DELLIT hardware & AI servers
Dell Technologies
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $346.31
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Top pick
- Next earnings
- Earnings Nov 24 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $222B
- Shares of Jul 31, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 20.1
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $17.19
- 12 months to Jul 31, 2026
- 52-week range
- $110.22 – $595.51
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 1.44
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 7.8M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that Dell's record AI server earnings can last, and strong AI orders after fiscal 2027 with stable margins and better cash flow over four to six quarters can close the gap.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q3 fiscal 2027 report, expected in late November 2026, and the fiscal 2028 guidance in February 2027 show whether AI server orders and margins last.
Company guidance: Revenue of $192.0 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $25.50 for fiscal 2027 (, Q2 fiscal 2027 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))
Price history
About
Dell Technologies sells servers, storage and networking equipment through its Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), and PCs, displays and accessories through its Client Solutions Group (CSG). Its AI-optimized servers are now its largest product line. Dell also provides services and, through Dell Financial Services (DFS), financing to its customers.
Revenue was $113.5 billion in fiscal 2026, which ended on January 30, 2026, and $47.0 billion in Q2 fiscal 2027 alone. Dell is based in Round Rock, Texas, and it changed its state of incorporation from Delaware to Texas on July 1, 2026.
Thesis
The market doubts that Dell's record AI server earnings can last. Dell guides fiscal 2027 revenue of $192.0 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $25.50, against $113.5 billion and $10.30 in fiscal 2026. AI-optimized servers give most of this growth: Dell expects $74.0 billion of AI server revenue in fiscal 2027, and its AI server backlog was a record $95 billion at July 31, 2026. Investors fear that a small number of large AI customers can slow their orders, that AI servers earn low margins, and that the large backlog uses much working capital.
Inventory rose to $21.3 billion at July 31, 2026, from $10.4 billion at January 30, 2026, and cash flow from operations fell 13% in Q2 fiscal 2027. For the gap to close, three things must be true. AI server orders must stay strong after fiscal 2027, so that the backlog does not fall quickly. The ISG operating margin must stay near the 15.0% of Q2 fiscal 2027 as AI shipments grow.
Cash flow must recover as inventory turns into revenue, so that buybacks and dividends continue without much more debt. The Q3 fiscal 2027 report, expected in late November 2026, is the next test, and the Q4 report in late February 2027 gives the first fiscal 2028 guidance. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next four to six quarters. The main reason it may not close is a slowdown in AI data center spending, which can cut Dell's revenue and earnings quickly.
Checkpoints
- Nov 24, 2026 · est.PendingQ3 fiscal 2027 results: AI orders and marginsRevenue of at least $49.0 billion, non-GAAP EPS of at least $6.50 and a stable or larger AI backlog pass; a smaller backlog or a lower fiscal 2027 outlook fail.
- Feb 2027 · est.PendingQ4 fiscal 2027 results and fiscal 2028 guidanceFiscal 2028 guidance for higher revenue and EPS with better cash flow pass; guidance for lower AI server revenue or lower EPS fails.
Recent events
- October 20, 2026Dell said that Richard Rothberg, its General Counsel, will retire. Christopher Garcia will become chief legal officer on February 1, 2027.
- September 15, 2026Dell sold $5.0 billion of senior unsecured notes due 2029, 2031, 2033 and 2037, with interest rates of 5.100% to 5.900%. It said that it will use the money to repay its 4.900% first lien notes due 2026 and for general purposes.
- September 1, 2026Dell reported Q2 fiscal 2027 results. Revenue rose 58% to a record $46.97 billion. ISG revenue rose 89% to $31.78 billion, with AI-optimized server revenue of $16.40 billion, and ISG operating margin was 15.0%. CSG revenue rose 20% to $15.03 billion. GAAP EPS was $6.34 and non-GAAP EPS was $7.04. AI server orders were a record $60.9 billion, and the AI server backlog was a record $95 billion. Dell raised its fiscal 2027 guidance to revenue of $192.0 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $25.50, from $167.0 billion and $17.90. It returned a record $4.3 billion to shareholders in the quarter.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- July 1, 2026Dell changed its state of incorporation from Delaware to Texas after shareholders approved the change on June 25, 2026. Under the new Texas rules, a shareholder needs at least 3% of the shares to bring a derivative lawsuit against directors or officers.
