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Mastercard

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$655.81
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 28 · · estimated
History
P/E (trailing)
34.3
Price of Nov 10, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$19.11
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$464.52 – $681.99
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
0.78
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.0M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for Mastercard's steady network growth and high margins, and growth near the low teens with stable fees after the merchant settlement can earn it.
Gap
Can close. The final approval hearing of the US merchant settlement in November 2026 and the full-year 2026 report in late January 2027 show whether growth and fees hold.

Price history

About

Mastercard runs a global payment network that connects consumers, merchants, banks, governments and businesses in more than 220 countries and territories. It does not lend money and does not issue cards. Banks and other customers issue Mastercard cards, and Mastercard earns fees on the volume and the number of transactions that go through its network, with higher fees on cross-border payments. It also sells value-added services and solutions, such as fraud and security tools, data analytics, consulting, loyalty programs and open banking.

At September 30, 2026, customers had issued 3.8 billion Mastercard and Maestro cards. In Q3 2026, net revenue was $9.8 billion, gross dollar volume was $3.0 trillion and the operating margin was 59.8%. In August 2026, Mastercard bought BVNK, a stablecoin payments company.

Thesis

Mastercard trades at a premium because investors pay for a network that grows almost every year with high margins. Net revenue grew 14% in Q3 2026, value-added services and solutions grew 19%, cross-border volume grew 11% and the adjusted operating margin was 60.5%. Large buybacks also lower the share count: Mastercard bought back $11.9 billion of shares in the first nine months of 2026, and adjusted EPS grew 22% in that period. For the premium to be earned, four things must be true.

Net revenue must keep growing at about a low double-digit rate in 2027, with value-added services growing faster than the network. Cross-border volume must keep growing about 10% or more. The settlement with the US merchant rules relief class must get final approval with costs near the terms of November 2025: a 10 basis point cut in the average US credit interchange rate and a five-year cap. New payment forms, such as stablecoins, account-to-account payments and AI agents that pay for users, must go through Mastercard's network and not around it.

The court hearing on final approval in November 2026 and the full-year 2026 report in late January 2027 are the next tests. The premium can shrink if US law or regulators cut card fees, if merchants win large damages, or if consumer spending slows.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 2026Due this month
    Final approval of the US merchant settlementFinal approval on the November 2025 terms passes; a court that rejects the settlement or asks for larger fee cuts fails.
  2. Jan 28, 2027 · est.Pending
    Full-year 2026 results: growth and servicesNet revenue growth near the low teens on a currency-neutral basis and value-added services growth above network growth pass; growth below 10% fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 29, 2026Mastercard reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenue grew 14% to $9.8 billion. Payment network revenue grew 11%, and value-added services and solutions revenue grew 19%. Gross dollar volume grew 7%, cross-border volume grew 11% and switched transactions grew 9%. Adjusted EPS grew 21% to $5.31. Mastercard bought back 5.3 million shares for $3.0 billion and paid $763 million of dividends in the quarter.
  • August 3, 2026Mastercard completed its purchase of BVNK, a provider of stablecoin payments infrastructure, for $1.4 billion in cash. The sellers can earn up to $300 million more if BVNK meets performance targets. On the same day, Sachin Mehra became Chief Business Officer and Ling Hai became Chief Financial Officer.
  • July 30, 2026Mastercard reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenue grew 14% to $9.3 billion, or 12% on a currency-neutral basis, and adjusted EPS was $5.04. It said that it launched a market-first agentic payment capability for AI agents.
Show 4 older events
  • June 8, 2026Mastercard issued $5.0 billion of new notes, with maturities from 2028 to 2036 and fixed rates from 4.325% to 5.000%, plus floating rate notes due 2028.
  • April 30, 2026Mastercard reported Q1 2026 results. Net revenue grew 16% to $8.4 billion, and adjusted EPS was $4.60. It recorded a restructuring charge in the quarter.
  • January 29, 2026Mastercard reported 2025 results. Net revenue grew 16%, and adjusted EPS grew 17% to $17.01. In December 2025, the board approved a new $14.0 billion share buyback program.
  • November 10, 2025Mastercard and Visa signed an updated settlement with the US merchant rules relief class. Merchants can choose whether to accept consumer credit and commercial credit cards, and get simpler surcharge rules. The networks cut the average US credit interchange rate by 10 basis points and cap it for five years. The rule changes start after the court approves the settlement. The court gave preliminary approval in June 2026.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 28, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · ma-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ma-20261029
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ma-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ma-20260730
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · ma-20260616
  • 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · ma-20260529
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · ma-20260505
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · ma-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ma-20260430

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1141391)

Risks

  • Regulation and lawsuits can lower card fees. The rules relief settlement cuts US credit interchange and lets merchants refuse some cards. Block and Intuit seek more than $5 billion of damages, and merchants in the UK, the Netherlands and Portugal also sue.
  • New payment forms can go around card networks. Stablecoins, real-time account-to-account payments and government payment systems can take volume. Mastercard bought BVNK to take part in stablecoin payments, but the result is not yet known.
  • Revenue moves with consumer spending and travel. A recession or less travel can slow volume, and cross-border volume gives the highest fees.
  • Rebates and incentives to large banks and merchants grow fast. They rose 18% in Q3 2026, faster than gross dollar volume, because banks negotiate hard for new and renewed deals.

Balance sheet

Cash
$10.5B
Debt
$24.1B
Net debt
$13.6B
Interest cover
25×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$8.0B
undrawn, to November 2030

Cash against debt

Cash$10.5B
Debt$24.1B

debt covered by cashnet debt $13.6B

When the debt is due

12 months$1.8B
Later$22.3B

The last debt is due in 2051.

Mastercard funds itself with senior notes and has no bank borrowings. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $23.9 billion, up from $19.0 billion at December 31, 2025, after a $5.0 billion bond issue on June 8, 2026.

Dividends

Dividend yield
0.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $655.81)
Paid per share
$3.48 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$3.48 ($0.87 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
18% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
October 9, 2026, $0.87 per share

Dividends per share by year

Mastercard dividends per share by year
2016
$0.76
2017
$0.88
2018
$1.00
2019
$1.32
2020
$1.60
2021
$1.76
2022
$1.96
2023
$2.28
2024
$2.64
2025
$3.04

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 14.6% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 16.4% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Mastercard

What does Mastercard do?

Mastercard runs a global payment network that connects consumers, merchants, banks, governments and businesses in more than 220 countries and territories. It does not lend money and does not issue cards.

When does Mastercard report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Mastercard may report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.

Is Mastercard stock below its intrinsic value?

Mastercard stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Mastercard?

The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Mastercard reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Mastercard?

Regulation and lawsuits can lower card fees. New payment forms can go around card networks. Revenue moves with consumer spending and travel.

How much debt and cash does Mastercard have?

At September 30, 2026, Mastercard had $24.1B of debt and $10.5B of cash.

Does Mastercard pay a dividend?

Yes. Mastercard paid $3.48 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.5% at the current price of $655.81. The latest ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.

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