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WPMPrecious metals streaming

Wheaton Precious Metals

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
CA$202.99
Intrinsic value
Intrinsic value: AI estimate
Analysts view
Analysts Very bullish
Discount category
Pricey (AI estimate)
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Mar 11 · · estimated
History
Market cap
CA$92B
Shares of Dec 31, 2025
52-week range
CA$138.90 – CA$226.68
To Nov 10, 2026
Beta
0.33
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
776K
3 months, to Nov 10, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay more than the AI estimate for high gold and silver prices and the growth plan of Wheaton, and only high metal prices with production near 1,200,000 GEOs by 2030 can earn this price.
Gap
Can close. The 2027 guidance in mid-February 2027 and the metal prices show whether production growth and margins support the premium.

Company guidance: Production of about 860,000 to 940,000 GEOs for 2026 and about 1,200,000 GEOs by 2030 (, Q3 2026 results (6-K))

Price history

About

Wheaton Precious Metals is a streaming company. It pays mining companies an upfront deposit, and in return it buys part of the gold, silver or other metals of their mines for the life of the mine at a fixed price or a low percentage of the spot price. It does not operate mines.

At November 5, 2026, it had streaming and royalty agreements on 57 mining assets, of which 22 were operating mines. The largest are the Salobo gold stream in Brazil (Vale), the Antamina silver streams in Peru and the Peñasquito silver stream in Mexico. In Q3 2026, revenue was $772 million: 51% from gold, 46% from silver and the rest from palladium and cobalt.

Wheaton reports in U.S. dollars, and its shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WPM. The head office is in Vancouver. Haytham Hodaly is President and Chief Executive Officer.

Thesis

Wheaton trades above the AI estimate because investors pay for high gold and silver prices and for the growth that Wheaton expects from new mines. Its costs per ounce are fixed or low, so its margins rise when metal prices rise. In the first nine months of 2026, revenue rose 79.5% to $2,602 million, and the cash operating margin was $3,866 per gold equivalent ounce (GEO).

For the shares to keep this price, three things must be true. Gold and silver prices must stay near their 2026 levels. Production must grow from 860,000 to 940,000 GEOs in 2026 to about 1,200,000 GEOs by 2030, as projects such as Platreef, Koné, Mineral Park and Copper World start or grow.

Cash flow must reduce the net debt of $1.5 billion from the purchase of the Antamina stream. The production results and 2027 guidance, expected in mid-February 2027, are the next test. A fall in metal prices can push the shares down to the AI estimate.

Valuation

AI estimate, checked by Kevin. How it is made

Show the method

The intrinsic value for Wheaton Precious Metals is an AI estimate from November 10, 2026. It is not an analyst's value. An AI research agent calculated it from Wheaton's filings. The company reports in U.S. dollars, and the estimate is in Canadian dollars per share on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

The method is a multiple of operating cash flow per share for 2027, at stated metal prices, less net debt per share. The Q3 2026 results (6-K, November 5, 2026) give operating cash flow of $2,060 million and 583,129 GEOs sold in the first nine months of 2026, or $3,533 per GEO, against a cash operating margin of $3,866 per GEO, so the estimate takes operating cash flow as 91% of the cash operating margin. They also give average cash costs of $597 per GEO for the nine months, production guidance of 860,000 to 940,000 GEOs for 2026 and about 1,200,000 GEOs by 2030, and net debt of $1,452 million at September 30, 2026: bank debt of $1,598 million less cash of $146 million. The financial statements give 455,030 thousand diluted shares for Q3 2026, which the estimate rounds to 455 million.

Net debt is $3.19 per share. On November 9, 2026, the market prices were about $4,114.50 per ounce of gold and $52.56 per ounce of silver. The estimate assumes cash costs of $600 per GEO and an exchange rate of C$1.41187 per U.S. dollar, the market rate on November 9, 2026. The realized price per GEO, the GEOs sold in 2027 and the multiples are assumptions.

The low case assumes $3,200 per GEO and 850,000 GEOs, or operating cash flow of $4.42 per share, at 21 times. It gives $89.63 per share, or C$126.55. The base case assumes $3,700 per GEO, close to the market prices of November 9, 2026, and 900,000 GEOs, or $5.58 per share, at 24 times. It gives $130.73 per share, or C$184.57.

The high case assumes $4,300 per GEO and 950,000 GEOs, or $7.03 per share, at 27 times. It gives $186.62 per share, or C$263.48. The estimate assumes weights of 25%, 50% and 25%. The weighted intrinsic value is $134.43 per share, or C$189.79.

The value moves with the prices of gold and silver and with the Canadian dollar. The estimate finds no lasting advantage. The stream contracts give low costs per ounce for the life of many large, low-cost mines. But it buys new streams in a competitive market against other streaming companies, banks and investors, the prices of gold and silver are set by the market, and it has no switching costs or network effects.

