By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- CA$175.53
- Analysts view
- Analysts Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Dec 3 · · estimated
- Market cap
- CA$297B
- Shares of Oct 31, 2025
- 52-week range
- CA$112.53 – CA$179.80
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.50
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 5.5M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors pay a premium for TD's fast recovery in returns after its money laundering failures in the United States, and only returns that hold when markets slow and the remediation there ends can earn it.
- Gap
- Slow. The Q4 fiscal 2026 report expected on December 3, 2026 is the next test, but the premium needs high returns and a finished U.S. remediation over several years.
Company guidance: About 13% adjusted ROE, 6-8% adjusted EPS growth and a CET1 ratio of 13%+ for fiscal 2026 (, Q4 2025 earnings news release (6-K Ex. 99.2))
Price history
About
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is the sixth largest bank in North America by assets, and it serves 28.2 million clients. It has four segments: Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, U.S. Banking, Wealth Management and Insurance, and Wholesale Banking. Wholesale Banking includes TD Securities and TD Cowen.
Total assets were $2.11 trillion and deposits were $1.26 trillion at July 31, 2026. In October 2024, TD pleaded guilty in the United States to failures in its anti-money laundering program. Under that resolution, the average combined assets of its two U.S. bank subsidiaries cannot exceed US$434 billion. TD sold its remaining stake in Charles Schwab in February 2025 but still holds Schwab client deposits under an agreement to 2034.
All amounts are in Canadian dollars unless the text says otherwise. The fiscal year ends on October 31.
Thesis
TD trades at a premium because investors pay for a fast recovery in its returns after the U.S. anti-money laundering failures of 2024. Adjusted return on equity was 16.0% in Q3 fiscal 2026, and the bank already passed its fiscal 2026 target of about 13%. Adjusted diluted EPS grew 26% to $2.77. Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, Wealth Management and Wholesale Banking all had record earnings.
TD bought back $7 billion of shares by September 25, 2026 and started a new buyback of up to $10 billion in October 2026. The price assumes that returns stay near the fiscal 2029 target of about 16% adjusted return on equity and that the U.S. remediation stays on plan. For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. Wholesale Banking and Wealth Management must keep most of their gains when markets are less active, because they gave a large part of the profit growth.
U.S. Banking must raise its return on equity from 10.2% in Q3 fiscal 2026 while its assets stay under the U.S. limit. Credit losses must stay near 0.37% of loans, even with weaker consumer credit in Canada and trade tension with the United States. The Q4 fiscal 2026 report, expected in early December 2026, gives the first test with the targets for fiscal 2027.
The U.S. lookback review of suspicious activity reports, which TD expects to complete in calendar 2027, is a second test. If returns fall back toward 13% when markets slow, the premium can shrink within one to two years.
Checkpoints
- Dec 3, 2026 · est.PendingQ4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 targetsAdjusted return on equity near 15% or more, stable credit losses and fiscal 2027 targets on the path to about 16% pass; lower returns or a large rise in provisions fail.
- 2027 · est.PendingU.S. lookback review and remediation milestonesCompletion of the U.S. lookback review of suspicious activity reports in calendar 2027 with no new penalties passes; new findings, higher costs or a delay fail.
Recent events
- October 8, 2026The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions approved TD's new share buyback of up to $10 billion, and not more than 61 million shares. The buyback started on October 9, 2026, and TD intends to complete it by July 2027.
- September 30, 2026TD said that it completed the buyback of $7 billion of its shares, or 47.2 million shares, on September 25, 2026. It announced its intention to start a new buyback of up to $10 billion.
- September 3, 2026TD announced senior leadership appointments. Renu Gupta became Chief Strategy and Commercial Officer, and Vlad Shpilsky became Group Head, Global Technology and Solutions.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- August 27, 2026TD reported Q3 fiscal 2026 results. Reported net income was $4.6 billion and reported diluted EPS was $2.74, up from $1.89. Adjusted diluted EPS grew 26% to $2.77, and adjusted return on equity was 16.0%. U.S. Banking net income was $1.07 billion, with a return on equity of 10.2%. The CET1 ratio was 14.3%. TD now expects U.S. anti-money laundering remediation costs of about US$550 million before tax in fiscal 2026, up from US$500 million.
- May 28, 2026TD reported Q2 fiscal 2026 results. Reported diluted EPS was $2.43, adjusted diluted EPS was $2.38 and adjusted return on equity was 14.4%.
