Skip to content

NETCloud networking & security

Cloudflare

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

By

Updated

Price
$293.75
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Pricey
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 9 · · estimated
History
EPS (trailing)
-$0.67
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$158.83 – $370.35
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.37
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.3M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Cloudflare can turn fast growth into lasting profit, and strong revenue growth with rising margins and free cash flow through 2027 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, shows whether revenue growth stays near 30 percent while the operating margin and free cash flow rise.

Company guidance: Revenue of $2,963.0 million to $2,964.0 million and non-GAAP net income per share of $1.35 for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Cloudflare runs a global network that makes websites, applications and corporate networks faster and more secure. It sells security, performance, networking and developer products, including a platform on which developers build applications and AI agents. At September 30, 2026, its network had co-location facilities in more than 340 cities and over 130 countries.

Its customers range from free users and small businesses to large companies and governments. Revenue was $782.5 million in Q3 2026, and 5,006 paying customers had more than $100,000 of annualized revenue. Its Class A common stock trades on the NYSE.

Thesis

The market doubts that Cloudflare can turn fast growth into lasting profit. Revenue grew 39% in Q3 2026, the fastest rate in nearly four years, but the GAAP operating loss was $67.9 million. Stock-based compensation and related taxes were $174.1 million in the quarter. The GAAP gross margin fell to 71.2% from 74.0% a year earlier, and free cash flow was only $82.1 million, or 10% of revenue.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. Revenue growth must stay near 30% or more in 2027, with dollar-based net retention near the 122% of Q3 2026. The non-GAAP operating margin must keep rising from 17.5%, so that the savings from the workforce reduction of May 2026 show in results. Free cash flow must rise as the new network capacity earns revenue.

The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, gives the next test. Stockholder lawsuits about the Capitalization Changes, which add a non-voting Class C share to each share, can also change the share count and the timing. If growth and margins hold, the gap can close within one to two years.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 5, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 resultsRevenue growth above 30%, a higher non-GAAP operating margin and higher 2026 guidance pass; slower growth or lower guidance fail.Outcome: Revenue grew 39% to $782.5 million, the non-GAAP operating margin rose to 17.5% and 2026 revenue guidance rose to $2,963.0 million to $2,964.0 million.
  2. Feb 9, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceQ4 revenue of $845.0 million or more and 2027 guidance for revenue growth near 30% with a higher operating margin pass; much slower growth guidance or a lower margin fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 5, 2026Cloudflare reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million. The GAAP operating loss was $67.9 million, and non-GAAP operating income was $137.1 million, or 17.5% of revenue. Non-GAAP EPS was $0.38, and free cash flow was $82.1 million. The dollar-based net retention rate was 122%. The company raised its 2026 guidance to revenue of $2,963.0 million to $2,964.0 million and non-GAAP EPS of $1.35.
  • August 13, 2026Cloudflare filed an 8-K for the sale of $2,500.0 million of 0% convertible senior notes due 2031, with net proceeds of $2,462.5 million. In August 2026, it also settled its 0% convertible notes due 2026 at maturity with $1,293.4 million in cash and about 2.2 million shares of Class A common stock.
  • August 6, 2026Cloudflare reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 36% to $696.1 million. The GAAP operating loss was $205.7 million, including restructuring charges, and non-GAAP operating income was $96.1 million. The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $2,864.0 million to $2,870.0 million.
Show 2 older events
  • June 30, 2026Cloudflare stockholders approved the parts of the Capitalization Changes that needed their vote at the 2026 annual meeting. The changes add a non-voting Class C share to each Class A and Class B share and exchange the co-founders' Class B shares for Series FF preferred and Class A shares. Stockholder lawsuits challenge them, and the timing depends on that litigation.
  • May 7, 2026Cloudflare reported Q1 2026 results, with revenue up 34% to $639.8 million. It also announced a plan to move to an agentic AI-first operating model. The plan reduced its workforce by about 20%, with restructuring charges of up to $165 million. The company said the plan was substantially complete at September 30, 2026.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 9, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · cloud-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · cloud-20261105
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · cloud-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · cloud-20260806
  • 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · cloud-20260630
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · cloud-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · cloud-20260507
  • 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · cloud-20251231
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · cloud-20260206

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1477333)

Risks

  • Cloudflare still has GAAP losses. The GAAP operating loss was $335.6 million in the first nine months of 2026, including $161.7 million of restructuring and other charges, and stock-based compensation and related taxes were $442.2 million. If growth slows, GAAP profit comes later.
  • Large cloud providers and security companies sell competing products. Price pressure, slower expansion by existing customers or the loss of large customers can slow revenue growth.
  • Cloudflare has $2.0 billion of 2030 Notes and $2.5 billion of 2031 Notes. It can settle conversions in shares, which dilutes holders. The Capitalization Changes can make the 2030 Notes convertible for a short period.
  • Stockholder lawsuits claim that the Capitalization Changes let the co-founders keep control without enough return to other holders. A court decision can delay, change or stop the changes.
  • Customers depend on Cloudflare's network for their websites, applications and security. A large outage or a security breach can harm its reputation and cause customer losses.

Balance sheet

Cash
$5.1B
Debt
$4.5B
Net cash
$629M

Cash against debt

Cash$5.1B
Debt$4.5B

debt covered by cash

When the debt is due

12 months$0.0M
Later$4.5B

The last debt is due in 2031.

At September 30, 2026, Cloudflare had cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities of $5,128.7 million. Its debt was convertible senior notes with a principal of $4,500.0 million: $2,000.0 million of 2030 Notes and $2,500.0 million of 0% 2031 Notes, which it sold in August 2026.

Dividends

Cloudflare does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Cloudflare

What does Cloudflare do?

Cloudflare runs a global network that makes websites, applications and corporate networks faster and more secure. It sells security, performance, networking and developer products, including a platform on which developers build applications and AI agents.

When does Cloudflare report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Cloudflare may report on February 9, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.

Is Cloudflare stock below its intrinsic value?

Cloudflare stock is pricey. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Cloudflare?

The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Cloudflare reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Cloudflare?

Cloudflare still has GAAP losses. Large cloud providers and security companies sell competing products. Cloudflare has $2.0 billion of 2030 Notes and $2.5 billion of 2031 Notes.

How much debt and cash does Cloudflare have?

At September 30, 2026, Cloudflare had $4.5B of debt and $5.1B of cash.

Does Cloudflare pay a dividend?

No. Cloudflare does not pay a dividend.

Similar companies

  • ANETArista NetworksShares: AI supplier
    Intrinsic value
    Below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • CSCOCisco SystemsShares: AI supplier
    Intrinsic value
    Close to intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • ORCLOracleShares: AI supplier
    Intrinsic value
    Well below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • NVDANvidiaShares: AI supplier
    Intrinsic value
    Well below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Can close
  • TSMTaiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingShares: AI supplier
    Intrinsic value
    Well below intrinsic value
    Gap
    Will probably not close

Loading your notes…

Read it all? Star NET or pass, then go on to the next one.