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SSEZYElectric utility and renewable power

SSE

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$35.89
Intrinsic value
Intrinsic value from an AI estimate
Analysts view
Very bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value (AI estimate)
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Nov 18 ·
History
Market cap
$44B
Shares of May 27, 2026
Yield at current rate
2.6%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
2.6%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
52-week range
$27.93 – $37.51
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.66
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
162K
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

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In short

Thesis
SSE trades above the AI estimate because investors pay for its regulated network growth, and only earnings that rise toward its 2029/30 target can support this price.
Gap
Slow. Only several years of record network investment, regulatory decisions and delivered projects can support the price by lifting earnings to the 2029/30 target, and the exchange rate also moves the ADR price in dollars.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of 168p to 193p for 2026/27 and 225p to 250p for 2029/30; half-year adjusted EPS of 64p to 68p (, Trading update (SSE plc))

Price history

About

SSE plc (SSE) is a British energy company. It owns and runs electricity networks, wind, hydro and solar power, and flexible gas power plants. SSEN Transmission owns the high-voltage grid in the north of Scotland, and SSE holds 75% of it. SSEN Distribution runs local electricity networks.

SSE Renewables runs wind, hydro and solar farms and builds Dogger Bank, an offshore wind farm. SSE Thermal runs flexible gas power plants with capacity market contracts, and Energy Customer Solutions sells energy products and services to business customers in Great Britain and to homes and businesses in Ireland. Regulated electricity networks were 72% of adjusted investment in 2025/26. Their regulatory asset value (RAV), on a 100% basis, was £15.6 billion at March 31, 2026.

For 2025/26, adjusted operating profit was £2,236.6 million and adjusted EPS was 153.5p. SSE plans to invest £33 billion over five years. About 15,000 people work at SSE. The shares in this pick are American depositary receipts (ADRs): SSEZY is a sponsored Level I program with Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas that trades over the counter in US dollars.

One ADR equals one ordinary share (a ratio of 1:1, from SSE's ADR page). SSE is not an SEC filer, so its own English reports are the source. Martin Pibworth is Chief Executive.

Thesis

SSE trades above the AI estimate because investors pay for its regulated network growth, even though it must spend a record amount on networks before its earnings catch up. SSE plans to invest £33 billion over five years, about £5 billion this year. It sold £2 billion of new shares in November 2025, which helped lower adjusted EPS from 161.3p to 153.5p. Adjusted EPS also leaves out a deferred tax charge of 30.7p, so it is higher than the earnings after tax that the accounts show.

SSE earns pounds while the ADR trades in dollars, so the exchange rate moves the ADR price. For the price to hold, three things must be true. Adjusted EPS must reach the guided 168p to 193p for 2026/27 and then 225p to 250p for 2029/30, a rise of 10% to 13% a year. Regulators must keep allowing returns on the new network assets: SSEN Distribution sends its ED3 business plan to the regulator in December 2026, and the 11 major SSEN Transmission projects must be built on time.

And debt must stay near 3.3 times EBITDA while the plan is paid for. The half-year results on November 18, 2026 are the next test.

Valuation

AI estimate, checked by Kevin. How it is made

Show the method

The intrinsic value for SSE is an AI estimate from November 12, 2026. It is not an analyst's value. An AI research agent calculated it from SSE's own English reports on sse.com. SSE is not an SEC filer.

The ADR, SSEZY, is a sponsored Level I program with Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas that trades over the counter in US dollars. One ADR equals one ordinary share (a ratio of 1:1, from SSE's ADR page), so the value is per ADR. The method is a multiple of adjusted EPS for 2026/27, the year to March 31, 2027, in pence, converted to US dollars. Adjusted EPS is SSE's own measure and is after interest.

It leaves out a deferred tax charge, which was 30.7p of the 153.5p for 2025/26, so the multiples are assumptions that allow for it, and the estimate makes no debt adjustment. The Annual Report 2026 gives adjusted EPS of 153.5p for 2025/26 (161.3p the year before, before the £2 billion share placing of November 2025 raised the share count), reported EPS of 105.5p, a full-year dividend of 68.7p, 1,212.2 million shares in issue at March 31, 2026, adjusted net debt and hybrid capital of £10,095.0 million (3.3 times EBITDA), and adjusted EPS guidance of 168p to 193p for 2026/27 and 225p to 250p for 2029/30. The trading update of October 1, 2026 expects half-year adjusted EPS of 64p to 68p, keeps both guidance ranges and expects adjusted net debt and hybrid capital of about £11.5 billion at the half year. The estimate assumes an exchange rate of $1.3349 per pound, the market rate on November 11, 2026.

The 2026/27 adjusted EPS and the multiples are assumptions. The low case assumes 168p, the bottom of the guided range, at 11 times. It gives 1,848p, or $24.67 per ADR. The base case assumes 178p at 13.5 times.

It gives 2,403p, or $32.08 per ADR. The high case assumes 190p at 16 times. It gives 3,040p, or $40.58 per ADR. The estimate assumes weights of 25%, 50% and 25%.

