JNJPharmaceuticals & medical devices
Johnson & Johnson
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $282.11
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 20 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $679B
- Shares of Oct 15, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 42.9
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.58
- 12 months to Sep 27, 2026
- 52-week range
- $185.12 – $282.11
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.21
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 6.9M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors pay a premium for Johnson & Johnson's steady growth and pipeline, and the 2027 outlook, the talc settlement and the Orthopaedics separation show whether growth can earn it.
- Gap
- Can close. The Enterprise Business Review on December 8, 2026, the 2027 guidance in January 2027 and the talc settlement and Orthopaedics separation by mid-2027 show whether the premium is earned.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $11.05 to $11.15 and estimated reported sales of $101.0B to $101.4B for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
Johnson & Johnson is a healthcare company with two segments. Innovative Medicine makes prescription medicines for immunology, cancer, neuroscience, heart and lung diseases. Its main products include DARZALEX, TREMFYA, CARVYKTI, ERLEADA, SPRAVATO and CAPLYTA.
MedTech makes devices for surgery, orthopaedics, heart treatment (such as electrophysiology and Shockwave) and vision care (such as contact lenses and eye lenses for cataract surgery). In 2025, sales were $94.2 billion. In Q3 2026, sales were $25.4 billion: Innovative Medicine gave $16.8 billion and MedTech gave $8.6 billion.
About 59% of Q3 2026 sales came from the United States. The company plans to separate its Orthopaedics business (DePuy Synthes) into a new company by mid-2027. Its fiscal year ends on the Sunday closest to December 31.
Thesis
Johnson & Johnson trades at a premium because investors pay for steady growth, a strong balance sheet and a pipeline that replaces old products quickly. Sales grew 5.9% in Q3 2026, even though STELARA lost about 4.2 points of growth to biosimilars, and the company expects 2026 sales of more than $100 billion for the first time. New products such as TREMFYA, CARVYKTI, TECVAYLI, RYBREVANT, CAPLYTA, IMAAVY and the oral psoriasis pill ICOTYDE carry this growth. Investors also see a lower talc risk, because in July 2026 the company agreed to a $5.5 billion plan to settle the ovarian cancer claims.
But adjusted EPS grows only 2.9% in 2026 at the guidance midpoint of $11.10, because the Firefly and Sail deals cost about $0.64 per share. For the premium to be earned, four things must be true. Adjusted operational sales must keep growing about 6% or more in 2027, while SIMPONI and STELARA biosimilars take more sales. Adjusted EPS must return to faster growth in 2027, after the 2026 deal costs.
At least 95% of the remaining ovarian claims must join the settlement, so that the first payment of no more than $3 billion can start in 2027. The Orthopaedics separation must close by mid-2027 without a loss of value. The Enterprise Business Review on December 8, 2026 and the full-year 2026 report in January 2027, with the 2027 guidance, are the next tests. The premium can shrink if 2027 growth guidance is weak, if the talc settlement fails, or if US drug price rules cut prices more than expected.
Checkpoints
- Dec 8, 2026PendingEnterprise Business Review: growth planA clear plan for growth of about 6% or more and for faster adjusted EPS growth in 2027 passes; a weaker 2027 outlook or new large deal costs fail.
- Jan 20, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 guidance with adjusted operational sales growth of about 6% or more and adjusted EPS growth faster than in 2026 passes; lower growth guidance fails.
- Jun 2027 · est.PendingTalc settlement and Orthopaedics separationAt least 95% of ovarian claims in the settlement and the Orthopaedics separation on time by mid-2027 pass; a failed settlement or a delay of the separation fails.
Recent events
- October 27, 2026Johnson & Johnson said that it will hold its Enterprise Business Review for investors on December 8, 2026. The CEO, the CFO and the leaders of MedTech and Innovative Medicine will present the strategy, the pipeline and a financial overview.
- October 13, 2026Johnson & Johnson reported Q3 2026 results. Sales grew 5.9% to $25.4 billion, with operational growth of 6.0%. Innovative Medicine grew 7.9% operationally and MedTech grew 2.5%. EPS fell to $0.09 because of a $5.5 billion charge for the proposed talc settlement and the costs of the Firefly and Sail deals. Adjusted EPS fell 7.5% to $2.59. The company raised its 2026 guidance to reported sales of $101.0 billion to $101.4 billion and adjusted EPS of $11.05 to $11.15. It kept the quarterly dividend at $1.34 per share.
- October 13, 2026In Q3 2026, the FDA gave market authorization to the OTTAVA robotic surgical system and approved IMAAVY for warm autoimmune hemolytic anemia. RYBREVANT FASPRO received FDA priority review for advanced head and neck cancer.
Show 6 older eventsHide older events
- August 4, 2026Johnson & Johnson said that Jennifer Taubert, the head of Innovative Medicine, will retire on September 1, 2026. Tom Cavanaugh became the new head of Innovative Medicine.
- July 29, 2026Johnson & Johnson completed its purchase of Firefly Bio, a cancer drug developer, for about $1.0 billion in cash. It also started a collaboration with Sail Biomedicines on in vivo CAR-T therapies for immune diseases, with initial payments of $0.8 billion and an option to buy Sail for about $2.6 billion. The company said that the two deals lower 2026 adjusted EPS by about $0.64, and it cut its adjusted EPS guidance.
