UBSBanking & wealth management
UBS Group
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $48.96
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 3 ·
- 52-week range
- $36.30 – $55.99
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 1.18
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.9M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices UBS for much higher Swiss capital rules, and a softer rule from Parliament with the integration targets met at the end of 2026 can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The National Council vote on capital for foreign subsidiaries and the Q4 2026 results on February 3, 2027 decide how much capital UBS can return.
Company guidance: A CET1 capital ratio at or very close to the target of around 14% at the end of 2026 (, Third quarter 2026 report (6-K))
Price history
About
UBS is the largest Swiss bank and one of the largest wealth managers in the world. It has five business divisions: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking in Switzerland, Asset Management, the Investment Bank, and Non-core and Legacy, which holds the positions it is closing down. Invested assets were $7.3 trillion at September 30, 2026. UBS bought Credit Suisse in June 2023 and plans to complete most of the integration by the end of 2026.
Revenue was $41.3 billion in the first nine months of 2026. UBS reports in US dollars. Its registered shares trade on the SIX Swiss Exchange in Swiss francs and on the New York Stock Exchange in US dollars.
Thesis
The market prices UBS for the risk of much higher capital rules in Switzerland. In September 2026, the upper house of the Swiss Parliament supported a rule that makes large banks deduct 90% of the value of foreign subsidiaries from CET1 capital. If the lower house agrees, UBS AG must hold about $16 billion more CET1 capital from 2028 at the earliest. UBS says that this would bring the extra capital since the Credit Suisse purchase to about $33 billion, with an annual cost of about $2.5 billion.
This rule can limit buybacks and lower returns, so investors pay less for each dollar of book value. The business itself performs well. Net profit rose 30% to $8.5 billion in the first nine months of 2026, underlying return on tangible equity was 14.6%, and Global Wealth Management had $55.1 billion of net new assets in Q3 2026. For the gap to close, three things must be true.
The Swiss Parliament must pass a softer rule, or give a long phase-in. UBS must reach its exit rate targets at the end of 2026, an underlying return on CET1 capital of about 15% and a cost to income ratio below 70%, and move toward a reported return on CET1 capital of about 18% in 2028. UBS must keep the CET1 ratio near 14% and still return capital. The Q4 2026 results on February 3, 2027 give the next test, with the 2027 buyback plan.
The vote of the National Council, the lower house, gives the main test; press reports say that it may debate the rule in its winter session in December 2026. If the rule becomes softer, the gap can close within one to two years. The main reason it may not close is a final rule as strict as the upper house's version.
Checkpoints
- Dec 2026 · est.PendingNational Council debate on foreign subsidiariesA rule that needs much less than about $16 billion of extra CET1 capital, or a long phase-in, passes; the upper house's version without change fails.
- Feb 3, 2027PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 capital returnsExit rate targets met, a CET1 ratio near 14% and a 2027 buyback plan at or above $3 billion pass; missed targets or a smaller buyback plan fail.
Recent events
- October 28, 2026UBS reported Q3 2026 results. Net profit was $2,690 million, up 8%, and diluted EPS was $0.85. Underlying return on tangible equity was 14.9%, and the CET1 ratio was 14.7%. Global Wealth Management had net new assets of $55.1 billion. UBS bought back $1,807 million of shares in the quarter and expects to complete its $3 billion buyback program by its Q4 results. Cumulative gross cost savings reached $13.2 billion, and UBS now expects about $13.7 billion by the end of 2026. UBS said that in September 2026 the Council of States, the upper house of the Swiss Parliament, supported a rule that makes large banks deduct 90% of the value of foreign subsidiaries from CET1 capital, which would require about $16 billion more CET1 capital at UBS AG. In the same month, UBS bought back $9.8 billion of legacy Credit Suisse senior debt for about $9.9 billion.
- October 22, 2026UBS exercised its warrants in 360 ONE WAM, an Indian wealth and asset manager, and now holds about 4.8% of the company.
