These companies carry a lot of debt. Cash flow goes to lenders first, so a small change in sales can have a large effect on what is left for owners. Debt that comes due soon, or a refinancing, is the main test.
This is information, not advice (see the disclaimer).
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that FIS can grow faster with the debt it took on to buy TSYS, so growth must return toward five percent and debt must fall over the next four to eight quarters for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
A short seller says Gildan pushed too much stock into its channel and Q3 2026 sales missed guidance, so sales that stabilize in 2027 with falling leverage can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Kraft Heinz brands lose buyers in North America and the split is paused, so only a volume recovery from higher brand spending over several years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Investor Day: long-term strategy and targets (Nov 12, 2026)
Deep below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Campbell's for a continued decline, so the gap closes slowly, and only if cost savings and growth at Rao's and Goldfish hold into fiscal 2028.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q1 2027 earnings: Snacks trend and guidance (Dec 8, 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Baker Hughes for weaker oilfield services and the debt from the Chart purchase, and strong gas and power orders with debt reduction over two years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: synergies and debt (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
The market prices Conagra for falling volumes and high debt, and stable volumes with lower leverage under the new CEO over the next two years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings: volumes and margin (Dec 30, 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market fears new competition for T-Mobile US and discounts the holding structure, so years of steady US growth and buy-backs must come for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 25, 2027)
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Falling US profit, prediction markets, higher taxes and a new CEO hold Flutter down, so FanDuel must grow again and leverage must fall for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Brazil: Congress decision on the betting ban (Jan 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
A parts shortage forced a guidance cut, and the gap can close from 2027 if supply catches up with strong orders.
Next checkpoint: Securities class action lead-plaintiff deadline (Nov 23, 2026)
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Investors see Mobility Global as a new spin-off with new debt and AI risk, and steady CARFAX growth with stable standalone costs over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: first full standalone quarter (Nov 12, 2026)
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Open-ended wildfire liability in California holds the price down, and without a durable legal reform the gap will probably not close before 2028.
Next checkpoint: CPUC proposed decision on Kincade and Dixie fire cost recovery (Nov 13, 2026 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear that Prestige lost eye care sales to supply problems and took on too much debt for Breathe Right, so better supply and lower debt by 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q3 2027 results: Breathe Right and cash flow (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear that high fuel prices cut airline engine work while StandardAero changes its CEO, and steady growth and margins over three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and first guidance of the new CEO (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Far below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Investors fear lasting damage from the sales drop and high debt, so the gap closes slowly, as sales recover, debt falls and a new CEO arrives through 2027.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q2 2027 earnings: margin repair and GOJO (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Couche-Tard for the risk that high fuel margins fall and for the debt of the Żabka deal, and steady margins, store sales growth and a smooth deal can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: fuel margins and store sales (Nov 24, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that the Berry combination will give growth and lower debt, and synergies with leverage of about 3.6 times at the end of 2026 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Transition period results: leverage at December 31, 2026 (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Antero for weak natural gas prices and the debt from its 2026 purchases, and lower unit costs with debt repayment through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 report and 2027 plan (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices BXP for weak office demand and high debt, and rising occupancy with planned asset sales and new leases at 343 Madison over several years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 report and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that a weekly rival will take VOXZOGO patients and doubts the debt-funded Amicus deal, and VOXZOGO growth with lower leverage by mid-2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Cogeco Communications for a shrinking American business, and slower American declines with steady free cash flow and falling debt over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results: U.S. trend (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market prices Devon for lower oil prices and the risk of its large Coterra merger, and synergies on plan with the Eagle Ford sale cash used for buybacks and debt can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and full 2027 guidance (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Weak volumes, Middle East costs and new Eddyfi debt hold ESAB down, so margins must recover and debt must fall over the next four to six quarters for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bearish
Investors cannot measure Edison's Eaton Fire liability after California failed to pass wildfire reform, so settled claims and a new law in 2027 must come for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Eaton Fire compensation program: claim deadline (Nov 30, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Falling revenue, repeated outlook cuts and new leaders hold Fiserv down, so growth must return in 2027 and stay on the path to its 2029 targets for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
