Tariffs and trade rules change what these companies pay for goods and what they can charge. Some can move production or pass the cost on, and some cannot. The dates of new rules and trade deals are the events to follow.
This is information, not advice (see the disclaimer).
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market sees Gentex as a mirror maker that no longer grows, and only new products that lift revenue faster than vehicle production through 2027 and 2028 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 23, 2027 (estimate))
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
A short seller says Gildan pushed too much stock into its channel and Q3 2026 sales missed guidance, so sales that stabilize in 2027 with falling leverage can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Campbell's for a continued decline, so the gap closes slowly, and only if cost savings and growth at Rao's and Goldfish hold into fiscal 2028.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q1 2027 earnings: Snacks trend and guidance (Dec 8, 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The farm machinery cycle is at a low point and farm incomes are weak, so the gap closes slowly as farmers buy machines again in 2027 and 2028.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 9, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Carrier can keep its margins as input costs and tariffs rise, and stable margins with a record backlog that turns into sales in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 guidance (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market doubts that North America can grow profit again after PepsiCo cut its 2026 earnings guidance, so the gap closes slowly if new cost cuts and price increases lift margins without volume losses during 2027.
Next checkpoint: Update on the North America supply chain and go-to-market review (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Falling Americas sales, tariffs and a full change of leaders make investors doubt the lululemon brand, so the gap closes slowly, only if a new product line restores growth.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2026 results: Americas sales (Dec 3, 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Deckers for slower HOKA and UGG growth after a cut to its sales outlook, and a return to the growth of its multi-year framework with steady margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: UGG holiday season (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Weak volumes, Middle East costs and new Eddyfi debt hold ESAB down, so margins must recover and debt must fall over the next four to six quarters for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Federal Realty for retail tenant risk and higher interest costs, and record leasing that lifts occupancy and FFO growth in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: 2027 guidance and FFO growth (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Ford for EV losses, tariffs, recalls and supply problems, and reaching its raised 2026 guidance with smaller EV losses in 2027 can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: 2027 guidance: EBIT and Model e losses (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices GlobalFoundries as a maker of mature chips that faces price pressure from Chinese foundries, and steady growth in data center products with higher margins and free cash flow can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Groundbreaking of the first new fab in Malta (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors see Lear as a low-margin supplier tied to car production and tariffs, so the gap closes slowly, only as margins rise and buybacks continue through the cycle.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Weak home HVAC margins, price competition and two cuts to the 2026 EPS guidance hold Lennox back, and a recovery in home margins with steady commercial growth over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Mattel for lower margins from tariffs and a new CEO, and a holiday season that meets the lower 2026 guidance with a clear 2027 plan can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2027 guidance under the new CEO (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices PACCAR for a weak North American truck market and unclear emissions rules, and higher deliveries with a firm 2027 outlook over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: 2027 market outlook (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices PDD Holdings for lower profits, trade and EU rule risk for Temu and China risk, and steady profit growth with a clear use for its large cash can close part of the gap over several quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: profit trend (Nov 18, 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Memory chip costs and an aging PS5 hold Sony back, and game profit that reaches the raised forecast with a strong holiday quarter can close the gap over two to four quarters.
