Skip to content

INCYBiopharmaceuticals

Incyte

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

By

Updated

Price
$122.27
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 9 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$25B
Shares of Oct 22, 2026
P/E (trailing)
62.4
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$1.96
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$89.25 – $132.60
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.78
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
1.6M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for the fast growth of Opzelura and blood cancer drugs at Incyte, and only positive Phase 3 data and approvals through 2027 that replace Jakafi after 2028 can earn this price.
Gap
Can close. The Phase 3 data in Q4 2026 and the US decision on povorcitinib in Q1 2027 show how fast new sales can replace Jakafi, whose patents expire in 2028.

Company guidance: 2026 net sales $5,210 to $5,300 million; Jakafi $3,220 to $3,270 million; Opzelura $1,100 to $1,120 million (, Q3 2026 results release (8-K))

Price history

About

Incyte Corporation (Incyte) is a drug company based in Wilmington, Delaware. Its largest product is Jakafi (ruxolitinib), a treatment for myelofibrosis and other blood diseases. It also sells Opzelura (ruxolitinib cream) for skin diseases and a group of blood cancer products, such as Monjuvi, Niktimvo, Pemazyre and Iclusig.

It earns royalties on products that partners sell, such as Olumiant and Jakavi. Net sales were $1,316 million in Q3 2026 and $3,909 million for nine months. Jakafi made $827 million of the Q3 sales.

Bill Meury is Chief Executive Officer. The common stock trades on Nasdaq in US dollars. Incyte files 10-K and 10-Q reports.

Thesis

The price of Incyte depends on how fast new products and pipeline drugs can replace Jakafi, whose patents expire in mid and late 2028. Jakafi made about 63% of net sales in Q3 2026 and grew only 4%. Opzelura grew 36% and Hematology and Oncology products grew 38%. Incyte bought Vega Therapeutics in July 2026 for $1.25 billion and booked a one-time $1.23 billion expense for it.

For the price to hold or rise, four things must be true. Opzelura and the blood cancer products must keep growing at a fast rate. Povorcitinib must win approval in hidradenitis suppurativa in 2027 and show good Phase 3 data in prurigo nodularis. The mutCALR antibody INCA033989 and the KRAS G12D inhibitor must keep their early results in later trials.

Spending on research must not rise faster than sales. Phase 3 data for povorcitinib and ruxolitinib cream are due in Q4 2026. A US decision on povorcitinib is expected in Q1 2027. If these fail, the loss of Jakafi sales after 2028 will be hard to replace.

Checkpoints

  1. Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarter
    Phase 3 data for povorcitinib in prurigo nodularis and ruxolitinib cream in hidradenitis suppurativaBoth studies meet their main goals, and this passes; a miss in either study fails.
  2. Feb 9, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceNet sales for 2026 are in the raised range of $5,210 million to $5,300 million and the 2027 guidance shows growth outside Jakafi, and this passes; a miss or weak guidance fails.
  3. Q1 2027 · est.Pending
    US decision on povorcitinib in hidradenitis suppurativaThe FDA approves povorcitinib and Incyte launches it in Q1 2027, and this passes; a delay or a refusal fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 29, 2026Incyte reported Q3 2026 results. Total revenue rose 14% to $1.56 billion, and net sales rose 14% to $1.32 billion. It raised its 2026 net sales guidance to $5,210 million to $5,300 million. The release also said that the CHMP gave a positive opinion on povorcitinib in September, and that Incyte agreed with the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in August on Jakafi pricing for state Medicaid programs.
  • October 29, 2026Incyte filed its Form 10-Q for Q3 2026. It showed an acquired in-process research and development expense of $1,231.5 million for Vega. A loss of $784.8 million for the quarter followed. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $3.9 billion.
  • July 6, 2026Incyte completed its purchase of Vega Therapeutics for $1.25 billion in cash. Vega owns latarcibart, an anti-Protein S antibody in Phase 3 for von Willebrand disease. The seller can get up to $750 million more if sales reach milestones.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 9, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 879169)

Risks

  • Jakafi loses patent protection in 2028. The patents on ruxolitinib expire in mid and late 2028. Jakafi made $827 million of Q3 2026 net sales, and generic drugs can cut this sales line quickly.
  • Trials can fail. Incyte spends heavily on Phase 3 trials, and R&D expenses were $2,824.5 million in nine months with the Vega charge. A failed trial costs both money and time.
  • Prices can fall. Incyte signed a pricing agreement for state Medicaid programs, and it says that it expects to avoid some future federal pricing models. Other pricing rules can still reduce sales.
  • Opzelura faces generic challenges. Four makers of generic drugs sent Incyte notice letters about Opzelura, and the case outcomes can change its long-term sales.
  • Milestones can add cost. Incyte may owe up to $750 million to the seller of Vega if sales of latarcibart reach set levels.

Balance sheet

Cash
$3.9B
Debt
$0.0M
Net cash
$3.9B

Cash against debt

Cash$3.9B
Debt$0.0M

debt covered by cash

At September 30, 2026, Incyte had cash and cash equivalents of $3,275.9 million and marketable securities of $578.7 million, which is $3,854.6 million in all. Interest expense was only $1.8 million for nine months, and Incyte has no borrowings.

Dividends

Incyte does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.

Questions about Incyte

What does Incyte do?

Incyte Corporation (Incyte) is a drug company based in Wilmington, Delaware. Its largest product is Jakafi (ruxolitinib), a treatment for myelofibrosis and other blood diseases. Its market cap is $25B at the current price of $122.27.

When does Incyte report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Incyte may report on February 9, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.

Is Incyte stock below its intrinsic value?

Incyte stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Incyte?

The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Incyte reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Incyte?

Jakafi loses patent protection in 2028. Trials can fail. Prices can fall.

How much debt and cash does Incyte have?

At September 30, 2026, Incyte had $0.0M of debt and $3.9B of cash.

Does Incyte pay a dividend?

No. Incyte does not pay a dividend.

Similar companies

  • UNHUnitedHealth GroupShares: Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • APPAppLovinShares: Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Close to intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • PCGPG&EShares: Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Far below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Will probably not close
  • BTIBritish American TobaccoShares: Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Close to intrinsic value
    Gap
    Will probably not close
  • RBGLYReckitt BenckiserShares: Regulation and courts
    Intrinsic value
    Below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close

Loading your notes…

Read it all? Star INCY or pass, then go on to the next one.