High rates make cars hard to afford and cut Group 1's profit per car, and stable profits with lower leverage after the Hennessy purchase over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: first quarter with Hennessy and leverage (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Healthpeak for empty lab space and weak biotech demand, and a steady rise in lab occupancy with stable outpatient medical income over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
Plant problems cut 2026 earnings and the debt-funded Tate & Lyle deal adds risk, and an Argo recovery with a clean deal closing in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear that AI tools will take client cash and advisors from LPL, and steady organic growth with a Commonwealth conversion in Q4 2026 that keeps most assets can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Commonwealth conversion (Q4 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices MGM for weak Las Vegas results and the end of a buyout proposal from its largest shareholder, and higher room rates, stable Macau margins and buybacks over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: Las Vegas recovery and digital losses (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors doubt the large, debt-funded Unilever Foods deal, so the gap closes slowly, only as the deal closes, synergies arrive and debt falls after 2027.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Mosaic for high sulfur and ammonia costs that stop phosphate production, and lower raw material costs with a restart of the curtailed plants over the next four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: production restart (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices National Grid for the cost of its large investment plan and the risk of lower allowed returns, and EPS growth on guidance with stable ratings over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026/27 results: first year of the new plan (May 13, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Oracle can fund its AI data centers and earn a return on them, and steady cloud growth with no new capital raises before positive free cash flow in fiscal 2028 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: cloud growth and capital spending (Dec 10, 2026 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value (AI estimate) · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Parex for Colombian risk, higher costs and the new Frontera debt, and a recovery in cash margins with lower debt and the planned synergies in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Capital markets day: 2027 plan (Dec 9, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
A sudden pool channel stock cut, a CFO exit and a debt-funded Taco deal broke trust in Pentair, so a Pool recovery in the 2027 season can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Rogers for high debt, a wireless price war and the cost of buying all of MLSE, and higher free cash flow with a Rogers Sports stake sale that cuts debt can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 23, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices SBA for US lease churn and high debt costs, and US leasing growth after the churn ends in 2026 can close the gap slowly over 2027 and 2028.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear weak Aerials and refuse truck margins and the risk of the REV integration and the Aerials separation, and results on plan with a fair Aerials deal over three to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that AI music and slower streaming will hurt Warner Music, and continued subscription growth with higher margins and lower debt can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 19, 2026)
Well below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors doubt that onsemi can grow again after the electric vehicle slowdown and silicon carbide price cuts, so growing revenue, wider margins and a smooth Synaptics deal can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Synaptics shareholder vote (Nov 17, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that AT&T can grow cash flow while satellite and wireless rivals push in and its debt stays high, and steady free cash flow with lower debt can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Alcoa for lower aluminum prices and the risk of the South32 asset purchase, and steady metal prices with a clean close in the first half of 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: production and costs (Jan 15, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices American Tower for slow US tower growth after the loss of DISH and for its debt, and a pickup in US carrier spending with steady data center growth can close the gap over three to five quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 outlook: US organic growth (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Americold for flat cold storage demand and high debt, and lower leverage after the EQT deal with a return to same store growth over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Lancaster wind-down ends (Dec 31, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Investors fear that Amphenol's growth depends on AI data center spending that can slow, and strong orders over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 view (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that AutoZone can grow profit per share as before, and stronger domestic sales with a margin that holds without one-time items can close the gap over three to four quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 results: same-store sales and buyback pace (Dec 8, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Boeing can raise production and turn its record backlog into cash on time, and steady 737 rates, the 777-9 certification and positive cash flow can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
US electrophysiology and WATCHMAN sales now fall as competitors gain, and a cyber incident hurt 2026, so sales must stop falling and grow again by 2028 for the gap to close.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Fewer people buy Corona and Modelo while Hispanic consumers are under pressure, and beer depletions that grow again in 2027 can close the gap over four to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q3 results: beer depletions (Jan 6, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Dell's record AI server earnings can last, and strong AI orders after fiscal 2027 with stable margins and better cash flow over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: AI orders and margins (Nov 24, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Enbridge for high debt and new shares to pay for acquisitions, and steady growth in cash flow per share as its projects enter service can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Tallgrass and Salt Creek purchases close (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that GSK's new medicines can replace its HIV sales before patents expire from 2028, and the gap closes only as launches grow over several years.
