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Prologis

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$130.55
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 20 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$122B
Shares of Apr 28, 2026
P/E (trailing)
32.8
Price of Nov 10, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$3.98
12 months to Mar 31, 2026
52-week range
$121.40 – $153.35
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.29
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
3.6M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Prologis can grow per-share earnings with high rates and the SEGRO deal, and steady rent growth, a smooth SEGRO close and new data center leases can close the gap within two years.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance expected around January 20, 2027 and the SEGRO closing expected in the first half of 2027 are dated tests.

Company guidance: Core FFO of $6.25 to $6.29 and net earnings of $4.05 to $4.15 per diluted share for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Prologis owns, develops and manages logistics real estate, mainly warehouses and distribution centers. It also builds data centers and solar and energy storage projects on its sites. At September 30, 2026, it owned or had investments in properties and development projects of about 1.3 billion square feet in 20 countries, with 5,941 buildings and about 6,500 customers.

The U.S., where it includes Mexico, gave 84% of its share of net operating income, Europe 9%, Other Americas 5% and Asia 2%. Its strategic capital business manages co-investment ventures for other investors, and gross assets under management were $238 billion. In August 2026, it agreed to buy SEGRO, a U.K. logistics real estate company.

Prologis is a real estate investment trust, and its shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange. Daniel S. Letter is chief executive officer.

Thesis

The market doubts that Prologis can grow earnings per share fast enough while interest rates stay high and while it buys SEGRO. On August 4, 2026, Prologis agreed to buy SEGRO for about £14.0 billion, mostly with new Prologis shares, and SEGRO holders can get up to about £3.5 billion in cash. Rent growth on new leases has also slowed from its peak: the net effective rent change was 38.0% in Q3 2026, against 49.4% a year earlier.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. Occupancy must stay near 95.5%, and cash same store NOI must keep growing near the 2026 guidance of 7.00% to 7.50%. The SEGRO deal must close in the first half of 2027 as planned, with integration costs and new debt under control and no large cut to Core FFO per share.

The data center pipeline of 5.8 GW of secured or advanced-stage power must turn into leased projects with good margins. The Q4 2026 report, expected around January 20, 2027, with the first guidance for 2027, gives the next test. If these checks pass, the gap can close over the next one to two years.

Checkpoints

  1. Jan 20, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceOccupancy near 95.5%, cash same store NOI growth near 7% and 2027 Core FFO guidance above the 2026 result pass; flat guidance or falling occupancy fail.
  2. Q2 2027 · est.Pending
    SEGRO deal closesCompletion in the first half of 2027 on the agreed terms pass; a delay, a block by a regulator or new conditions fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 30, 2026Prologis signed a new at-the-market equity distribution agreement that replaces its earlier program.
  • October 15, 2026Prologis reported Q3 2026 results. Core FFO was $1.60 per diluted share, up from $1.49, and net earnings were $0.86 per share. It signed 60 million square feet of leases. Period-end occupancy was 95.6%, and cash same store NOI grew 5.9%. The company narrowed its 2026 Core FFO guidance to $6.25 to $6.29 per share and lowered its net earnings guidance to $4.05 to $4.15 per share.
  • September 28, 2026SEGRO shareholders approved the purchase of SEGRO by Prologis. The deal still needs other approvals, including some from regulators.
Show 2 older events
  • August 4, 2026Prologis agreed to buy all of SEGRO through a U.K. scheme of arrangement. SEGRO shareholders get 0.0920 new Prologis shares for each SEGRO share, with a partial cash alternative of up to about £3.5 billion. At the prices of July 21, 2026, the deal valued SEGRO at about £14.0 billion. Prologis signed a term loan of up to £3.575 billion for the cash, and it will seek a second listing on the London Stock Exchange. It expects to complete the deal in the first half of 2027.
  • July 16, 2026Prologis reported Q2 2026 results and raised its 2026 guidance for the second time in the year. Core FFO was $1.63 per diluted share. It signed a record of more than 67 million square feet of leases, and its data center power pipeline grew to 5.8 GW.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 15, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 20, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1045609)

Risks

  • The SEGRO deal still needs regulatory approvals and court sanction. A delay, higher integration costs or more debt for the cash part can lower Core FFO per share.
  • Higher interest rates raise the cost of new debt and can raise the yields that buyers ask for warehouses, which lowers property values and the gains from development.
  • Demand for warehouses depends on trade and consumer spending. New tariffs or a slower economy can lower leasing and rent growth.
  • Data center projects need large amounts of power and capital. Delays in power supply or weak demand can lower the returns on these projects.

Balance sheet

Cash
$2.3B
Debt
$36.8B
Net debt
$34.6B

Cash against debt

Cash$2.3B
Debt$36.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt $34.6B

Credit ratings

  • Moody's A2 · stable
  • S&P A · stable

Prologis funds itself mostly with unsecured bonds in several currencies. At September 30, 2026, consolidated debt was $36.83 billion and cash was $2.27 billion.

Dividends

Dividend yield
3.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $130.55)
Paid per share
$4.22 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$4.28 ($1.07 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
113% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 16, 2026, $1.07 per share

Dividends per share by year

Prologis dividends per share by year
2016
$1.68
2017
$1.76
2018
$1.92
2019
$2.12
2020
$2.32
2021
$2.52
2022
$3.16
2023
$3.48
2024
$3.84
2025
$4.04

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 11.3% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 9.8% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Prologis

What does Prologis do?

Prologis owns, develops and manages logistics real estate, mainly warehouses and distribution centers. It also builds data centers and solar and energy storage projects on its sites. Its market cap is $122B at the current price of $130.55.

When does Prologis report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Prologis may report on January 20, 2027. It last reported results on October 15, 2026.

Is Prologis stock below its intrinsic value?

Prologis stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Prologis?

The latest update is from October 30, 2026. Prologis signed a new at-the-market equity distribution agreement that replaces its earlier program.

What are the main risks for Prologis?

The SEGRO deal still needs regulatory approvals and court sanction. Higher interest rates raise the cost of new debt and can raise the yields that buyers ask for warehouses, which lowers property values and the gains from development. Demand for warehouses depends on trade and consumer spending.

How much debt and cash does Prologis have?

At September 30, 2026, Prologis had $36.8B of debt and $2.3B of cash.

Does Prologis pay a dividend?

Yes. Prologis paid $4.22 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 3.2% at the current price of $130.55. The latest ex-dividend date was September 16, 2026.

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