $550 million in the next 12 months. It expected net debt of about 3 times adjusted EBITDA at the closing and about 2 times by the end of the second year after the closing.
- February 10, 2026Ecolab reported Q4 2025 results. Adjusted diluted EPS rose 15% to $2.08, and adjusted diluted EPS for 2025 was $7.53. Ecolab gave a 2026 adjusted diluted EPS outlook of $8.43 to $8.63. It also expanded its One Ecolab restructuring program, with total restructuring costs of $334 million by the end of 2027.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 9, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ecl-20261027
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ecl-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ecl-20260728
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · ecl-20260507x8k
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · ecl-20260331x10q
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ecl-20260428x8k
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · ecl-20260410x8k
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ecl-20260327x8k
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · ecl-20260220x8k
Risks
- Ecolab paid about 29 times CoolIT's estimated adjusted EBITDA for the next 12 months. CoolIT sells only to data centers. If spending on AI data centers slows, or if competitors win cooling orders, CoolIT's growth can fall short and Ecolab can record an impairment of goodwill. Goodwill was $12.69 billion at September 30, 2026.
- Total debt was $13.19 billion at September 30, 2026, and net interest expense was $124.8 million in Q3 2026, up from $55.3 million a year earlier. More debt leaves less cash for buybacks and other acquisitions until the company lowers leverage.
- Commodity costs rose in 2026, and the conflict in the Middle East disrupted customer operations. Ecolab used price increases and an energy surcharge to keep its organic gross margin stable. If costs rise faster than prices, margins can fall.
- The Institutional business depends on restaurants and hotels. In Q3 2026, the company said that restaurant foot traffic in North America fell by a mid-single-digit percentage. A weaker consumer can lower demand in this business.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $722M
- Debt
- $13.2B
- Net debt
- $12.5B
- Interest cover
- 8.0×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $2.0B
- undrawn, to March 2030
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $12.5B
When the debt is due
Ecolab funds itself with senior notes, commercial paper and bank lines. Total debt was $13.19 billion at September 30, 2026: short-term debt of $1.28 billion and long-term debt of $11.92 billion. It was $8.24 billion at December 31, 2025. The increase came mostly from the $5.0 billion of senior notes that Ecolab sold in May 2026 to buy CoolIT Systems. Cash was $722.3 million at September 30, 2026. Interest cover is operating income divided by net interest expense for the first nine months of 2026. The undrawn credit is the $2.0 billion revolving credit facility, which had no borrowings at June 30, 2026 and expires in March 2030. When it announced CoolIT, Ecolab expected net debt of about 3 times adjusted EBITDA at the closing and about 2 times by the end of the second year after the closing. Cash from operations was $1.18 billion and capital spending was $588.6 million in the first half of 2026. Ecolab bought back shares for $669 million in the first half of 2026.
As of
Show 4 sourcesHide sources
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $292.41)
- Paid per share
- $2.92 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.92 ($0.73 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 37% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 15, 2026, $0.73 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.42 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.52 | |
| 2018 | $1.69 | |
| 2019 | $1.85 | |
| 2020 | $1.89 | |
| 2021 | $1.95 | |
| 2022 | $2.06 | |
| 2023 | $2.16 | |
| 2024 | $2.36 | |
| 2025 | $2.68 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 8.7% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 7.6% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on October 29, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Ecolab
What does Ecolab do?
Ecolab sells water, hygiene and infection prevention products and services to customers in more than 170 countries. It has four reportable segments: Global Water, Global Institutional & Specialty, Global Pest Elimination and Global Life Sciences. Its market cap is $82B at the current price of $292.41.
When does Ecolab report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Ecolab may report on February 9, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.
Is Ecolab stock below its intrinsic value?
Ecolab stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Ecolab?
The latest update is from October 27, 2026. Ecolab reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Ecolab?
Ecolab paid about 29 times CoolIT's estimated adjusted EBITDA for the next 12 months. Total debt was $13.19 billion at September 30, 2026, and net interest expense was $124.8 million in Q3 2026, up from $55.3 million a year earlier. Commodity costs rose in 2026, and the conflict in the Middle East disrupted customer operations.
How much debt and cash does Ecolab have?
At September 30, 2026, Ecolab had $13.2B of debt and $722M of cash.
Does Ecolab pay a dividend?
Yes. Ecolab paid $2.92 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 1.0% at the current price of $292.41. The latest ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
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