Next checkpoint: Grand Theft Auto VI launch (Nov 19, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Strong AI demand and pricing can close the execution part of the gap, but the market will probably keep a discount for Taiwan-China risk.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 15, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear weak Aerials and refuse truck margins and the risk of the REV integration and the Aerials separation, and results on plan with a fair Aerials deal over three to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Watsco for lower margins after the 2025 price increases, and stable margins with growing volume over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and first Granite Group quarter (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices AGCO for a long farm equipment downturn after it cut its 2026 outlook, and a recovery in farm demand with lower dealer inventories in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Amer Sports can keep its growth and margins with a large China business, and results in line with its guidance through early 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 earnings: growth and margin (Nov 17, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Applied Materials for a peak in chip equipment spending and for China risk, and growth in memory, logic and packaging through fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 12, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Arista's growth can last with two very large customers, and fast growth from more customers with a stable gross margin into 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Asbury for lower dealer profits and a costly software change, and lower costs in 2027 after the Tekion rollout ended in October 2026 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: first quarter after the rollout (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices AutoNation for falling vehicle sales and profits, and the gap closes slowly only if unit sales stabilize while After-Sales and AutoNation Finance keep growing.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: AutoNation Finance and leverage (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that AutoZone can grow profit per share as before, and stronger domestic sales with a margin that holds without one-time items can close the gap over three to four quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results: same-store sales and buyback pace (Dec 8, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Boeing can raise production and turn its record backlog into cash on time, and steady 737 rates, the 777-9 certification and positive cash flow can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that Caterpillar's record results from data center power and mining are a cycle peak, and steady orders and margins as the backlog turns into sales can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Fewer people buy Corona and Modelo while Hispanic consumers are under pressure, and beer depletions that grow again in 2027 can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q3 results: beer depletions (Jan 6, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Corning can reach its Springboard growth targets at an acceptable cost, and optical growth with a profitable Solar business through 2028 can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: $20 billion run rate (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Foot Locker can be fixed after DICK'S cut its 2026 outlook, so Foot Locker losses must shrink and its sales must grow again in 2027 for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: Foot Locker losses and DICK'S comparable sales (Nov 24, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Eastman for weak demand in cars, buildings and textiles and for temporary gains in chemicals, and a recovery in specialty volumes with growth from recycling can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Gap for weak sales at Old Navy and Athleta and for tariff costs, and better Old Navy sales over the holidays with stable margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2026 results: Old Navy trend (Nov 19, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Graco for slow organic growth and lower margins from costs and acquisitions, and orders that turn into sales with a recovering margin over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: organic growth and margins (Jan 25, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Investors see a tobacco business that shrinks in volume and depends on price increases, so Imperial must show steady profit growth and profitable new products over several years to close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 17, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices KLA for a peak in chip equipment spending and for China risk, and steady growth in process control through 2027 with a stable margin can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: U.S. export rule for affiliates of listed parties (Nov 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Lam Research for a peak in chip equipment spending and a rising share of sales to China, and growth in memory and logic in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: U.S. export rule for affiliates of listed parties (Nov 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Lithia Motors for lower profit per vehicle and higher debt, and growth in used vehicles, aftersales and finance income with falling leverage can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: earnings and leverage (Feb 10, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Magna for the risks of the auto cycle and tariffs, and results on the raised 2026 outlook with a 2027 outlook for higher margins can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Investor Day: longer-term outlook (Nov 11, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Molson Coors for a long decline in beer volumes and higher costs, and stable US volumes with recovering margins in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that NXP's 2026 growth is a short car chip restocking, and growth that continues with stable channel inventory over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and Q1 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market doubts that Nestlé can grow volume without price increases while its debt is high, and only steady RIG growth and debt cuts over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: margin, free cash flow and net debt (Feb 18, 2027)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Nike for a long turnaround with falling sales in China and its lifestyle brands, and only a return to revenue growth and higher margins from Pace savings can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: decline and margins (Dec 17, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors doubt that Oshkosh can turn its large backlog into profit after fire truck output fell and it cut its 2026 outlook twice, so a recovery in fire truck output in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Ovintiv for the risk of lower oil prices and weak Canadian gas prices, and steady production with higher shareholder returns over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: 2027 capital plan (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Calvin Klein and TOMMY HILFIGER can grow while Europe and wholesale stay weak, and steady direct sales with a stable EMEA through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 earnings: EMEA and margin (Dec 2, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Prologis can grow per-share earnings with high rates and the SEGRO deal, and steady rent growth, a smooth SEGRO close and new data center leases can close the gap within two years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 20, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market removed part of the war premium from RTX and still prices the GTF engine problem, and funded missile orders with fewer grounded GTF aircraft over two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: 2027 outlook and GTF fleet (Jan 20, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Smith+Nephew for weak Orthopaedics growth and two cuts to its 2026 outlook, and growth from new knee and hip products in 2027 can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Mar 1, 2027)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Textron for slow profit growth and the funding risk on the MV-75 Cheyenne, and secure funding with more jet deliveries and the Industrial separation can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results, the 2027 guidance