- December 4, 2025TD reported fiscal 2025 results. Reported diluted EPS was $11.56, which included the gain on the sale of its Schwab stake, and adjusted diluted EPS was $8.37. It set fiscal 2026 targets of about 13% adjusted return on equity and 6% to 8% adjusted EPS growth, and fiscal 2029 targets of about 16% adjusted return on equity and 7% to 10% adjusted EPS growth.
Latest news and filings
- Next earnings
- Expected about December 3, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jul 31, 2026Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Apr 30, 2026Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jan 31, 2026Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Oct 31, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- TD must complete the remediation of its U.S. anti-money laundering program under consent orders, plea agreements and monitors. Important milestones remain in 2026 and 2027, and new findings can add costs, delays or penalties. The U.S. asset limit stays until regulators lift it. A review of the enterprise program in Canada can also lead to more regulatory actions.
- Credit losses can rise. Impaired provisions in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking rose 19% in Q3 fiscal 2026 because of weaker consumer credit, and trade tension with the United States can hurt business clients.
- A large part of the profit growth came from markets. Wholesale Banking net income rose 87% in Q3 fiscal 2026. If markets slow, this profit can fall quickly.
- The U.S. asset limit restricts growth in U.S. Banking. Average U.S. deposits fell 5% in Q3 fiscal 2026 as TD restructured its U.S. balance sheet.
- Schwab client deposits with TD have a floor of US$60 billion under the agreement. Lower deposit volumes or lower rates can reduce the income from these deposits.
Balance sheet
TD funds itself mainly with deposits, which were $1.26 trillion at July 31, 2026, and total assets were $2.11 trillion. The CET1 ratio was 14.3%, the leverage ratio was 4.5% and the total loss absorbing capacity ratio was 31.1%. Total equity was $127.0 billion, and book value was $69.69 per share on 1,638.4 million shares. Term funding was $188.4 billion. The provision for credit losses was $917 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, or 0.37% of net average loans. Over the 12 months to July 31, 2026, reported earnings before interest and taxes covered the interest and dividend requirements on subordinated debt and preferred equity 17.2 times. TD paid a quarterly dividend of $1.12 per share in Q3 fiscal 2026. It completed a $7 billion buyback on September 25, 2026 and started a new program of up to $10 billion on October 9, 2026. For a bank, net debt is not a useful measure, so this profile does not show debt figures.
As of
Show 5 sourcesHide sources
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/947263/000156276226000098/ex994.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/947263/000156276226000098/ex991.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/947263/000156276226000098/ex992.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/947263/000127956926000934/ex991.htm
- sec.gov /Archives/edgar/data/947263/000127956926000964/ex991.htm
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 2.5% (last 12 months, at today’s price of CA$175.53)
- Paid per share
- CA$4.40 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- CA$4.48 (CA$1.12 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 9, 2026, CA$1.12 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | CA$2.16 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CA$2.35 | |
| 2018 | CA$2.61 | |
| 2019 | CA$2.89 | |
| 2020 | CA$3.11 | |
| 2021 | CA$3.16 | |
| 2022 | CA$3.56 | |
| 2023 | CA$3.84 | |
| 2024 | CA$4.08 | |
| 2025 | CA$4.20 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 6.8% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 7.4% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Toronto-Dominion Bank
What does Toronto-Dominion Bank do?
The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) is the sixth largest bank in North America by assets, and it serves 28.2 million clients. It has four segments: Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking, U.S. Banking, Wealth Management and Insurance, and Wholesale Banking. Its market cap is CA$297B at the current price of CA$175.53.
When does Toronto-Dominion Bank report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Toronto-Dominion Bank may report on December 3, 2026. It last reported results on August 27, 2026.
Is Toronto-Dominion Bank stock below its intrinsic value?
Toronto-Dominion Bank stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Toronto-Dominion Bank?
The latest update is from October 8, 2026. The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions approved TD's new share buyback of up to $10 billion, and not more than 61 million shares.
What are the main risks for Toronto-Dominion Bank?
TD must complete the remediation of its U.S. anti-money laundering program under consent orders, plea agreements and monitors. Credit losses can rise. A large part of the profit growth came from markets.
How much debt and cash does Toronto-Dominion Bank have?
TD funds itself mainly with deposits, which were $1.26 trillion at July 31, 2026, and total assets were $2.11 trillion. This is as of July 31, 2026.
Does Toronto-Dominion Bank pay a dividend?
Yes. Toronto-Dominion Bank paid CA$4.40 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 2.5% at the current price of CA$175.53. The latest ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.
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