TJXOff-price retail
TJX Companies
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $138.13
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Nov 18 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $152B
- Shares of Aug 21, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 25.6
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $5.40
- 12 months to Aug 1, 2026
- 52-week range
- $122.78 – $170.00
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.58
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 7.7M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that TJX can keep its profit growth after one-time tariff refunds, and a recovery at Marmaxx with higher margins and faster store growth can close the gap within about a year.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q3 fiscal 2027 report expected in mid-November 2026 and the fiscal 2028 plan expected in late February 2027 are dated checks within about a year.
Company guidance: Diluted EPS of $5.31 to $5.36 and comparable sales growth of 3% to 4% for fiscal 2027 (, Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
TJX is the largest off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions in the United States and in the world. It sells brand-name goods at prices below those of department and specialty stores. It has four segments: Marmaxx (TJ Maxx, Marshalls and Sierra in the U.S.), HomeGoods (HomeGoods and Homesense in the U.S.), TJX Canada (Winners, HomeSense and Marshalls) and TJX International (TK Maxx and Homesense in Europe and TK Maxx in Australia).
It had 5,285 stores at August 1, 2026. Net sales were $60.4 billion in fiscal 2026, which ended on January 31, 2026. Its buyers get goods from about 21,000 vendors.
Thesis
The market doubts that TJX can keep its recent growth in profit. Part of the fiscal 2027 profit comes from one-time refunds of tariffs. In Q2 fiscal 2027, refunds of $331 million less related bonus costs added $0.14 to diluted EPS. Comparable sales at Marmaxx, the largest division, grew only 1%, below the plan, while the other divisions grew 6% to 7%.
Store wage and payroll costs also rise. For the gap to close, three things must be true. Marmaxx comparable sales must recover, as management said they started to do early in Q3. The adjusted pretax margin must keep rising without help from tariff refunds, from the fiscal 2027 guidance of 12.0% to 12.1%.
Store growth must speed up to 4% a year from fiscal 2028, on the way to a target of 7,500 stores. The Q3 fiscal 2027 report, expected in mid-November 2026, gives the next test with the holiday quarter guidance. The full-year report, expected in late February 2027, gives the fiscal 2028 plan. If these checks pass, the gap can close within about a year.
Checkpoints
- Nov 18, 2026 · est.PendingQ3 fiscal 2027 results: Marmaxx and holiday outlookComparable sales at the top of the 2% to 3% guidance with better Marmaxx sales and a kept full-year outlook pass; weak Marmaxx sales or a lower outlook fail.
- Feb 24, 2027 · est.PendingFull-year fiscal 2027 results and fiscal 2028 planA fiscal 2028 plan with a higher adjusted pretax margin and 4% store growth passes; a lower margin without tariff refunds fails.
Recent events
- October 15, 2026TJX said that Kenneth Canestrari, Senior Executive Vice President and Group President, plans to retire on April 30, 2027. He stops serving as an executive officer on January 31, 2027.
- August 19, 2026TJX reported Q2 fiscal 2027 results. Net sales grew 5% to $15.2 billion, and comparable sales grew 4%, above plan. Diluted EPS was $1.36, or $1.22 without a net benefit from tariff refunds, up 11%. Marmaxx comparable sales grew only 1%, while HomeGoods, TJX Canada and TJX International grew 6% to 7%. TJX raised its fiscal 2027 diluted EPS guidance to $5.31 to $5.36, or $5.15 to $5.20 without tariff refunds.
- August 19, 2026TJX said that it plans to increase its store growth to 4% a year from fiscal 2028. It raised its long-term target to 7,500 stores in its current banners and countries.
Show 2 older eventsHide older events
- May 20, 2026TJX reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results. Net sales grew 9% to $14.3 billion, comparable sales grew 6% and diluted EPS rose 29% to $1.19. It raised its fiscal 2027 guidance and its planned buybacks to $2.75 billion to $3.0 billion.