and the Industrial separation (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Tractor Supply's growth stalled and it withdrew its long-term targets, and steady comparable sales growth with a credible new framework over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and new long-term framework (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices West Fraser for weak housing demand and trade barriers on Canadian wood, and a housing recovery over 2027 and 2028 with lower costs after mill curtailments can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 targets (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Xylem for flat revenue after it cut its 2026 outlook, and orders that turn into growth in 2027, higher margins and deals that add to earnings can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Cornell Pump and Roper Pump purchase closes (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Weak US water heater demand and rising costs hold the stock down after the China sale, and price increases that hold with stable volumes over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance without China (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Acuity for flat lighting sales and lower lighting margins, and steady lighting volume with fast growth in Intelligent Spaces through fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings: lighting volume (Jan 7, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that AMD can keep its AI growth against Nvidia, and an on-time MI450 ramp with new large customers and steady margins through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: Helios and MI450 ramp (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors doubt that Allegion can grow margins in a slow construction market, and higher margins with volume growth over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Allison for a possible truck downturn and the debt from its Off-Highway purchase, and steady truck demand with higher Off-Highway margins can close the gap over three to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance: synergies and debt (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
After three large trial failures in 2026, the market doubts the 2030 revenue goal, and good trial results with steady growth over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 9, 2027)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
US tariffs now take a large part of BRP's profit, and the gap closes only as mitigation or a change in US trade policy restores its margins over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: tariff cost and retail sales (Dec 3, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Badger Meter for falling sales as utility meter projects start late, and a ramp of awarded projects in late 2026 and 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: return to growth (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Birkenstock for a slowdown after years of fast growth and for share sales by its main owner, and steady growth with a stable margin in fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Dec 10, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market fears that people will drink less spirits for many years, and a return to organic sales growth under a new CEO can close the gap only slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: organic sales trend (Dec 2, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Brunswick for weak boat demand from cautious buyers and high rates, and a recovery in retail demand with steady engine and parts sales in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 report and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market expects nitrogen prices to fall after the Middle East supply shock, and tight supply into 2027 with a Yazoo City restart can close the gap over a full price cycle.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: prices and Yazoo City cost (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that Cisco's AI and campus networking upturn will last and fears lower margins, and steady orders with stable gross margin through fiscal 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results: margins and AI orders (Nov 12, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Weak US spirits demand, tariffs and high debt hold Diageo back, and the gap can close slowly if the new plan stops the US share loss and cuts leverage by fiscal 2029.
Next checkpoint: Sale of East African Breweries completes (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices DuPont for its legacy PFAS liabilities and doubts about the smaller company after its spin-off and sale, and steady growth with contained PFAS costs through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
A weak housing market and a new leadership team hold Fortune Brands down, so sales must grow again and margins must rise without one-time tariff and tax gains for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Fiberon sale closes (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Cost inflation, China and a weak monitoring unit hold GE HealthCare's profit back, and higher margins and cash from its large backlog over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Investors doubt that Grainger's 2026 margins last after one-time tariff refunds, and a stable margin in the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that weak pool spending and tariffs will stop Hayward's price-led growth, and stable volume and margins over the next three to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Masco's North American sales grew again in Q3 2026 with help from higher prices, but demand stays weak, so sales and volumes must keep growing in 2027 for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Medline for a cut to its profit guidance, the Tracy fire and sales by its private equity owners, and results on the new guidance with good insurance recoveries can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Tracy fire insurance and 2027 guidance (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Investors doubt that Mizuho can keep its higher returns when Japanese rate rises slow, and profit on target with steady buybacks through fiscal 2026 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: First half fiscal 2026 results (Nov 13, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices PPG for weak volumes and higher costs, and prices that stay ahead of inflation, better industrial margins and a lasting refinish recovery over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Polaris as an indebted maker of vehicles that people buy with cheap credit, and only steady profit without tariff refunds and lower debt over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value (AI estimate)
Sucro trades between a low value on cash earnings and a higher takeover floor, so the gap closes only if refinery margins recover or Beta San Miguel bids from May 2027.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: underlying adjusted EBITDA (Nov 19, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that TJX can keep its profit growth after one-time tariff refunds, and a recovery at Marmaxx with higher margins and faster store growth can close the gap within about a year.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: Marmaxx and holiday outlook (Nov 18, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Toyota for falling profit, US tariffs and the move to new technologies, and results on track for its raised forecast with steady buybacks can close the gap over three to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 earnings: the raised forecast (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Trane can turn its record backlog into higher margins after the data center boom, and rising margins with strong orders through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that UPS can grow profit after it chose to carry less volume, and higher margins with free cash flow above the dividend over the next years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 26, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Vontier as a slow company tied to gasoline and weak tool demand, and a return to core growth over the next two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that the 2026 World Cup year is a peak for adidas, and steady growth in 2027 with a recovery in footwear can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Pricey · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices STERIS for slower sterilization services growth, tariffs and the debt for its Xodus purchase, and steady organic growth with a clean close can close the gap over three to five quarters.
