Households spend less on large and optional purchases when money is tight. These companies sell homes, vehicles, travel, food or other goods that people can delay or swap for cheaper ones. Their results show how careful the shopper is now.
This is information, not advice (see the disclaimer).
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
A short seller says Gildan pushed too much stock into its channel and Q3 2026 sales missed guidance, so sales that stabilize in 2027 with falling leverage can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Kraft Heinz brands lose buyers in North America and the split is paused, so only a volume recovery from higher brand spending over several years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Investor Day: long-term strategy and targets (Nov 12, 2026)
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that rival music apps slow Tencent Music's growth while it reports fewer user numbers, and steady membership growth over 2027 can close part of the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: membership growth and margins (Nov 17, 2026)
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Campbell's for a continued decline, so the gap closes slowly, and only if cost savings and growth at Rao's and Goldfish hold into fiscal 2028.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q1 2027 earnings: Snacks trend and guidance (Dec 8, 2026 (estimate))
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Investors worry that high prices and weight-loss drugs shrink candy volumes, so the gap closes slowly as cocoa costs fall and volumes stop falling, possibly not before 2028.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Conagra for falling volumes and high debt, and stable volumes with lower leverage under the new CEO over the next two years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings: volumes and margin (Dec 30, 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market doubts that North America can grow profit again after PepsiCo cut its 2026 earnings guidance, so the gap closes slowly if new cost cuts and price increases lift margins without volume losses during 2027.
Next checkpoint: Update on the North America supply chain and go-to-market review (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear that Prestige lost eye care sales to supply problems and took on too much debt for Breathe Right, so better supply and lower debt by 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q3 2027 results: Breathe Right and cash flow (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Realty Income as a bond-like stock that suffers from high interest rates, and lower rates with steady growth in AFFO per share over the next four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2027 AFFO per share guidance (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Investors fear lasting damage from the sales drop and high debt, so the gap closes slowly, as sales recover, debt falls and a new CEO arrives through 2027.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings: margin repair and GOJO (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Weak restaurant spending in China and high delivery costs hold the price down, and the discount for US-China risk will probably stay.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: 20,500 stores and refinancing plan (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Falling Americas sales, tariffs and a full change of leaders make investors doubt the lululemon brand, so the gap closes slowly, only if a new product line restores growth.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2026 results: Americas sales (Dec 3, 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market doubts that Ambev's beer growth lasts after the World Cup and fears Brazil's new alcohol tax, and steady volume with a neutral tax through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Selective Tax rates on beer (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that the Berry combination will give growth and lower debt, and synergies with leverage of about 3.6 times at the end of 2026 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Transition period results: leverage at December 31, 2026 (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Investors doubt that CarMax's new CEO can grow sales without lower profit per car, and steady volume, cost cuts and stable loan losses over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: volume and profit per car (Dec 17, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Cogeco Communications for a shrinking American business, and slower American declines with steady free cash flow and falling debt over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results: U.S. trend (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Deckers for slower HOKA and UGG growth after a cut to its sales outlook, and a return to the growth of its multi-year framework with steady margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: UGG holiday season (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Investors fear that AI scoring and new US mortgage rules will cut the need for credit bureau data, so the gap closes slowly as Experian keeps organic growth inside its guided range.
Next checkpoint: H1 FY27 results: organic growth, margin and leverage (Nov 18, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Federal Realty for retail tenant risk and higher interest costs, and record leasing that lifts occupancy and FFO growth in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: 2027 guidance and FFO growth (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Ford for EV losses, tariffs, recalls and supply problems, and reaching its raised 2026 guidance with smaller EV losses in 2027 can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: 2027 guidance: EBIT and Model e losses (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Freshpet for slower growth and new rivals in fresh pet food, and sales growth faster than the category with rising margins and cash flow can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook: growth and free cash flow (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
High rates make cars hard to afford and cut Group 1's profit per car, and stable profits with lower leverage after the Hennessy purchase over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: first quarter with Hennessy and leverage (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors see Lear as a low-margin supplier tied to car production and tariffs, so the gap closes slowly, only as margins rise and buybacks continue through the cycle.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Weak home HVAC margins, price competition and two cuts to the 2026 EPS guidance hold Lennox back, and a recovery in home margins with steady commercial growth over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices MGM for weak Las Vegas results and the end of a buyout proposal from its largest shareholder, and higher room rates, stable Macau margins and buybacks over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: Las Vegas recovery and digital losses (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Mattel for lower margins from tariffs and a new CEO, and a holiday season that meets the lower 2026 guidance with a clear 2027 plan can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2027 guidance under the new CEO (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors doubt the large, debt-funded Unilever Foods deal, so the gap closes slowly, only as the deal closes, synergies arrive and debt falls after 2027.