Next checkpoint: FDA decision on neladalkib for ALK-positive lung cancer (Nov 27, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts Global Payments can grow in a crowded market after the debt-funded Worldpay deal, and steady growth with higher margins over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Hexcel for a slow ramp of aircraft production and low margins, and steady rate increases at Airbus and Boeing that lift margins and cut debt can close the gap slowly.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that Hubbell's growth slows after two debt-funded deals, and steady data center and grid demand with falling debt over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices KKR for the risk of private credit losses and slower fundraising, and steady fee growth, low credit losses, stronger fundraising and more asset sales can close the gap over four to eight quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results, the USI sale and fundraising (Feb 9, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Kilroy for low occupancy and high debt in West Coast offices, and only higher occupancy, new leases at Kilroy Oyster Point and stable debt over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Weaker Macao margins, a weak Q3 2026 at Marina Bay Sands and high debt hold Las Vegas Sands back, and a recovery in both regions over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: Marina Bay Sands and Macao margins (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Lithia Motors for lower profit per vehicle and higher debt, and growth in used vehicles, aftersales and finance income with falling leverage can close the gap over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: earnings and leverage (Feb 10, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market fears that LyondellBasell's strong 2026 margins are temporary, and lower debt with margins above the 2025 level after the supply disruption ends can close the gap over two to three years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: margins after the supply disruption (Jan 30, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that AI spending is larger than the cash that ads earn, and paid revenue from Meta One and Muse over the next two to three quarters can close the gap if legal penalties stay small.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 capital spending guidance (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market doubts that Nestlé can grow volume without price increases while its debt is high, and only steady RIG growth and debt cuts over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: margin, free cash flow and net debt (Feb 18, 2027)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors fear that AI shrinks agency work while Omnicom combines with IPG, so steady organic growth and the planned cost synergies must hold for years to close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: full-year synergies (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Park for its debt and slow city hotel markets, and steady group demand with lower debt after the 2026 refinancing over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that the AI chip boom is near a peak for Qnity, and steady sales growth with lower debt and small PFAS costs over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 guidance (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices SK Telecom for slow growth, the cost of the 2025 breach and a large AI data center plan, and steady profit with partner funding such as the SK Horizon sale can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 and full-year results (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that AI will lower the value of SS&C's software and services, and steady organic growth with stable margins over three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Refinancing of the 2027 notes (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that Salesforce can grow when AI agents can replace paid seats, and faster organic growth with rising AI revenue and free cash flow through fiscal 2028 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: organic growth (Dec 2, 2026 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears the debt and the antitrust risk of the Jetro Restaurant Depot deal, and a timely closing with falling leverage over four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q2 fiscal 2027 results: local volume and deal closing (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that SpaceX will become a fourth national carrier, and steady account growth, low churn and cash flow on guidance over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears TransDigm's high and costlier debt while acquisitions dilute margins, and a strong fiscal 2027 outlook with rising margins over two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q4 2026 results and fiscal 2027 outlook (Nov 10, 2026)
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Wyndham for weak demand at economy hotels and a smaller system in the United States, and RevPAR growth with net rooms growth on plan can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Below intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Weak Macau results, high debt and a delayed UAE resort hold the price down, so much of the gap will probably not close before the resort opens in September 2027.
Next checkpoint: Macau December 2026 gaming revenue report (Jan 1, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors doubt the returns on Air Products' clean hydrogen projects, and lower capital spending with a successful NEOM start in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Allison for a possible truck downturn and the debt from its Off-Highway purchase, and steady truck demand with higher Off-Highway margins can close the gap over three to six quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance: synergies and debt (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that AB InBev can grow profit while beer volumes fall in the United States and China, and steady EBITDA growth with lower debt over the next one to two years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 11, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Aon for the debt and risk of its $17 billion USI purchase and a pause in buybacks, and a clean close in Q4 2026 with steady organic growth and debt repayment can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: USI purchase closes (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear that AI design tools reduce the seats Autodesk sells, and billings that meet guidance with stable seat counts over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: billings and seats (Nov 24, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market doubts that BP can keep its 2026 cash flow when oil prices and refining margins fall, and lower debt with a clear plan from the December 2026 update can close the gap within one to two years.
