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ABNBTravel marketplace

Airbnb

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$190.29
Analysts view
Analysts Leaning bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 11 · · estimated
History
52-week range
$110.81 – $197.87
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.27
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
4.5M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Airbnb can keep its growth and margins against city rules, new spending and AI travel agents, and double-digit night growth with steady free cash flow can close the gap in four to six quarters.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 outlook expected in February 2027 shows whether nights booked keep growing at a double-digit rate with a stable margin.

Company guidance: Q4 2026 revenue of $3.22 billion to $3.28 billion and an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of approximately 36% for 2026 (, Q3 2026 shareholder letter (8-K))

Price history

About

Airbnb runs an online marketplace where hosts offer homes, hotels, experiences and services to guests. Guests booked 155.0 million nights and seats in Q3 2026, and gross booking value was $27.7 billion. Airbnb earns service fees and records revenue when the stay occurs.

Revenue was $12.2 billion in 2025 and $11.2 billion in the first nine months of 2026. More than 5.5 million hosts use the platform in almost every country. It also sells car rentals, grocery delivery and other services, and it partners with Delta, Qantas, TAP Air and American Express.

Thesis

The market doubts that Airbnb can keep its growth and margins while it spends on new businesses, meets rules on short-term rentals in many cities and faces competition from AI travel agents. The Reserve Now, Pay Later option and new incentives lowered the implied take rate in Q3 2026. But the core business accelerated in 2026: in Q3, nights and seats booked grew 16%, revenue grew 19% and the adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 52%. For the gap to close, three things must be true.

Nights booked must keep growing at a double-digit rate in 2027, after the strong 2026 comparison. The new businesses must add revenue while the adjusted EBITDA margin stays near the 2026 level of about 36%. Free cash flow must stay near $5 billion a year and fund the new $12 billion buyback, so that the share count keeps falling. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 outlook, expected in February 2027, give the next test, and the launch of Airbnb's own AI trip agent in the first half of 2027 gives another.

If these checks pass, the gap can close within four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a travel slowdown or new city rules that cut the supply of homes.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 5, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: growth and marginRevenue at or above the guidance of $4.69 billion to $4.77 billion and a stable adjusted EBITDA margin pass; a miss or a lower outlook fail.Outcome: Revenue was $4.87 billion, the adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 52% and Airbnb raised its 2026 outlook.
  2. Feb 11, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlookDouble-digit growth in nights booked and a 2027 outlook with a stable or higher margin pass; slower growth or a lower margin outlook fail.
  3. Jun 2027 · est.Pending
    Launch of the AI trip agentA launch to guests in the first half of 2027 with higher bookings per user passes; a delay or no effect on bookings fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 5, 2026Airbnb reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 19% to $4.87 billion, net income was $1.89 billion and adjusted EBITDA rose 22% to $2.51 billion, a 52% margin. Nights and seats booked rose 16%, up from 10% growth in Q2. Airbnb raised its 2026 outlook to revenue growth in the high teens and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 36%. It expects Q4 revenue of $3.22 billion to $3.28 billion and announced a new $12 billion share buyback program.
  • October 30, 2026Airbnb signed a new five-year $1.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility that replaces its 2022 facility.
  • October 28, 2026Airbnb said that it will donate $0.10 of its revenue from every stay to Airbnb.org, a nonprofit that gives free housing to people in crisis. It expects to give $500 million over five years.
Show 5 older events
  • October 22, 2026Airbnb started an exclusive partnership with American Express that lists more than one million Airbnb homes on Amex Travel for eligible U.S. card members.
  • August 6, 2026Airbnb reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 17% to $3.6 billion and gross booking value rose 16% to $27.2 billion. It raised its 2026 outlook to revenue growth of at least the mid teens and an adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 35.5%. It repurchased $1.1 billion of shares in the quarter.
  • May 7, 2026Airbnb reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue rose 18% to $2.7 billion, above the top of its guidance. It raised its 2026 outlook to revenue growth in the low to mid teens and an adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 35%, and it expected a headwind of about 1 percentage point from the conflict in the Middle East in Q2.
  • March 16, 2026Airbnb sold $2.5 billion of senior notes due 2029, 2031 and 2036, with rates of 4.40% to 5.25%. It used $2.0 billion to repay its 0% convertible notes at maturity.
  • February 12, 2026Airbnb reported Q4 2025 results. Revenue rose 12%, above the top of its guidance. For 2026, it expected revenue growth of at least the low double digits and a stable adjusted EBITDA margin.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 5, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 11, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · abnb-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · abnb-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · abnb-20260605
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · abnb-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · abnb-20251231
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Read it on sec.gov

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1559720)

Risks

  • Cities and countries limit short-term rentals and claim lodging and other taxes. Airbnb accrued $134 million for estimated lodging taxes at September 30, 2026. Spain fined Airbnb about €65 million over listing rules, and Airbnb disputes the fine with a €70 million surety bond in place.
  • Travel demand depends on the economy and world events. Airbnb watches developments in EMEA, and in May 2026 it expected the conflict in the Middle East to slow growth in Q2 2026.
  • AI assistants and search engines can become the place where travelers plan and book trips. If outside agents control the guest, Airbnb can lose traffic or pay more for marketing.
  • Hotels, services and Reserve Now, Pay Later lower the implied take rate and move cash collection closer to the stay. Unearned fees fell to $1.5 billion at September 30, 2026 from $1.8 billion a year earlier.
  • Stock-based compensation was $1.36 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Airbnb uses buybacks to offset the dilution, and this uses a large part of free cash flow.

Balance sheet

Cash
$12.6B
Debt
$2.5B
Net cash
$10.1B
Interest cover
28×
times profit pays interest

Cash against debt

Cash$12.6B
Debt$2.5B

debt covered by cash

When the debt is due

12 months$0.0M
Later$2.5B

The last debt is due in 2036.

Airbnb has more cash than debt. At September 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $7.27 billion and short-term investments were $5.32 billion.

Dividends

Airbnb does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Airbnb

What does Airbnb do?

Airbnb runs an online marketplace where hosts offer homes, hotels, experiences and services to guests. Guests booked 155.0 million nights and seats in Q3 2026, and gross booking value was $27.7 billion.

When does Airbnb report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Airbnb may report on February 11, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.

Is Airbnb stock below its intrinsic value?

Airbnb stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Airbnb?

The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Airbnb reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Airbnb?

Cities and countries limit short-term rentals and claim lodging and other taxes. Travel demand depends on the economy and world events. AI assistants and search engines can become the place where travelers plan and book trips.

How much debt and cash does Airbnb have?

At September 30, 2026, Airbnb had $2.5B of debt and $12.6B of cash.

Does Airbnb pay a dividend?

No. Airbnb does not pay a dividend.

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