- June 16, 2026Dell sold $3.0 billion of senior unsecured notes due 2031, 2034 and 2037, with interest rates of 4.750% to 5.250%. On June 10, 2026, it signed a new $6.0 billion revolving credit facility that ends on June 10, 2031, and ended its 2021 credit agreement.
- May 28, 2026Dell reported Q1 fiscal 2027 results. Revenue rose 88% to $43.84 billion, AI server revenue was $16.13 billion, and AI server orders were $24.4 billion. GAAP EPS was $5.24 and non-GAAP EPS was $4.86. Dell raised its fiscal 2027 guidance to revenue of $165.0 billion to $169.0 billion.
- February 26, 2026Dell reported fiscal 2026 results. Revenue rose 19% to $113.54 billion, non-GAAP EPS rose 27% to $10.30, and cash flow from operations was $11.19 billion. Dell shipped more than $25 billion of AI servers in the year and started fiscal 2027 with a record AI backlog of $43 billion. It raised its dividend by 20% and increased its share repurchase authorization by $10 billion.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- September 1, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about November 24, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jul 31, 2026Filed · dell-20260731
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · dell-20260901
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylawsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange to shareholder rights or bylaws and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · dell-20260625
- 8-KCurrent reportFiled · dell-20260611
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- AI servers give most of the growth, and a small number of large customers place large orders. If AI data center spending slows, orders, revenue and earnings can fall quickly.
- Dell builds AI servers from processors and memory that a few suppliers make. Supply limits or higher component costs can delay shipments and lower margins.
- Inventory doubled to $21.3 billion in the first half of fiscal 2027, and cash flow from operations fell 13% in Q2. If AI orders are canceled or delayed, Dell can be left with costly inventory.
- Total debt was $34.5 billion at July 31, 2026, and Dell sold $8.0 billion of new notes in June and September 2026. More debt makes the company less flexible in a downturn.
- The PC business is mature and competitive. CSG operating margin was about 7.6% in Q2 fiscal 2027.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $11.6B
- Debt
- $34.5B
- Net debt
- $22.9B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $22.9B
When the debt is due
Dell funds itself with senior unsecured notes and with the debt of Dell Financial Services (DFS), which finances customer loans and leases. At July 31, 2026, total debt was $34.47 billion, of which $8.48 billion is short-term. DFS debt was $9.62 billion, so the rest, mainly senior notes, was about $24.8 billion (a calculation from the 10-Q). Cash and cash equivalents were $11.57 billion. Inventory was $21.29 billion, against $10.44 billion at January 30, 2026. In June 2026, Dell signed a $6.0 billion revolving credit facility that ends in June 2031 and sold $3.0 billion of notes. In September 2026, after the quarter, it sold $5.0 billion of notes to repay its 4.900% first lien notes due 2026. In Q2 fiscal 2027, Dell bought back 9 million shares for $3.86 billion and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.63 per share.
As of
Show 4 sourcesHide sources
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 0.7% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $346.31)
- Paid per share
- $2.415 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $2.52 ($0.63 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 24% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended January 30, 2026)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 20, 2026, $0.63 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.00 | |
| 2018 | $0.00 | |
| 2019 | $0.00 | |
| 2020 | $0.00 | |
| 2021 | $0.00 | |
| 2022 | $0.99 | |
| 2023 | $1.44 | |
| 2024 | $1.705 | |
| 2025 | $2.02 |
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Dell Technologies
What does Dell Technologies do?
Dell Technologies sells servers, storage and networking equipment through its Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), and PCs, displays and accessories through its Client Solutions Group (CSG). Its AI-optimized servers are now its largest product line. Its market cap is $222B at the current price of $346.31.
When does Dell Technologies report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Dell Technologies may report on November 24, 2026. It last reported results on September 1, 2026.
Is Dell Technologies stock below its intrinsic value?
Dell Technologies stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Dell Technologies?
The latest update is from October 20, 2026. Dell said that Richard Rothberg, its General Counsel, will retire.
What are the main risks for Dell Technologies?
AI servers give most of the growth, and a small number of large customers place large orders. Dell builds AI servers from processors and memory that a few suppliers make. Inventory doubled to $21.3 billion in the first half of fiscal 2027, and cash flow from operations fell 13% in Q2.
How much debt and cash does Dell Technologies have?
At July 31, 2026, Dell Technologies had $34.5B of debt and $11.6B of cash.
Does Dell Technologies pay a dividend?
Yes. Dell Technologies paid $2.415 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.7% at the current price of $346.31. The latest ex-dividend date was October 20, 2026.
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