WMBNatural gas pipelines
Williams
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $66.45
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 9 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $81B
- Shares of Jul 30, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 26.5
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $2.51
- 12 months to Jun 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $58.09 – $80.08
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.64
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 8.1M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Williams trades close to its intrinsic value because investors pay for its gas pipelines and new power projects, and growth in line with its plan through 2030 can keep it there.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, shows whether new pipelines and power projects keep Adjusted EBITDA growth near 11% a year.
Company guidance: Adjusted EBITDA in the upper half of $8.3 billion to $8.5 billion and growth capex of $7.3 billion to $7.9 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Williams owns and operates natural gas infrastructure in the United States. Its largest asset is the Transco interstate pipeline, and the company says that its infrastructure delivers about one third of the natural gas used in the country. It has four reportable segments. Transmission, Power & Gulf has interstate pipelines such as Transco and Northwest Pipeline, gas storage, Gulf Coast assets and power projects.
Northeast G&P has gathering and processing in the Northeast. West has gathering and processing in Colorado, Wyoming, Texas and the Haynesville Shale, where Williams bought Momentum Midstream in September 2026. Gas & NGL Marketing Services markets natural gas and natural gas liquids. Its Power Innovation projects build natural gas power plants at the sites of large power users such as data centers.
Adjusted EBITDA was $7.75 billion in 2025. The head office is in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Chad Zamarin is its president and chief executive officer.
Thesis
Williams trades close to its intrinsic value because investors already pay for steady growth in pipeline fees and for its new power projects for data centers. Adjusted EBITDA rose 9% to $6.2 billion in the first nine months of 2026, and the company expects 2026 Adjusted EBITDA in the upper half of $8.3 billion to $8.5 billion. It targets Adjusted EBITDA growth of 11% or more a year through 2030. The growth needs large spending: growth capex of $7.3 billion to $7.9 billion in 2026, the Momentum purchase of about $5.1 billion in September 2026 and five Power Innovation projects, in which Blackstone and its partners committed $5.34 billion for a 49% interest.
For the stock to hold its value, three things must be true. New Transco expansions and power projects must enter service on time and on budget. Debt must stay near 3.8 times Adjusted EBITDA while the company spends. The Haynesville assets must add earnings as LNG and power demand grow.
The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, is the next test. Delays or cost increases in the power projects can push the stock below its intrinsic value.
Checkpoints
- Nov 2, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results and 2026 guidanceAdjusted EBITDA growth and the upper half of the 2026 guidance pass; lower guidance fails.Outcome: Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $2.039 billion, and Williams expects 2026 Adjusted EBITDA in the upper half of $8.3 billion to $8.5 billion.
- Feb 9, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 Adjusted EBITDA guidance with growth near 11% or more passes; lower growth fails.
- May 2027 · est.PendingQ1 2027 results: power and Transco projectsSocrates in full service and new power project contracts pass; delays or cost increases fail.
Recent events
- November 2, 2026Williams reported Q3 2026 results. Net income was $699 million, or $0.56 per share, and adjusted EPS rose 10% to $0.54. Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $2.039 billion, and the dividend coverage ratio was 2.42 times. Williams expects 2026 Adjusted EBITDA in the upper half of $8.3 billion to $8.5 billion. It announced a 9.4 Bcf storage expansion at Clay Basin and Transco's Southeast Supply Enhancement II, and it said that the Plato North power project of Socrates was on track to enter service by mid-November.
- September 8, 2026Williams priced $2.75 billion of senior notes: $500 million of 5.000% notes due 2029, $1.0 billion of 5.600% notes due 2033, $750 million of 5.800% notes due 2036 and $500 million of 6.400% notes due 2056. It used the proceeds to repay commercial paper and for general purposes.
- September 3, 2026Williams closed the purchase of Momentum Midstream, which owns gathering, processing and transportation assets in the Haynesville Shale. Total consideration was about $5.1 billion, including cash and about 27 million Williams shares, and Williams kept $869 million of debt of a Momentum subsidiary.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- August 3, 2026Williams reported Q2 2026 results. Adjusted EPS was $0.50 and Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $1.921 billion. Williams agreed to buy Momentum Midstream for up to $5.5 billion, about 8.5 times projected 2027 EBITDA, and raised the midpoint of its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance by $200 million to $8.4 billion.
