By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $188.63
- Analysts view
- Analysts Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 19 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $97B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 28.2
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.70
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $139.34 – $196.90
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.99
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors pay a premium for 3M's margin turnaround and its PFAS settlement, and only strong claimant participation with steady EPS growth in 2027 can earn it.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance, expected in January 2027, and claimant participation in the PFAS settlement test the premium within about a year.
Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $9.10 to $9.15 and adjusted free cash flow of about $4.8 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
3M makes industrial, safety, transportation, electronics and consumer products from its materials science, such as adhesives, abrasives, films, respirators, hearing protection and optical connectivity products for data centers. It spun off its health care business as Solventum in April 2024 and still holds Solventum shares. It is leaving the manufacture of PFAS.
In July 2026, with Bain Capital, it bought Madison Fire & Rescue, a maker of rescue and fire suppression products, for $1.9 billion. Sales were $6.6 billion in Q3 2026.
Thesis
3M trades at a premium because investors pay for a turnaround in margins and for the end of its largest legal risks. The adjusted operating margin rose to 26.2% in Q3 2026, adjusted EPS grew 12% to $2.50 and the company raised its 2026 guidance to $9.10 to $9.15. On November 3, 2026, it agreed to settle most PFAS personal injury claims in the AFFF MDL for $7.35 billion over 2026 to 2034. The price assumes that adjusted EPS keeps growing near a double-digit rate and that legal costs stay inside the agreed settlements.
For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. Enough claimants must join the new settlement, so 3M does not end it and few claims remain outside it. Adjusted organic sales growth must stay near 3% or more, with help from data center and optical products. Adjusted free cash flow must stay near the 2026 guidance of about $4.8 billion, because settlement payments come on top of it.
The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance, expected in January 2027, gives the next test, and the participation result of the settlement gives another. If participation is low or growth slows, the premium can shrink within one to two years.
Checkpoints
- Oct 20, 2026PassedQ3 2026 resultsAdjusted organic growth near 3% or more, a higher adjusted margin and higher guidance pass; lower guidance fails.Outcome: Adjusted organic sales rose 3.3%, the adjusted operating margin rose to 26.2% and 3M raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $9.10 to $9.15.
- Jan 19, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 guidance for adjusted EPS growth near 8% or more and adjusted free cash flow near 2026 levels pass; weak guidance or new legal charges fail.
- 2027 · est.PendingParticipation in the PFAS personal injury settlementParticipation above the thresholds, so the settlement goes ahead, passes; low participation or a decision by 3M to end the settlement fails.
Recent events
- November 3, 20263M agreed to a settlement that is intended to resolve most PFAS personal injury claims in the AFFF multidistrict litigation. 3M will pay a nominal total of $7.35 billion between 2026 and 2034, if enough claimants join. It will record a pre-tax charge of about $5.8 billion in Q4 2026 and does not admit liability.
- October 20, 20263M reported Q3 2026 results. Sales rose 1.0% to $6.6 billion, and adjusted organic sales rose 3.3%. The adjusted operating margin rose to 26.2%, and adjusted EPS rose 12% to $2.50. GAAP EPS was $2.63. Adjusted free cash flow was $1.2 billion. 3M raised its 2026 guidance to adjusted EPS of $9.10 to $9.15 and adjusted free cash flow of about $4.8 billion. It also reported a broader agreement with Amazon for optical connectivity and other data center products.
- September 3, 20263M agreed to sell €1.5 billion of notes: €500 million each of 3.500% notes due 2028, 3.900% notes due 2031 and 4.100% notes due 2034.
Show 1 older eventHide older events
- July 21, 20263M reported Q2 2026 results. Adjusted organic sales rose 5.4%, the adjusted operating margin was 24.9% and adjusted EPS rose 11% to $2.40. It raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $8.80 to $8.95.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 20, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 19, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KNew material agreement and Other company newsFiled · mmm-20261103
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · mmm-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · mmm-20261020
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · mmm-20261019
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and End of a material agreementFiled · mmm-20260817
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · mmm-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · mmm-20260721
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · mmm-20260605
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · mmm-20260512
Risks
- PFAS litigation is not over. The new personal injury settlement needs enough claimants to join, and 3M can end it if participation is too low. Other PFAS cases, including state cases and water suppliers outside the earlier settlement, remain. 3M had recorded other environmental liabilities of $7.5 billion at September 30, 2026.
- Demand from industry, consumer electronics and cars is weak in parts of the business. GAAP organic sales grew only 0.2% in Q3 2026. Slower growth makes the EPS targets harder to reach.
- Settlement payments use a large part of the cash. With the earplug settlement accrual of $1.1 billion and the new $5.8 billion charge, cash for buybacks and growth can be lower for years.
- Tariffs and trade disputes can raise costs and slow demand, because 3M makes and sells products in many countries.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $5.1B
- Debt
- $15.0B
- Net debt
- $9.9B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $9.9B
When the debt is due
At September 30, 2026, 3M had cash of $4.84 billion and marketable securities of $0.31 billion. Debt was $15.0 billion: $2.44 billion of short-term borrowings and current debt and $12.56 billion of long-term debt. In September 2026, 3M sold €1.5 billion of notes, and it repaid $650 million of debt in the first nine months of 2026. It had no commercial paper outstanding. It also held Solventum shares worth $2.25 billion. Litigation is a large part of its obligations: other environmental liabilities, mostly for PFAS, were $7.5 billion, of which $2.8 billion is current, and the earplug settlement accrual was $1.1 billion. The new PFAS personal injury settlement adds a pre-tax charge of about $5.8 billion in Q4 2026. Total equity was $4.17 billion.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 1.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $188.63)
- Paid per share
- $3.07 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $3.12 ($0.78 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 49% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 24, 2026, $0.78 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $3.7124 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.9298 | |
| 2018 | $4.5485 | |
| 2019 | $4.8161 | |
| 2020 | $4.9164 | |
| 2021 | $4.9498 | |
| 2022 | $4.9833 | |
| 2023 | $5.0167 | |
| 2024 | $3.3625 | |
| 2025 | $2.92 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend fell by about 9.1% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend fell by about 1.7% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about 3M
What does 3M do?
3M makes industrial, safety, transportation, electronics and consumer products from its materials science, such as adhesives, abrasives, films, respirators, hearing protection and optical connectivity products for data centers. Its market cap is $97B at the current price of $188.63.
When does 3M report earnings next?
This is an estimate: 3M may report on January 19, 2027. It last reported results on October 20, 2026.
Is 3M stock below its intrinsic value?
3M stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at 3M?
The latest update is from November 3, 2026. 3M agreed to a settlement that is intended to resolve most PFAS personal injury claims in the AFFF multidistrict litigation.
What are the main risks for 3M?
PFAS litigation is not over. Demand from industry, consumer electronics and cars is weak in parts of the business. Settlement payments use a large part of the cash.
How much debt and cash does 3M have?
At September 30, 2026, 3M had $15.0B of debt and $5.1B of cash.
Does 3M pay a dividend?
Yes. 3M paid $3.07 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 1.6% at the current price of $188.63. The latest ex-dividend date was August 24, 2026.
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