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Lithia Motors

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Price
$288.69
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Top pick
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 10 · · estimated
Market cap
$6.2B
Shares of Oct 28, 2026
P/E (trailing)
8.3
Price of Oct 29, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$34.67
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$239.78 – $439.49
To Oct 29, 2026
Beta
1.26
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Sep 30, 2026
Average volume
304K
3 months, to Oct 29, 2026

In short

Thesis
The market prices Lithia Motors for lower profit per vehicle and higher debt, and growth in used vehicles, aftersales and finance income with falling leverage can close the gap over several years.
Gap
Slow. Earnings depend on the car market cycle, so the gap closes over several years as used vehicles, aftersales and finance income grow; the Q4 2026 report in February 2027 is the next test.

About

Lithia Motors, which operates as Lithia & Driveway, is the largest automotive retailer in the world. It sells new and used vehicles, arranges finance and insurance, and offers parts and service through dealerships in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. It also has Driveway, an online sales channel, and Driveway Finance Corporation, which lends to car buyers.

Revenue was a record $37.63 billion in 2025. The company is based in Medford, Oregon.

Thesis

The market prices Lithia Motors for lower profit per vehicle and for more debt. Adjusted net income fell 5% in Q3 2026, although adjusted diluted EPS rose 9% because the company bought back 8.7% of its shares in 2026. Net debt rose to 3.07 times trailing adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, from 2.63 times a year earlier, and trailing adjusted EBITDA fell 4.4%. Tariffs and high interest rates can also lower new vehicle demand and margins.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. Used vehicle and aftersales gross profit must keep growing, as they did in Q3 2026. Driveway Finance must keep growing its income with good credit quality. Net debt to adjusted EBITDA must fall again as earnings grow, while buybacks continue.

The Q4 2026 report, expected in February 2027, gives the next test. Results through 2027 show if earnings can grow while new vehicle margins fall. The gap can close slowly over several years. The main reason it may not close is a weaker car market, which lowers margins and raises leverage.

Checkpoints

  1. Feb 10, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results: earnings and leverageHigher adjusted EPS than the $6.74 of Q4 2025, growth in used vehicle and aftersales gross profit and lower net debt to adjusted EBITDA pass; lower adjusted net income and leverage above 3.1 times fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 21, 2026Lithia reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 3% to a record $9.9 billion. Diluted EPS was $13.22, including a gain on its investment in Pinewood Technologies, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 9% to $10.34. Adjusted net income fell 5% to $229.3 million. Financing Operations income rose 69% to $32.3 million. The company raised its quarterly dividend 7% to $0.75. CEO Bryan DeBoer also became Chairman, and founder Sidney DeBoer became Vice Chairman.
  • July 29, 2026Lithia reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 2% to a record $9.8 billion, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 9% to $10.03. The company bought back 3.7% of its shares in the quarter, added $500 million to its repurchase authorization and raised its quarterly dividend 23% to $0.70.
  • April 29, 2026Lithia reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue rose 1% to $9.3 billion. Diluted EPS fell 46% to $4.28, mainly because of a loss on its investment in Pinewood Technologies, and adjusted diluted EPS fell 7% to $7.34. The company bought back 4.0% of its shares in the quarter.
Show 2 older events
  • February 27, 2026Lithia amended its main credit agreement with U.S. Bank. The facility now runs to February 27, 2031.
  • February 11, 2026Lithia reported 2025 results. Revenue rose 4.0% to a record $37.63 billion, and adjusted diluted EPS rose 15.7% to $33.46. Q4 adjusted diluted EPS fell 12% to $6.74. The company bought back 11.4% of its shares in 2025 and acquired businesses with $2.4 billion of expected annual revenue.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 21, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 10, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · lad-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings release and Other company newsFiled · lad-20261021
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · lad-20260925
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · lad-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings release and Other company newsFiled · lad-20260729
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · lad-20260430
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · lad-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings release and Other company newsFiled · lad-20260429
  • 8-KNew material agreementFiled · lad-20260227
  • 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · lad-20251231

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1023128)

Risks

  • Car sales follow the economy and interest rates. Tariffs, high rates or a recession can lower vehicle demand and gross profit per vehicle. Adjusted net income fell 5% in Q3 2026.
  • Net debt rose to 3.07 times trailing adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, from 2.63 times a year earlier. Floor plan debt also rose to $6.57 billion. Higher debt limits buybacks and acquisitions if earnings fall.
  • Driveway Finance Corporation lends to car buyers. Its receivables grew to $5.58 billion. Higher credit losses in a weaker economy can lower its income.
  • Lithia holds shares of Pinewood Technologies, which cause large gains and losses in reported EPS. Reported EPS can move a lot from quarter to quarter.

Balance sheet

Cash
$184M
Debt
$5.2B
Net debt
$5.0B
Net debt / EBITDA
3.1×
EBITDA $1.6B, last 12 months

Cash against debt

Cash$184M
Debt$5.2B

debt covered by cashnet debt $5.0B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

Lithia funds its vehicle inventory with floor plan debt and its car loans with warehouse facilities and non-recourse notes. Total debt was $16.26 billion at September 30, 2026: $6.57 billion was related to inventory and $4.51 billion to financing operations.

Dividends

Dividend yield
0.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $288.69)
Paid per share
$2.37 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.80 ($0.70 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
7% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 7, 2026, $0.70 per share

Dividends per share by year

Lithia Motors dividends per share by year
2016
$0.95
2017
$1.06
2018
$1.14
2019
$1.19
2020
$1.22
2021
$1.36
2022
$1.61
2023
$1.92
2024
$2.09
2025
$2.18

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 12.4% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 10.2% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on October 29, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Lithia Motors

What does Lithia Motors do?

Lithia Motors, which operates as Lithia & Driveway, is the largest automotive retailer in the world. It sells new and used vehicles, arranges finance and insurance, and offers parts and service through dealerships in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. Its market cap is $6.2B at the current price of $288.69.

When does Lithia Motors report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Lithia Motors may report on February 10, 2027. It last reported results on October 21, 2026.

Is Lithia Motors stock below its intrinsic value?

Lithia Motors stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Lithia Motors?

The latest update is from October 21, 2026. Lithia reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Lithia Motors?

Car sales follow the economy and interest rates. Net debt rose to 3.07 times trailing adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, from 2.63 times a year earlier. Driveway Finance Corporation lends to car buyers.

How much debt and cash does Lithia Motors have?

At September 30, 2026, Lithia Motors had $5.2B of debt and $184M of cash.

Does Lithia Motors pay a dividend?

Yes. Lithia Motors paid $2.37 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.8% at the current price of $288.69. The latest ex-dividend date was August 7, 2026.

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