- July 29, 2026UBS reported Q2 2026 results. Net profit was $2,800 million and diluted EPS was $0.87.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- April 29, 2026UBS reported Q1 2026 results. Net profit rose to $3,040 million from $1,692 million a year earlier.
- April 22, 2026The Swiss Federal Council published its final Capital Adequacy Ordinance and sent its proposal on the capital treatment of foreign subsidiaries to Parliament. UBS said that it strongly disagrees with the package.
- February 4, 2026UBS reported 2025 results. Net profit was $7,767 million, up from $5,085 million in 2024. It proposed a dividend of $1.10 per share and said that it intends to buy back $3 billion of shares in 2026, with the aim to do more. It set a target of a reported return on CET1 capital of about 18% in 2028.
- January 12, 2026UBS published its response to the Federal Council's consultation on the Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy Ordinance.
Latest news and filings
- Next earnings
- February 3, 2027, as the company confirmed.
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ubs-20260630
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · ubs-20251231
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2025Filed · ubs-20250630
- 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · ubs-20241231
Risks
- Switzerland can require UBS AG to hold about $16 billion more CET1 capital for foreign subsidiaries, from 2028 at the earliest. This can limit buybacks, lower returns and make UBS change its structure.
- UBS must finish the Credit Suisse integration in 2026, including the shutdown of old IT systems. Integration expenses reached $14.6 billion at September 30, 2026. Delays or IT failures can raise costs.
- Wealth management and investment banking revenue depend on financial markets. A market fall lowers fees, trading income and net new assets.
- UBS still has legal matters from Credit Suisse. It settled some in Q3 2026 for a net gain, but new fines or settlements can add costs.
Balance sheet
UBS is a bank group, so capital and liquidity matter more than net debt. Total assets were $1,655 billion and equity attributable to shareholders was $88.6 billion at September 30, 2026. CET1 capital was $73.1 billion, and the CET1 ratio was 14.7% on risk-weighted assets of $496.1 billion. The CET1 leverage ratio was 4.6%, the total loss-absorbing capacity ratio was 37.6% and the liquidity coverage ratio was 178.7%. Tangible book value per share was $27.00. In September 2026, UBS bought back $9.8 billion of legacy Credit Suisse senior debt, with a net loss of $346 million that lower interest costs will offset. UBS aims to keep a CET1 ratio of about 14% and a CET1 leverage ratio above 4.0%, and it expects to end 2026 at or very close to 14%. For a bank, net debt is not a useful measure, so this profile does not show debt figures.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 2.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $48.96)
- Paid per share
- $1.102 in the last 12 months (1 payment)
- Current annual rate
- $1.102 ($1.102 × 1 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- April 21, 2026, $1.102 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.875 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.607 | |
| 2018 | $0.00 | |
| 2019 | $0.689 | |
| 2020 | $0.731 | |
| 2021 | $0.37 | |
| 2022 | $0.50 | |
| 2023 | $0.55 | |
| 2024 | $0.70 | |
| 2025 | $0.904 |
Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 2.3% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about UBS Group
What does UBS Group do?
UBS is the largest Swiss bank and one of the largest wealth managers in the world. It has five business divisions: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking in Switzerland, Asset Management, the Investment Bank, and Non-core and Legacy, which holds the positions it is closing down.
When does UBS Group report earnings next?
The company confirmed that it will report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on October 28, 2026.
Is UBS Group stock below its intrinsic value?
UBS Group stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at UBS Group?
The latest update is from October 28, 2026. UBS reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for UBS Group?
Switzerland can require UBS AG to hold about $16 billion more CET1 capital for foreign subsidiaries, from 2028 at the earliest. UBS must finish the Credit Suisse integration in 2026, including the shutdown of old IT systems. Wealth management and investment banking revenue depend on financial markets.
How much debt and cash does UBS Group have?
UBS is a bank group, so capital and liquidity matter more than net debt. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does UBS Group pay a dividend?
Yes. UBS Group paid $1.102 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 2.3% at the current price of $48.96. The latest ex-dividend date was April 21, 2026.
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