TMOLife science tools and services
Thermo Fisher Scientific
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $721.63
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $267B
- Shares of Sep 26, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 38.1
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $18.96
- 12 months to Sep 26, 2026
- 52-week range
- $435.27 – $721.63
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.84
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 2.1M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors pay a premium for Thermo Fisher's scale and steady growth, and only faster organic growth with lower debt after the Clario purchase can earn it over several years.
- Gap
- Slow. The Q4 2026 report expected on February 2, 2027 is the next test, but the premium needs several years of faster organic growth and lower debt after Clario.
Price history
About
Thermo Fisher Scientific sells instruments, consumables, software and services to pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals and clinical labs, universities, governments and industrial customers. It has four segments: Life Sciences Solutions, Analytical Instruments, Specialty Diagnostics, and Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services. Its brands include Thermo Scientific, Applied Biosystems, Invitrogen, Gibco, Fisher Scientific, Patheon and PPD.
Fisher Scientific distributes lab products, Patheon makes medicines for other companies, and PPD runs clinical trials. Thermo Fisher bought Clario, a clinical trial data company, on March 24, 2026, and sold its microbiology business on August 12, 2026. Revenue was $44.6 billion in 2025 and $12.14 billion in Q3 2026.
Thesis
Thermo Fisher trades at a premium because investors pay for its scale, its steady growth and its record of profitable purchases. It calls itself the world leader in serving science, and customers buy many of its consumables and services again each year. In Q3 2026, revenue grew 9%, organic revenue grew 6% and adjusted EPS grew 15% to $6.68. The adjusted operating margin rose to 24.5% from 23.3%.
Investors expect growth to speed up as drug companies spend more and as Clario adds clinical trial software. The price assumes that organic growth returns to the high single digits and that adjusted EPS grows about 10% or more each year for many years. For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. Pharma and biotech demand must stay strong, because press reports of the October 21, 2026 call say that academic and government revenue was flat.
Clario must grow and add to earnings, while net debt falls from 2.9 times adjusted EBITDA at September 26, 2026. Margins must keep rising after 2026, because press reports of the same call say that tariff refunds helped margins in 2026. The Q4 2026 report, which the company expects on February 2, 2027, gives the 2027 guidance and the first test. If organic growth stays near 5% or less in 2027, the premium can shrink within one to two years.
Checkpoints
- Feb 2, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 guidance with organic growth of 6% or more and adjusted EPS growth near 10% passes; organic growth near 5% or less or lower margins fail.
- 2027 · est.PendingClario growth and lower debtClario growth that adds to earnings and net debt below about 2.5 times adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2027 pass; weak Clario growth or debt that stays near 3 times fails.
Recent events
- October 27, 2026Thermo Fisher said that Michael D. Shafer, an Executive Vice President, will retire on December 31, 2026.
- October 21, 2026Thermo Fisher reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue grew 9% to $12.14 billion, with 6% organic growth. GAAP diluted EPS grew 9% to $4.64, and adjusted EPS grew 15% to $6.68. The adjusted operating margin was 24.5%. Free cash flow was $2.1 billion in the quarter. The company gave its updated 2026 guidance on the conference call.
- August 12, 2026Thermo Fisher completed the sale of its microbiology business.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 23, 2026Thermo Fisher reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue grew 10% to $11.99 billion, with 5% organic growth, and adjusted EPS was $6.03.
- March 24, 2026Thermo Fisher completed its purchase of Clario for $8.875 billion in cash. Clario gives software and data services for clinical trials.
- January 12, 2026Thermo Fisher said that its Chief Operating Officer, Michel Lagarde, will leave on March 31, 2026. From March 1, 2026, Gianluca Pettiti became President and Chief Operating Officer, and Marc N. Casper stayed Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 21, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 2, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · tmo-20261027
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 26, 2026Filed · tmo-20260926
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · tmo-20261021
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 27, 2026Filed · tmo-20260627
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · tmo-20260723
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · tmo-20260520
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 28, 2026Filed · tmo-20260328
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · tmo-20260423
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · tmo-20260324
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · tmo-20251231
Risks
- Debt rose after the Clario purchase. Net debt was $35.3 billion at September 26, 2026, or 2.9 times adjusted EBITDA, and operating income covered interest expense only about 5.3 times in the first nine months of 2026.
- Academic and government customers depend on public research budgets. Press reports of the Q3 2026 call say that revenue from these customers was flat.
- Pharma and biotech customers can cut spending on research, trials and outsourced manufacturing when funding is weak or drug prices fall.
- The leadership team changed in 2026. The Chief Operating Officer left in March 2026, and another Executive Vice President retires at the end of 2026.
- Tariffs and trade rules, including with China, can raise costs or lower sales of instruments.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $6.1B
- Debt
- $41.4B
- Net debt
- $35.3B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.9×
- EBITDA $12.2B, last 12 months
- Interest cover
- 5.3×
- times profit pays interest
- Credit line
- $5.0B
- undrawn, to January 2028
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $35.3B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
The last debt is due in 2056.
Thermo Fisher has moderate debt after the Clario purchase. At September 26, 2026, total debt was $41.37 billion, of which $2.26 billion was short-term debt and current maturities, and cash and short-term investments were $6.06 billion, so net debt was $35.31 billion. Notes are due through 2056. The $5.0 billion revolving credit facility, which ends on January 7, 2028, had no borrowings and supports the commercial paper programs. Its covenant needs EBITDA of at least 3.5 times net interest expense. Operating income was $6.21 billion and interest expense was $1.17 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Free cash flow was $4.62 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up from $3.32 billion a year earlier. Thermo Fisher bought back $4.0 billion of shares in the first half of 2026, and $1.0 billion of the authorization was left. It pays a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 0.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $721.63)
- Paid per share
- $1.84 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.88 ($0.47 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 10% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 15, 2026, $0.47 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.60 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.60 | |
| 2018 | $0.68 | |
| 2019 | $0.76 | |
| 2020 | $0.88 | |
| 2021 | $1.04 | |
| 2022 | $1.20 | |
| 2023 | $1.40 | |
| 2024 | $1.56 | |
| 2025 | $1.72 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 13.0% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 11.9% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Thermo Fisher Scientific
What does Thermo Fisher Scientific do?
Thermo Fisher Scientific sells instruments, consumables, software and services to pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals and clinical labs, universities, governments and industrial customers. Its market cap is $267B at the current price of $721.63.
When does Thermo Fisher Scientific report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Thermo Fisher Scientific may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on October 21, 2026.
Is Thermo Fisher Scientific stock below its intrinsic value?
Thermo Fisher Scientific stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Thermo Fisher Scientific?
The latest update is from October 27, 2026. Thermo Fisher said that Michael D.
What are the main risks for Thermo Fisher Scientific?
Debt rose after the Clario purchase. Academic and government customers depend on public research budgets. Pharma and biotech customers can cut spending on research, trials and outsourced manufacturing when funding is weak or drug prices fall.
How much debt and cash does Thermo Fisher Scientific have?
At September 26, 2026, Thermo Fisher Scientific had $41.4B of debt and $6.1B of cash.
Does Thermo Fisher Scientific pay a dividend?
Yes. Thermo Fisher Scientific paid $1.84 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.3% at the current price of $721.63. The latest ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
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