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Mondelez's profit fell after the cocoa spike and its European volumes fell, and the gap closes if lower cocoa costs and growing volumes, first seen in Q3 2026, lift profit in 2027.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices PDD Holdings for lower profits, trade and EU rule risk for Temu and China risk, and steady profit growth with a clear use for its large cash can close part of the gap over several quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: profit trend (Nov 18, 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Watsco for lower margins after the 2025 price increases, and stable margins with growing volume over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and first Granite Group quarter (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Westlake for weak chemical prices and slow homebuilding, and the profit improvement plan with stable PVC and polyethylene margins can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: PEM profit and the improvement plan (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Ally for the risk of higher auto loan losses and its modest capital, and stable credit with rising returns over three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Jan 20, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Amer Sports can keep its growth and margins with a large China business, and results in line with its guidance through early 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 earnings: growth and margin (Nov 17, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Americold for flat cold storage demand and high debt, and lower leverage after the EQT deal with a return to same store growth over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Lancaster wind-down ends (Dec 31, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Asbury for lower dealer profits and a costly software change, and lower costs in 2027 after the Tekion rollout ended in October 2026 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: first quarter after the rollout (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices AutoNation for falling vehicle sales and profits, and the gap closes slowly only if unit sales stabilize while After-Sales and AutoNation Finance keep growing.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: AutoNation Finance and leverage (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Bradesco for Brazil risk after the election and for rising delinquency, and steady profit growth with a return on equity well above Brazilian rates can close the gap over two to three years.
Next checkpoint: 4Q26 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Low-yield bonds bought when rates were low hold back Bank of America's returns, and growing net interest income with ROTCE near its target in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 14, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Fewer people buy Corona and Modelo while Hispanic consumers are under pressure, and beer depletions that grow again in 2027 can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q3 results: beer depletions (Jan 6, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Foot Locker can be fixed after DICK'S cut its 2026 outlook, so Foot Locker losses must shrink and its sales must grow again in 2027 for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: Foot Locker losses and DICK'S comparable sales (Nov 24, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Danone for slow growth in Europe, the 2026 infant formula recall and weak North American dairy, and a return to growth in these areas through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Eastman for weak demand in cars, buildings and textiles and for temporary gains in chemicals, and a recovery in specialty volumes with growth from recycling can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Equity LifeStyle for slow RV demand and higher interest rates, and steady growth in home site rents with a recovery in RV rents can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 20, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Gap for weak sales at Old Navy and Athleta and for tariff costs, and better Old Navy sales over the holidays with stable margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2026 results: Old Navy trend (Nov 19, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices General Mills for falling volume and lower profits in US packaged food, and stable organic sales with cost savings that protect earnings under the new CEO can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: volume and cost savings (Dec 23, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts Global Payments can grow in a crowded market after the debt-funded Worldpay deal, and steady growth with higher margins over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Hormel for falling Retail volume and years of leadership changes, and a fiscal 2027 outlook with profit growth and a clean Brakebush close can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results and the fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 27, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices JD.com for weak Chinese consumers, food delivery losses and the China discount, and growth again with smaller losses can close part of the gap, but the China discount will probably stay.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: revenue and New Businesses losses (Nov 17, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Kimco like other shopping center REITs, for high interest rates and tenant risk, and steady occupancy with FFO growth in 2027 can close the gap if long-term rates stop rising.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 guidance (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Landstar for rising insurance and claims costs, and stable claim costs with the recovery in truck prices over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: insurance costs and truck prices (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Weaker Macao margins, a weak Q3 2026 at Marina Bay Sands and high debt hold Las Vegas Sands back, and a recovery in both regions over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: Marina Bay Sands and Macao margins (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Lennar for low margins from large incentives in a weak housing market, and lower mortgage rates with rising margins over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: gross margin (Dec 16, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Magna for the risks of the auto cycle and tariffs, and results on the raised 2026 outlook with a 2027 outlook for higher margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Investor Day: longer-term outlook (Nov 11, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices MercadoLibre for lower margins while it invests in shipping and credit, and fast growth with a margin that starts to recover in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: margin recovery (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Molson Coors for a long decline in beer volumes and higher costs, and stable US volumes with recovering margins in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices NatWest for its dependence on the UK economy and on UK interest rates, and results on guidance with a new buyback