The weighted intrinsic value is $32.35 per ADR.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 18, 2026Pending
    Half-year results: adjusted EPS and net debtAdjusted EPS of 64p to 68p, net debt near £11.5 billion and unchanged full-year guidance pass; a cut to guidance fails.
  2. Dec 2026Pending
    SSEN Distribution ED3 business planA business plan sent to the regulator in December 2026 with investment that raises RAV passes; a delay fails.
  3. May 2027 · est.Pending
    Full-year 2026/27 results: adjusted EPSAdjusted EPS inside the guided 168p to 193p range passes; a result below 168p fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 1, 2026SSE gave a trading update before its half-year results. It expects half-year adjusted EPS of 64p to 68p, adjusted investment about 70% higher than a year before, renewables output about 20% higher, capital investment of about £2.5 billion for the half year, and adjusted net debt and hybrid capital of about £11.5 billion. It repeated its adjusted EPS guidance of 168p to 193p for 2026/27 and 225p to 250p for 2029/30.
  • September 17, 2026SSE paid its final dividend of 47.3p per share. With the interim dividend of 21.4p, the full-year dividend for 2025/26 was 68.7p, up 7% from 64.2p.
  • September 2, 2026SSE held an investor event on SSEN Transmission and published the presentation on its website.
Show 3 older events
  • July 16, 2026SSE gave its Q1 trading statement on the day of its annual general meeting. Investment in networks was up 83% from a year before, renewables output was up 31%, and SSE repeated its adjusted EPS guidance. Coire Glas pumped hydro storage was on the regulator's list of projects it is minded to support with a cap and floor. In the quarter, SSE raised £1.1 billion of hybrid debt at an average cost of 4.6% and £1.3 billion of senior debt at an average cost of 5.1%.
  • July 16, 2026SSE appointed John Pettigrew, a former executive of National Grid, as an independent non-executive director from December 1, 2026.
  • May 28, 2026SSE reported full-year 2025/26 results. Adjusted EPS was 153.5p, down 5% on 161.3p because of the November 2025 share issue, and reported EPS was 105.5p. Adjusted net debt and hybrid capital was £10.1 billion, 3.3 times EBITDA. SSE invested £3,585.6 million on an adjusted basis.

Risks

  • Regulators set the returns on networks, which are about 72% of investment. The ED3 price control for SSEN Distribution starts after the business plan that SSE sends in December 2026, and a lower allowed return would lower earnings growth.
  • SSE must build a record programme on time and on budget, including 11 major SSEN Transmission projects and the second phase of Dogger Bank. Delays or higher costs would lower returns and delay earnings.
  • Renewables profit depends on weather and power prices. SSE expects flat adjusted operating profit from SSE Renewables in 2026/27 as new capacity offsets lower power prices. The Electricity Generator Levy rose from 45% to 55%.
  • Spending is funded by debt and shares. Adjusted net debt and hybrid capital was £10.1 billion, and SSE expects about £11.5 billion at the half year. Scrip dividends add shares unless SSE buys them back.
  • SSE earns pounds while the ADR trades in dollars, over the counter, with less trading than the shares have in London. A weaker pound lowers the ADR price in dollars even when earnings are steady.

Balance sheet

SSE reported adjusted net debt and hybrid capital of £10,095.0 million at March 31, 2026, against £10,066.7 million a year before. The ratio of net debt to EBITDA was 3.3 times, the average debt maturity was 5.7 years, and the average cost of debt, including hybrid coupons, was 4.1%.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
2.6% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
2.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $35.89)
Paid per share
$0.916 in the last 12 months (2 payments)
Current annual rate
$0.916 (the last two payments)
Latest ex-dividend date
July 24, 2026, $0.634 per share

Dividends per share by year

SSE dividends per share by year
2016
$0.855
2017
$1.173
2018
$1.256
2019
$1.239
2020
$1.017
2021
$1.133
2022
$1.098
2023
$1.185
2024
$0.76
2025
$1.125

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 10.5% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about SSE

What does SSE do?

SSE plc (SSE) is a British energy company. It owns and runs electricity networks, wind, hydro and solar power, and flexible gas power plants. Its market cap is $44B at the current price of $35.89.

When does SSE report earnings next?

The company confirmed that it will report on November 18, 2026. It last reported results on May 28, 2026.

Is SSE stock below its intrinsic value?

SSE stock is far above intrinsic value. The source of the intrinsic value is: AI estimate. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at SSE?

The latest update is from October 1, 2026. SSE gave a trading update before its half-year results.

What are the main risks for SSE?

Regulators set the returns on networks, which are about 72% of investment. SSE must build a record programme on time and on budget, including 11 major SSEN Transmission projects and the second phase of Dogger Bank. Renewables profit depends on weather and power prices.

How much debt and cash does SSE have?

SSE reported adjusted net debt and hybrid capital of £10,095.0 million at March 31, 2026, against £10,066.7 million a year before. This is as of March 31, 2026.

Does SSE pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of SSE is $0.916 per share. That is a dividend yield of 2.6% at the current price of $35.89. The latest ex-dividend date was July 24, 2026.

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