Next checkpoint: Xodus purchase closes (Dec 31, 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for 3M's margin turnaround and its PFAS settlement, and only strong claimant participation with steady EPS growth in 2027 can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 19, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Agnico Eagle's low-risk mines and net cash at a near-record gold price, and only a high gold price with projects on time and costs in guidance can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 11, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for Apple's steady cash flow and Services growth, and the premium holds only if margins stay firm as memory costs rise and courts leave its Services profit intact.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results: margin and iPhone cycle (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for CIBC's fast rise in returns, and only returns that hold when markets slow and credit losses rise can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results (Dec 3, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Deere's recovery from the bottom of the farm cycle and for its precision technology, and higher large farm sales and earnings from fiscal 2027 can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 25, 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Emerson's control systems and software and its strong orders, and only sales growth and margins on its fiscal 2027 guidance can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Intuitive's lead in robotic surgery, and procedure growth in the mid-teens with stable margins against new competitors can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 20, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for the brand, the growth record and the cash of Monster, and only fast sales growth with stable margins as costs rise can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: margins and US growth (Feb 25, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Parker-Hannifin trades at a premium because investors pay for record margins, aerospace aftermarket sales and acquisitions, and Filtration Group results on plan with falling debt can earn it.
Next checkpoint: CIRCOR Aerospace closing (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors doubt that P&G can grow its profit while its costs rise, and volume growth that lasts while the margin recovers and one-time costs end can close the gap over the next two to three quarters.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings: holiday-quarter volume and guidance (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for RBC's high and steady returns in Canada, and only returns that hold when markets slow and credit losses rise can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 objectives (Dec 3, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Investors pay a premium for Siemens' automation software and its data center growth, and steady software growth, strong data center orders and a completed Healthineers spin-off can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 12, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Thermo Fisher's scale and steady growth, and only faster organic growth with lower debt after the Clario purchase can earn it over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for TD's fast recovery in returns after its money laundering failures in the United States, and only returns that hold when markets slow and the remediation there ends can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 targets (Dec 3, 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Union Pacific's western rail network and the planned Norfolk Southern merger, and STB approval with steady EPS growth through 2027 can earn it.
Next checkpoint: STB comments on the merger due (Nov 18, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Walmart's steady growth and rising profit from advertising and membership, and only margins that keep rising after the tariff refunds can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: margins after tariff refunds (Nov 19, 2026 (estimate))
Pass rate counts thesis checkpoints that came true. It is not an investment return. Past results do not predict future results.
Every result is on the checkpoints page.
Picks gives general opinions about stocks, including a "Top pick" label. They are not tailored to your needs, goals or risk tolerance. Kevin is not a registered adviser and relies on the general-advice exemption in Canadian securities law (NI 31-103 s.8.25). Do your own research, or ask a registered adviser. Kevin may hold any stock on this site. Read the Disclaimer.