So the estimate does not expect the advantage to last 10 years.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 5, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results and production guidanceProduction growth and a confirmed 2026 guidance pass; a guidance cut fails.Outcome: Production rose 13.3% to 230,965 GEOs, and Wheaton kept its 2026 guidance.
  2. Feb 2027 · est.Pending
    2026 production and 2027 guidance2026 production of 860,000 GEOs or more and 2027 guidance on the path to 1,200,000 GEOs by 2030 pass; less fails.
  3. Mar 11, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 and full year 2026 resultsLower net debt and a higher dividend pass; higher net debt fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 5, 2026Wheaton reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 62.0% to $772 million, net earnings were $410 million, or $0.903 per share, and operating cash flow was $645 million. Production was 230,965 GEOs, 13.3% more than a year earlier, mainly because of the larger Antamina silver stream. Wheaton repaid $372 million of its revolving credit facility, kept its 2026 production guidance and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.195 per share.
  • August 6, 2026Wheaton reported Q2 2026 results, with record revenue of $929 million and net earnings of $543 million. It increased its revolving credit facility by $500 million to $2.5 billion and extended its maturity to June 30, 2031.
  • April 1, 2026Wheaton closed the purchase of a second silver stream on Antamina from BHP for an upfront payment of $4.3 billion. It now buys silver equal to 67.5% of the silver of the mine, and it pays 20% of the spot price for each ounce of the new stream. On the same day, it agreed to a gold and silver stream on the Jervois copper project in Australia for $275 million.
Show 2 older events
  • March 12, 2026Wheaton reported 2025 results, with record revenue of $2.3 billion, net earnings of $1.5 billion and operating cash flow of $1.9 billion. Randy Smallwood said that he would move from Chief Executive Officer to Chair of the Board, and Haytham Hodaly, then President, said that he would become Chief Executive Officer.
  • February 16, 2026Wheaton reported 2025 production of about 692,000 GEOs, above its guidance. It forecast 860,000 to 940,000 GEOs for 2026 and about 1,200,000 GEOs by 2030.

Latest news and filings

Next earnings
Expected about March 11, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · Read it on sec.gov
  • 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
  • 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
  • 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · Read it on sec.gov

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1323404)

Risks

  • Revenue follows the prices of gold and silver. A fall in metal prices cuts revenue, margins and cash flow at once.
  • Wheaton depends on the mine operators. Strikes, lower grades or outages, such as the labour disputes at San Dimas and Stillwater in Q3 2026, reduce the ounces that it receives.
  • Growth depends on projects that other companies build, such as Platreef, Mineral Park and Copper World. Delays or cost overruns push the planned growth to later years.
  • Many mines are in Brazil, Peru, Mexico and other countries where taxes, permits and rules can change.
  • Net debt was $1.5 billion at September 30, 2026, after the $4.3 billion Antamina payment. The debt has floating interest rates.

Balance sheet

Cash
$146M
Debt
$1.6B
Net debt
$1.5B
Credit line
$2.4B
undrawn, to June 2031

Cash against debt

Cash$146M
Debt$1.6B

debt covered by cashnet debt $1.5B

Wheaton had no debt at the end of 2025. It paid $4.3 billion for the second Antamina silver stream on April 1, 2026 with cash and bank debt.

Dividends

Dividend yield
0.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of CA$202.99)
Paid per share
CA$1.041 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
CA$1.076 (CA$0.269 × 4 a year)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 20, 2026, CA$0.269 per share

Dividends per share by year

Wheaton Precious Metals dividends per share by year
2016
CA$0.275
2017
CA$0.428
2018
CA$0.466
2019
CA$0.481
2020
CA$0.573
2021
CA$0.712
2022
CA$0.777
2023
CA$0.816
2024
CA$0.849
2025
CA$0.926

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 8.9% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 14.8% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Wheaton Precious Metals

What does Wheaton Precious Metals do?

Wheaton Precious Metals is a streaming company. It pays mining companies an upfront deposit, and in return it buys part of the gold, silver or other metals of their mines for the life of the mine at a fixed price or a low percentage of the spot price. Its market cap is CA$92B at the current price of CA$202.99.

When does Wheaton Precious Metals report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Wheaton Precious Metals may report on March 11, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.

Is Wheaton Precious Metals stock below its intrinsic value?

Wheaton Precious Metals stock is pricey. The source of the intrinsic value is: AI estimate. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Wheaton Precious Metals?

The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Wheaton reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Wheaton Precious Metals?

Revenue follows the prices of gold and silver. Wheaton depends on the mine operators. Growth depends on projects that other companies build, such as Platreef, Mineral Park and Copper World.

How much debt and cash does Wheaton Precious Metals have?

At September 30, 2026, Wheaton Precious Metals had $1.6B of debt and $146M of cash.

Does Wheaton Precious Metals pay a dividend?

Yes. Wheaton Precious Metals paid CA$1.041 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.5% at the current price of CA$202.99. The latest ex-dividend date was August 20, 2026.

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