Next checkpoint: Strategy and outlook update (Dec 15, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market prices CRH for slower US construction, cost inflation and the debt of the Arcosa purchase, and growth in 2027 with Arcosa synergies and lower leverage can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FY 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Carnival for high debt and the risk of weaker travel demand, and steady yield growth with falling leverage over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings and 2027 guidance (Dec 29, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Cushman & Wakefield for cyclical deal revenue, high debt and losses in its Greystone venture, and steady leasing growth with lower debt through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: EPS growth and cash flow (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market doubts that Danaher's slow growth will recover while it absorbs Masimo under a new CEO, and a mid-single-digit core growth rate in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Weak US spirits demand, tariffs and high debt hold Diageo back, and the gap can close slowly if the new plan stops the US share loss and cuts leverage by fiscal 2029.
Next checkpoint: Sale of East African Breweries completes (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
US sales have almost stopped growing and franchisees open fewer stores, and a return to low-single-digit US sales growth in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 22, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Ecolab for the cost and debt of its CoolIT deal, and faster organic growth, a higher margin and lower leverage in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 9, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Equifax for its dependence on a slow mortgage market and for its debt, and steady growth with higher free cash flow through 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Círculo de Crédito purchase closes (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The housing regulator now prices FICO and the cheaper VantageScore the same, and the gap closes only if mortgage score revenue holds up as lenders choose over the next several years.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q1 2027 results: first full quarter of the single pricing grid (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices FirstEnergy for high debt and the cost of the Ohio scandal, and a fair Ohio rate plan with new data center investment can close the gap over two to four quarters.
Next checkpoint: West Virginia order on the Maidsville Energy Center (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Huntington for lower earnings growth after it cut its 2027 target because of high deposit costs, and a stable margin with the full Cadence cost savings can close the gap over three to five quarters.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and the 2027 outlook (Jan 22, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors price ICE partly as a mortgage company while mortgage rates rise, and growing exchange revenue, mortgage revenue that holds up and a smooth MarketAxess deal over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 earnings: mortgage technology and 2027 outlook (Feb 4, 2027)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
Investors doubt the AZEK deal and fear weak US housing while James Hardie carries more debt, and steady growth with lower leverage by September 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 fiscal 2027 results: the weaker second half (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market fears that Kimberly-Clark paid too much for Kenvue while its own sales are weak, and a return to sales growth with synergies and debt reduction in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook of the combined company (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
High mortgage rates keep home sales and large DIY projects low, so the gap closes slowly as sales, Pro growth and debt reduction improve with the housing market.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: comparable sales and transactions (Nov 19, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices Medline for a cut to its profit guidance, the Tracy fire and sales by its private equity owners, and results on the new guidance with good insurance recoveries can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Tracy fire insurance and 2027 guidance (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market prices Merck KGaA for lost US Mavenclad sales and the cost of buying Bio-Techne, and growth in Life Science and Electronics with a clean deal close over the next three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: Healthcare decline and Life Science growth (Nov 12, 2026)
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market prices Nexstar for the lawsuit against its TEGNA purchase and its higher debt, and a court result that lets it combine TEGNA with steady debt repayment over the next six to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Ninth Circuit hearing on the TEGNA injunction (Q4 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices NextEra Energy for the cost and approval risk of its Dominion Energy deal, and approvals without large new conditions and steady EPS growth over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: FPL signs its first large-load contract (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices NiSource for the cost of its large investment plan and the risk of its data center contracts, and results in line with guidance over the next two to four quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results: EPS guidance met (Jan 28, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that IQOS and ZYN can grow fast enough to offset falling cigarette volumes and high debt, and 2027 guidance that meets PMI's targets can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Polaris as an indebted maker of vehicles that people buy with cheap credit, and only steady profit without tariff refunds and lower debt over two to three years can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market prices RB Global for lower fees per sale and higher debt, and a stable take rate with growth in 2027 and lower leverage can close the gap over three to five quarters.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 9, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Restaurant Brands for high debt and weak Popeyes sales, and steady comparable sales growth with falling leverage over the next four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results: growth target and leverage (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices Sirius XM for a slow loss of listeners to streaming in connected cars, and stable self-pay subscribers with strong free cash flow over the next four to eight quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 29, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value (AI estimate)
Sucro trades between a low value on cash earnings and a higher takeover floor, so the gap closes only if refinery margins recover or Beta San Miguel bids from May 2027.