over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: share buyback (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market doubts that Nestlé can grow volume without price increases while its debt is high, and only steady RIG growth and debt cuts over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: margin, free cash flow and net debt (Feb 18, 2027)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Nike for a long turnaround with falling sales in China and its lifestyle brands, and only a return to revenue growth and higher margins from Pace savings can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: decline and margins (Dec 17, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Nu Holdings for Brazil risk, credit risk and the cost of expansion, and rising profit with stable delinquency over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: profit and credit quality (Nov 12, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Calvin Klein and TOMMY HILFIGER can grow while Europe and wholesale stay weak, and steady direct sales with a stable EMEA through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 earnings: EMEA and margin (Dec 2, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Park for its debt and slow city hotel markets, and steady group demand with lower debt after the 2026 refinancing over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Investors fear that PayPal keeps losing branded checkout share to other wallets and AI agents, so only years of steady checkout growth under the new CEO can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Rentokil can make Terminix grow, and faster North America growth under the new CEO over 2027 and 2028 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and the CEO's detailed plan (Feb 25, 2027)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Synchrony for the risk of higher card loan losses and its dependence on a few large partners, and stable credit with faster loan growth over three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Jan 20, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears the debt and the antitrust risk of the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal, and a timely closing with falling leverage over four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: local volume and deal closing (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Tesla mostly for robotaxis and robots while its car margins are thin, and only years of growth in autonomy revenue with a margin recovery can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 plans (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Tractor Supply's growth stalled and it withdrew its long-term targets, and steady comparable sales growth with a credible new framework over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and new long-term framework (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices West Fraser for weak housing demand and trade barriers on Canadian wood, and a housing recovery over 2027 and 2028 with lower costs after mill curtailments can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 targets (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Wyndham for weak demand at economy hotels and a smaller system in the United States, and RevPAR growth with net rooms growth on plan can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Weak Macau results, high debt and a delayed UAE resort hold the price down, so much of the gap will probably not close before the resort opens in September 2027.
Next checkpoint: Macau December 2026 gaming revenue report (Jan 1, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Weak US water heater demand and rising costs hold the stock down after the China sale, and price increases that hold with stable volumes over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance without China (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Airbnb can keep its growth and margins against city rules, new spending and AI travel agents, and double-digit night growth with steady free cash flow can close the gap in four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 11, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Align for slow growth and pressure from cheaper aligners, and steady volume growth with savings from the review pushed by Elliott can close the gap over three to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results, the operating model review and the new CEO's plan (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors fear that costs grow faster than revenue and that regulation cuts card profits, and slower cost growth with steady 2027 guidance can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: TheFork purchase closing (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that AB InBev can grow profit while beer volumes fall in the United States and China, and steady EBITDA growth with lower debt over the next one to two years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 11, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
US tariffs now take a large part of BRP's profit, and the gap closes only as mitigation or a change in US trade policy restores its margins over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: tariff cost and retail sales (Dec 3, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Birkenstock for a slowdown after years of fast growth and for share sales by its main owner, and steady growth with a stable margin in fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Dec 10, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market fears that people will drink less spirits for many years, and a return to organic sales growth under a new CEO can close the gap only slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: organic sales trend (Dec 2, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Brunswick for weak boat demand from cautious buyers and high rates, and a recovery in retail demand with steady engine and parts sales in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 report and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Capital One can keep high returns with card rate caps under debate and two deals to integrate, and stable credit with Discover synergies and steady buybacks can close the gap within two years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: credit and buybacks (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Carnival for high debt and the risk of weaker travel demand, and steady yield growth with falling leverage over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 guidance (Dec 29, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that weak traffic, rising costs and food-safety scares keep Chipotle's growth slow, and growing transactions with a restaurant margin that stops falling can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook: traffic and margin (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Choice Hotels for flat US hotel demand and a change of CEO, and a return to US room growth with steady fees over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Citigroup can earn returns above its cost of equity, and returns in its target range for 2027 with lower expenses and steady buybacks can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: returns and 2027 outlook (Jan 14, 2027)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Weak US spirits demand, tariffs and high debt hold Diageo back, and the gap can close slowly if the new plan stops the US share loss and cuts leverage by fiscal 2029.