- July 27, 2026Johnson & Johnson agreed with the plaintiff firms that lead the federal and related state cases on a plan to settle the ovarian cancer talc claims. The company commits $5.5 billion. The first payment is no more than $3 billion in 2027, with no more payments before 2028. The plan needs at least 95% of the remaining claims to join. The mesothelioma cases are not part of the plan.
- July 15, 2026Johnson & Johnson reported Q2 2026 results. Sales grew 6.6% to $25.3 billion, and adjusted EPS grew 4.7% to $2.90. The company raised its 2026 guidance before the Firefly and Sail deals.
- April 14, 2026Johnson & Johnson reported Q1 2026 results. Sales grew 9.9% to $24.1 billion, and adjusted EPS was $2.70. In the quarter, the FDA approved ICOTYDE, the first targeted oral peptide for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis, and TECVAYLI with DARZALEX FASPRO for multiple myeloma as early as the second line of treatment.
- January 21, 2026Johnson & Johnson reported 2025 results. Sales grew 6.0% to $94.2 billion, and adjusted EPS was $10.79. The company gave its first 2026 guidance, with sales of about $100.5 billion.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 13, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 20, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 27, 2026Filed · jnj-20260927
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · jnj-20261013
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · jnj-20260804
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · jnj-20260729
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · jnj-20260727
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 28, 2026Filed · jnj-20260628
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · jnj-20260715
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · jnj-20260423
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 29, 2026Filed · jnj-20260329
- 8-KEarnings release and Other company newsFiled · jnj-20260414
Risks
- The ovarian talc settlement needs at least 95% of the remaining claims to join. If it fails, the cases go back to trial. The mesothelioma cases continue outside the plan, and the company also faces talc cases in Canada. The talc reserve was about $9.0 billion at September 27, 2026.
- Biosimilars cut sales of older medicines. STELARA lost about 4.2 points of worldwide sales growth in Q3 2026. SIMPONI biosimilars entered Europe in Q2 2026, and a US biosimilar can come later in 2026.
- US drug price policy can lower prices. Medicare price negotiation, international reference prices and the company's voluntary pricing agreements with the US government can cut revenue from some medicines.
- The separation of the Orthopaedics business is complex. It costs money (about $0.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026), and a delay past mid-2027 or a weak new company can lower value for shareholders.
- MedTech grows slowly. MedTech operational sales grew only 2.5% in Q3 2026, and conflicts in the Middle East lowered growth in Surgery.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $17.2B
- Debt
- $44.7B
- Net debt
- $27.4B
- Credit line
- $12.5B
- undrawn, to June 2027
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $27.4B
When the debt is due
Johnson & Johnson funds itself with bonds and commercial paper. At September 27, 2026, cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were about $17.2 billion. Notes payable and long-term debt were about $44.6 billion, of which $8.9 billion was short-term loans and notes payable, so net debt was $27.4 billion, almost the same as a year earlier. The company can issue up to $20 billion of commercial paper, and in June 2026 it signed a new 364-day credit facility of $12.5 billion that ends on June 23, 2027. It must also pay about $9.0 billion for talc matters, about $3.2 billion of bonds that are due soon, about $2.6 billion if it uses its option to buy Sail and about $0.9 billion for opioid settlements. In the first nine months of 2026, cash from operations was $18.9 billion, and the company paid $9.6 billion of dividends and $6.0 billion for its own shares. Free cash flow was about $15.1 billion in that period, as the company estimated on October 13, 2026.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 1.9% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $282.11)
- Paid per share
- $5.28 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $5.36 ($1.34 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 47% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 28, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 25, 2026, $1.34 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $3.15 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.32 | |
| 2018 | $3.54 | |
| 2019 | $3.75 | |
| 2020 | $3.98 | |
| 2021 | $4.19 | |
| 2022 | $4.45 | |
| 2023 | $4.70 | |
| 2024 | $4.91 | |
| 2025 | $5.14 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 5.0% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 5.5% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Johnson & Johnson
What does Johnson & Johnson do?
Johnson & Johnson is a healthcare company with two segments. Innovative Medicine makes prescription medicines for immunology, cancer, neuroscience, heart and lung diseases. Its market cap is $679B at the current price of $282.11.
When does Johnson & Johnson report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Johnson & Johnson may report on January 20, 2027. It last reported results on October 13, 2026.
Is Johnson & Johnson stock below its intrinsic value?
Johnson & Johnson stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Johnson & Johnson?
The latest update is from October 27, 2026. Johnson & Johnson said that it will hold its Enterprise Business Review for investors on December 8, 2026.
What are the main risks for Johnson & Johnson?
The ovarian talc settlement needs at least 95% of the remaining claims to join. Biosimilars cut sales of older medicines. US drug price policy can lower prices.
How much debt and cash does Johnson & Johnson have?
At September 27, 2026, Johnson & Johnson had $44.7B of debt and $17.2B of cash.
Does Johnson & Johnson pay a dividend?
Yes. Johnson & Johnson paid $5.28 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 1.9% at the current price of $282.11. The latest ex-dividend date was August 25, 2026.
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