- July 13, 2026Williams agreed that funds led by Blackstone, with Apollo and KKR, provide $5.34 billion of committed capital for a 49% interest in five Power Innovation projects: Socrates, Apollo, Aquila, Socrates the Younger and Neo. Williams keeps 51% and control, and it has a right to buy out the partners between years 7 and 14.
- May 4, 2026Williams reported Q1 2026 results. Adjusted EPS rose 22% to $0.73 and Adjusted EBITDA rose 13% to $2.254 billion. It signed a customer agreement for Neo, a $2.3 billion power project with 682 megawatts of capacity.
- February 10, 2026Williams reported 2025 results. Adjusted EBITDA rose 9% to $7.75 billion and adjusted EPS was $2.10. It raised the 2026 dividend by 5% to $2.10 per share a year and first guided 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $8.05 billion to $8.35 billion.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 9, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · wmb-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · wmb-20261102
- 8-KNew material agreementFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KInvestor disclosure and Other company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · wmb-20260821
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · wmb-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · wmb-20260803
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Growth needs large projects: growth capex of $7.3 billion to $7.9 billion in 2026, plus the power projects. Delays, cost increases or permit problems can lower returns.
- Debt was $33.9 billion at September 30, 2026, and the company states debt of 3.80 times Adjusted EBITDA. Higher interest rates raise the cost of new debt.
- The power projects depend on a few large customers. The Socrates South power purchase agreement has an initial term of 10 years, and the Blackstone partners receive 49% of the distributions of the five projects.
- Regulators set the rates of the interstate pipelines. Transco paid rate refunds to customers in April 2026.
- Gathering volumes and marketing results move with natural gas prices and production. In the first nine months of 2026, changes in unrealized gains and losses on commodity derivatives lowered net income by $116 million against a year earlier.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $1.8B
- Debt
- $33.9B
- Net debt
- $32.2B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.8×
- as the company states it
- Interest cover
- 3.2×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $3.8B
- undrawn, to May 2031
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $32.2B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Williams funds itself with senior notes of Williams, Transco and Northwest Pipeline, commercial paper and equity. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $33.93 billion: $31.73 billion of long-term debt and $2.20 billion due within one year. Cash was $1.76 billion, and no commercial paper was outstanding under the $3.5 billion program. In 2026, Williams issued $2.75 billion of notes in January and $2.75 billion in September, repaid $1.1 billion of 5.400% notes in March and kept $869 million of secured debt from the Momentum purchase. A credit agreement of May 19, 2026 gives $3.75 billion of commitments to May 19, 2031, and a 364-day agreement gives $1 billion more; both were available in full. The company states debt of 3.80 times Adjusted EBITDA at September 30, 2026, net of cash and some power equipment purchases. Interest cover is operating income divided by interest expense for the first nine months of 2026 ($3,639 million against $1,132 million). The Blackstone partners committed $5.34 billion for 49% of five power projects; Williams received $3.74 billion in July 2026 and $1 billion in October 2026. The 2026 dividend is $2.10 per share a year, and there were 1,250,202,516 shares outstanding on October 29, 2026.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 3.1% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $66.45)
- Paid per share
- $2.075 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.10 ($0.525 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 93% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 11, 2026, $0.525 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $1.68 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.20 | |
| 2018 | $1.36 | |
| 2019 | $1.52 | |
| 2020 | $1.60 | |
| 2021 | $1.64 | |
| 2022 | $1.70 | |
| 2023 | $1.792 | |
| 2024 | $1.90 | |
| 2025 | $2.00 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 4.9% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend fell by about 0.2% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Williams
What does Williams do?
Williams owns and operates natural gas infrastructure in the United States. Its largest asset is the Transco interstate pipeline, and the company says that its infrastructure delivers about one third of the natural gas used in the country. Its market cap is $81B at the current price of $66.45.
When does Williams report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Williams may report on February 9, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.
Is Williams stock below its intrinsic value?
Williams stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Williams?
The latest update is from November 2, 2026. Williams reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Williams?
Growth needs large projects: growth capex of $7.3 billion to $7.9 billion in 2026, plus the power projects. Debt was $33.9 billion at September 30, 2026, and the company states debt of 3.80 times Adjusted EBITDA. The power projects depend on a few large customers.
How much debt and cash does Williams have?
At September 30, 2026, Williams had $33.9B of debt and $1.8B of cash.
Does Williams pay a dividend?
Yes. Williams paid $2.075 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 3.1% at the current price of $66.45. The latest ex-dividend date was September 11, 2026.
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