Next checkpoint: Q3 2026 results: underlying adjusted EBITDA (Nov 19, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Very bullish
The market worries about the debt from the Ansys deal and about China export rules, and falling debt with no new export shock over three to five quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Fiscal Q4 2026 earnings: full-year result and Ansys integration (Dec 9, 2026 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market fears that robotaxis will bypass Uber and doubts its large purchases, and steady bookings growth with driverless partners that add trips can close the gap slowly through 2028.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: bookings and profit (Feb 4, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Mixed
The market prices UHS for cuts to Medicaid supplemental payments and new regulatory actions, and steady volume growth with results near the revised 2026 guidance can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors fear that AI weakens Verisk's data and that a court will force the AccuLynx deal, and a growth recovery with an end to the case over four to six quarters can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 5, 2027 (estimate))
Close to intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
The market prices Verizon for slow growth and high debt, and faster service revenue growth with strong free cash flow in 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 26, 2027 (estimate))
Pricey · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Abbott's steady growth in devices and diagnostics, and only faster glucose monitor growth, lower debt and a clean Nutrition separation can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 21, 2027 (estimate))
Pricey · Analysts: Bullish
The market doubts that data center demand for Eaton's equipment can last and dislikes its new debt, and growing orders, higher margins and lower debt in 2027 can close the gap within about a year.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Pricey · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for IBM's software growth and steady free cash flow, and faster software growth with higher free cash flow in 2027 can earn it.
Next checkpoint: IBM Quantum Day 2026 (Dec 10, 2026)
Pricey · Analysts: Bullish
The market prices STERIS for slower sterilization services growth, tariffs and the debt for its Xodus purchase, and steady organic growth with a clean close can close the gap over three to five quarters.
Next checkpoint: Xodus purchase closes (Dec 31, 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for AbbVie's fast growth from Skyrizi and Rinvoq, and steady growth of these medicines with new launches and lower debt can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Gilead's growing HIV business, and fast growth of Yeztugo and Descovy with good new launches before the Biktarvy Medicare price in 2028 can earn it.
Next checkpoint: FDA decision on anito-cel in multiple myeloma (Dec 23, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for HCA's scale and buybacks, and only 2027 guidance for higher earnings despite fewer insured patients can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Jan 27, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
Investors pay a premium for Marriott's fee business and record pipeline, and only steady room growth and RevPAR gains with controlled debt over several years can earn it.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlook (Feb 9, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Parker-Hannifin trades at a premium because investors pay for record margins, aerospace aftermarket sales and acquisitions, and Filtration Group results on plan with falling debt can earn it.
Next checkpoint: CIRCOR Aerospace closing (Dec 2026 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Thermo Fisher's scale and steady growth, and only faster organic growth with lower debt after the Clario purchase can earn it over several years.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance (Feb 2, 2027 (estimate))
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
Investors pay a premium for Union Pacific's western rail network and the planned Norfolk Southern merger, and STB approval with steady EPS growth through 2027 can earn it.
Next checkpoint: STB comments on the merger due (Nov 18, 2026)
Far above intrinsic value · Analysts: Leaning bullish
A large outbreak at Taco Bell and higher rates hold the price down, and positive Taco Bell US sales growth by Q1 2027 can close the gap.
Next checkpoint: Q4 2026 results: Taco Bell US sales trend (Feb 3, 2027 (estimate))
No intrinsic value · Analysts: Bullish
The market finds the multi-layer structure hard to value and higher rates lower its listed holdings, so the gap to plan value can close only in part, if earnings keep growing and rates stop rising.
Next checkpoint: BN Q3 2026 results: distributable earnings and carry (Nov 12, 2026)
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Every result is on the checkpoints page.
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