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EMEElectrical and mechanical contracting

EMCOR Group

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$666.74
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 25 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$29B
Shares of Oct 23, 2026
Yield at current rate
0.2%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
P/E (trailing)
19.3
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$34.59
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$564.92 – $951.96
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.16
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
419K
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that data center and healthcare building demand can last and that margins hold at today's level, and a steady conversion of the record order book through 2027 can lift its value.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report in February 2027 and its 2027 outlook show whether the order book turns into sales at the margin that management guides.

Company guidance: 2026 revenue $20.6 billion to $21.0 billion; non-GAAP operating margin about 10%; non-GAAP EPS $34.50 to $35.50 (, Q3 2026 results release (8-K))

Price history

About

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EMCOR) is a provider of electrical and mechanical construction and building services. It is based in Norwalk, Connecticut. It builds and services electrical and mechanical systems for mission critical buildings such as data centers, and for healthcare, water and wastewater, institutional and industrial customers.

Its segments include United States electrical construction and facilities services, United States mechanical construction and facilities services and United States building services. Revenue was $5.54 billion in Q3 2026 and $15.32 billion for nine months. Remaining performance obligations were $18.57 billion at September 30, 2026.

Tony Guzzi is Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer. The common stock trades on the NYSE in US dollars. EMCOR files 10-K and 10-Q reports.

Thesis

The price of EMCOR depends on whether demand for data centers and other complex buildings keeps growing, and whether its margin stays near today's level. Remaining performance obligations were $18.57 billion at September 30, 2026, against $12.61 billion a year before. The largest growth was in network and communications, mostly data center contracts. Management raised the guidance for 2026 non-GAAP earnings per share to $34.50 to $35.50 and expects an operating margin of about 10%.

For the price to hold or rise, four things must be true. New awards must keep adding to remaining performance obligations. EMCOR must turn them into revenue without cost overruns on large projects. The operating margin must stay near 10% as revenue grows.

The acquisitions, nine in the first nine months of 2026 for $809.9 million upfront, must earn more than their cost. The Q4 2026 report in late February 2027 and its 2027 outlook are the next tests. If data center spending slows, or if a large project loses money, the price can fall.

Checkpoints

  1. Feb 25, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlookNon-GAAP earnings per share for 2026 are in the guided range of $34.50 to $35.50 and remaining performance obligations stay above $18 billion, and this passes; a miss on either fails.
  2. Apr 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 2027 resultsThe operating margin stays near 10% while revenue grows 10% or more, and this passes; a lower margin or slower growth fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 29, 2026EMCOR reported Q3 2026 results and filed its Form 10-Q. Revenue rose 28.8% to $5.54 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share rose 46.1% to $9.60. It booked a non-cash impairment loss of $34.0 million on identifiable intangible assets. It raised the guidance for 2026 revenue to $20.6 billion to $21.0 billion and for non-GAAP earnings per share to $34.50 to $35.50.
  • October 26, 2026The board of directors of EMCOR authorized an additional $500 million for share repurchases under its existing program.
  • September 30, 2026EMCOR had acquired nine companies in the first nine months of 2026 for upfront consideration of $809.9 million. They include five electrical contractors, two companies in mechanical construction and two in building services. They added revenue of $160.6 million in the period.
Show 1 older event
  • July 30, 2026EMCOR reported Q2 2026 results. It guided 2026 revenue to $20.0 billion to $20.5 billion, non-GAAP operating margin to 9.5% to 9.8% and non-GAAP earnings per share to $32.00 to $33.25. It raised these figures on October 29, 2026.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 25, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 105634)

Risks

  • Growth depends on data centers. The 10-Q says that the largest increase in remaining performance obligations was in network and communications, mostly from several data center construction contracts. If this spending slows, growth and margin can fall.
  • Costs can rise on fixed price work. EMCOR lists scarcity of skilled labor, productivity, supply chain disruption, inflation and tariffs among its risks, and some of its construction projects have a fixed price.
  • Acquisitions can fail to earn their cost. The nine acquisitions of 2026 added operating income of $6.4 million after amortization of $11.9 million in nine months, and EMCOR booked an impairment of $34.0 million in Q3 2026.
  • Commodity prices can change. EMCOR is exposed to prices of copper and steel, and tariffs can change the price of materials.

Balance sheet

Cash
$775M
Debt
$0.0M
Net cash
$775M

Cash against debt

Cash$775M
Debt$0.0M

debt covered by cash

At September 30, 2026, EMCOR had cash and cash equivalents of $774.8 million, against $1,112.0 million at December 31, 2025. It had no direct borrowings under its $1.30 billion revolving credit facility, and letters of credit of $73.4 million reduced the capacity.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
0.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
0.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $666.74)
Paid per share
$1.60 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.60 ($0.40 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
4% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 15, 2026, $0.40 per share

Dividends per share by year

EMCOR Group dividends per share by year
2016
$0.32
2017
$0.32
2018
$0.32
2019
$0.32
2020
$0.32
2021
$0.52
2022
$0.54
2023
$0.69
2024
$0.93
2025
$1.00

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 25.6% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 12.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about EMCOR Group

What does EMCOR Group do?

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EMCOR) is a provider of electrical and mechanical construction and building services. It is based in Norwalk, Connecticut. Its market cap is $29B at the current price of $666.74.

When does EMCOR Group report earnings next?

This is an estimate: EMCOR Group may report on February 25, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.

Is EMCOR Group stock below its intrinsic value?

EMCOR Group stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at EMCOR Group?

The latest update is from October 29, 2026. EMCOR reported Q3 2026 results and filed its Form 10-Q.

What are the main risks for EMCOR Group?

Growth depends on data centers. Costs can rise on fixed price work. Acquisitions can fail to earn their cost.

How much debt and cash does EMCOR Group have?

At September 30, 2026, EMCOR Group had $0.0M of debt and $775M of cash.

Does EMCOR Group pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of EMCOR Group is $1.60 per share. That is a dividend yield of 0.2% at the current price of $666.74. The latest ex-dividend date was October 15, 2026.

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