Next checkpoint: Sale of East African Breweries completes (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors expect cable decline and sports costs to cut Disney's profit, and steady parks growth with a rising streaming margin over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 17, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
US sales have almost stopped growing and franchisees open fewer stores, and a return to low-single-digit US sales growth in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 22, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Equifax for its dependence on a slow mortgage market and for its debt, and steady growth with higher free cash flow through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Círculo de Crédito purchase closes (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Extra Space for a slow recovery in storage demand while few people move, and same-store revenue growth that keeps rising into 2027 under the new CEO can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance: first outlook under the new CEO (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that weak pool spending and tariffs will stop Hayward's price-led growth, and stable volume and margins over the next three to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that Kimberly-Clark paid too much for Kenvue while its own sales are weak, and a return to sales growth with synergies and debt reduction in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook of the combined company (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value (AI estimate) · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that LVMH's fashion and leather goods sales can grow again while demand in China is weak, and a return to growth with a stable margin over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 annual results (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
High mortgage rates keep home sales and large DIY projects low, so the gap closes slowly as sales, Pro growth and debt reduction improve with the housing market.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: comparable sales and transactions (Nov 19, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Masco's North American sales grew again in Q3 2026 with help from higher prices, but demand stays weak, so sales and volumes must keep growing in 2027 for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Fewer US customers visit McDonald's and the fix costs money now, so US guest counts must turn positive in 2027 for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices PPG for weak volumes and higher costs, and prices that stay ahead of inflation, better industrial margins and a lasting refinish recovery over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Polaris as an indebted maker of vehicles that people buy with cheap credit, and only steady profit without tariff refunds and lower debt over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Public Storage for weak same store rents, and stronger rent growth in 2027 with gains from the NSA purchase over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Jan 26, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Restaurant Brands for high debt and weak Popeyes sales, and steady comparable sales growth with falling leverage over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: growth target and leverage (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Shopify can keep its fast growth and raise its cash margins as AI agents change online shopping, and steady merchant sales growth with higher margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Simon like other REITs that move with interest rates and doubts its new CEO, and steady NOI growth with stable rates and disciplined leadership can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2027 guidance under the new CEO (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Sirius XM for a slow loss of listeners to streaming in connected cars, and stable self-pay subscribers with strong free cash flow over the next four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Stryker cut its 2026 outlook after slow hip, knee and clot removal sales, and a return to strong growth in the 2027 outlook over three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook under the new CEO (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that TJX can keep its profit growth after one-time tariff refunds, and a recovery at Marmaxx with higher margins and faster store growth can close the gap within about a year.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: Marmaxx and holiday outlook (Nov 18, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices CooperCompanies for slow contact lens growth after a strategic review that kept CooperSurgical, and a return to CooperVision growth in fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings and fiscal 2027 guidance (Dec 9, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The slow Foods separation with McCormick and currency losses hold Unilever's price down, and steady volume-led growth with a deal close by mid-2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: UK first-phase antitrust decision on the Foods deal (Nov 11, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that UPS can grow profit after it chose to carry less volume, and higher margins with free cash flow above the dividend over the next years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 26, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Vipshop for falling sales in a weak Chinese consumer market, and a return to revenue growth in 2027 with steady margins can close part of the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 earnings: revenue against guidance (Nov 25, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Vontier as a slow company tied to gasoline and weak tool demand, and a return to core growth over the next two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that the 2026 World Cup year is a peak for adidas, and steady growth in 2027 with a recovery in footwear can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Pricey · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Few homes change owners and large projects stay weak, so Home Depot must show positive transactions and steady margins in the next two to four quarters for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2026 results: comparable sales and margin (Nov 17, 2026)
Pricey · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears a price war in Canadian wireless, and higher mobile revenue per user with steady subscriber growth and low debt over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: free cash flow (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for CIBC's fast rise in returns, and only returns that hold when markets slow and credit losses rise can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results (Dec 3, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for the steady growth and rising margins of Cintas and the UniFirst savings, and an FTC suit or slower hiring at customers can shrink it.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results (Dec 17, 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Coca-Cola's brands and steady growth, and organic growth near the 2026 pace with no large IRS tax bill can earn it over several years.
Next checkpoint: Sale of bottling operations in Africa (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for Marriott's fee business and record pipeline, and only steady room growth and RevPAR gains with controlled debt over several years can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 9, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Mastercard's steady network growth and high margins, and growth near the low teens with stable fees after the merchant settlement can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Final approval of the US merchant settlement (Nov 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for the brand, the growth record and the cash of Monster, and only fast sales growth with stable margins as costs rise can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: margins and US growth (Feb 25, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors doubt that P&G can grow its profit while its costs rise, and volume growth that lasts while the margin recovers and one-time costs end can close the gap over the next two to three quarters.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings: holiday-quarter volume and guidance (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for RBC's high and steady returns in Canada, and only returns that hold when markets slow and credit losses rise can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 objectives (Dec 3, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Walmart's steady growth and rising profit from advertising and membership, and only margins that keep rising after the tariff refunds can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: margins after tariff refunds (Nov 19, 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
A large outbreak at Taco Bell and higher rates hold the price down, and positive Taco Bell US sales growth by Q1 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: Taco Bell US sales trend (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
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Every result is on the checkpoints page.
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