- February 25, 2026TJX reported Q4 and full-year fiscal 2026 results. Q4 comparable sales grew 5%, and full-year net sales grew 7% to $60.4 billion. It planned to raise the quarterly dividend by 13% to $0.48 per share.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- August 19, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about November 18, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · tjx-20261015
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · tjx-20260916
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Aug 1, 2026Filed · tjx-20260801
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · tjx-20260819
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · tjx-20260609
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended May 2, 2026Filed · tjx-20260502
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · tjx-20260520
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Jan 31, 2026Filed · tjx-20260131
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · tjx-20260225
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Nov 1, 2025Filed · tjx-20251101
Risks
- Tariff refunds raise profit in fiscal 2027, but the amount and timing of more refunds are uncertain. Without them, profit growth is slower. New tariffs can also raise the cost of goods.
- Marmaxx, about 60% of sales, grew comparable sales only 1% in Q2 fiscal 2027. A weaker U.S. consumer or more competition can keep growth slow in the largest division.
- Store wages and payroll costs rise. SG&A costs were 19.7% of sales in Q2 fiscal 2027 without the tariff-related bonus costs, up 0.2 percentage points.
- TJX Canada and TJX International earn in other currencies. A stronger dollar lowers reported sales and profit.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $6.0B
- Debt
- $2.9B
- Net cash
- $3.1B
- Credit line
- $1.5B
- undrawn, to May 2030
Cash against debt
debt covered by cash
When the debt is due
The last debt is due in 2050.
TJX has more cash than debt. At August 1, 2026, cash was $6.0 billion, and debt was $2.879 billion of senior unsecured notes. The largest note, $1.0 billion of 2.250% notes, was due on September 15, 2026, and TJX said that it would repay it with operating cash flow. The other notes are due in 2028, 2030, 2031 and 2050. TJX also had operating lease liabilities of $11.4 billion for its stores, which are not in the debt figure. It has two $750 million revolving credit facilities, due in May 2029 and May 2030, with no borrowings, and it had no commercial paper. In the first half of fiscal 2027, operating cash flow was $3.3 billion and capital spending was $1.2 billion. TJX expects capital spending of $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion for fiscal 2027 and buybacks of $2.75 billion to $3.0 billion.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 1.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $138.13)
- Paid per share
- $1.81 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.92 ($0.48 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 34% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended January 31, 2026)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 13, 2026, $0.48 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.495 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.5995 | |
| 2018 | $0.7415 | |
| 2019 | $0.885 | |
| 2020 | $0.23 | |
| 2021 | $1.04 | |
| 2022 | $1.145 | |
| 2023 | $1.294 | |
| 2024 | $1.458 | |
| 2025 | $1.65 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 11.7% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 13.8% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about TJX Companies
What does TJX Companies do?
TJX is the largest off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions in the United States and in the world. It sells brand-name goods at prices below those of department and specialty stores. Its market cap is $152B at the current price of $138.13.
When does TJX Companies report earnings next?
This is an estimate: TJX Companies may report on November 18, 2026. It last reported results on August 19, 2026.
Is TJX Companies stock below its intrinsic value?
TJX Companies stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at TJX Companies?
The latest update is from October 15, 2026. TJX said that Kenneth Canestrari, Senior Executive Vice President and Group President, plans to retire on April 30, 2027.
What are the main risks for TJX Companies?
Tariff refunds raise profit in fiscal 2027, but the amount and timing of more refunds are uncertain. Marmaxx, about 60% of sales, grew comparable sales only 1% in Q2 fiscal 2027. Store wages and payroll costs rise.
How much debt and cash does TJX Companies have?
At August 1, 2026, TJX Companies had $2.9B of debt and $6.0B of cash.
Does TJX Companies pay a dividend?
Yes. TJX Companies paid $1.81 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 1.3% at the current price of $138.13. The latest ex-dividend date was August 13, 2026.
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