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KOBeverages

Coca-Cola

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$96.03
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 9 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$413B
Shares of Oct 26, 2026
P/E (trailing)
28.3
Price of Nov 10, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$3.39
12 months to Oct 2, 2026
52-week range
$67.27 – $97.39
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
0.28
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
16M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for Coca-Cola's brands and steady growth, and organic growth near the 2026 pace with no large IRS tax bill can earn it over several years.
Gap
Slow. The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance in February 2027 tests growth, but the IRS appeal ruling has no set date and the premium depends on many years of steady growth.

Company guidance: Organic revenue growth of at least 5%, comparable EPS growth of at least 11% and free cash flow of at least $13.0 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

The Coca-Cola Company makes and sells concentrates, syrups and finished beverages. Its brands include Coca-Cola, Sprite, Fanta, fairlife, smartwater, Powerade, Minute Maid and Costa. It sells most of its concentrate to independent bottling partners, which make, package and distribute the drinks.

It also owns some bottling operations in its Bottling Investments segment, and it is selling several of them. Net revenues were $47.9 billion in 2025 and $13.4 billion in Q3 2026. Henrique Braun became CEO on March 31, 2026, and James Quincey became Executive Chairman.

Thesis

Coca-Cola trades at a premium because investors pay for brands that grow almost every year in good and bad economies. Organic revenue grew 5% in 2025, and the company now guides at least 5% organic revenue growth and at least 11% comparable EPS growth for 2026. Unit case volume grew 5% in each of Q2 and Q3 2026, and the company gained value share in each quarter. The price assumes that this growth continues for many years and that the IRS tax case does not take a large part of the cash.

For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. Organic revenue must keep growing about 5% or more a year after the sales of bottling operations in Africa and Asia, which lower reported revenue. The comparable operating margin must stay near the 32.9% of Q3 2026. The U.S.

Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, which heard the IRS case on June 25, 2026, must rule mostly for the company, or the company can owe about $14 billion more in tax and interest for 2010 to 2025. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, gives the next test. The court ruling has no set date. The premium can shrink if volume growth slows, if currency turns against the company, or if the company loses the tax case.

Checkpoints

  1. Q4 2026 · est.Due this quarter
    Sale of bottling operations in AfricaA close of the sale to Coca-Cola HBC by the end of 2026, as the company expects, passes; a delay into 2027 or a lower price fails.
  2. Feb 9, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 guidance for organic revenue growth near 5% or more and comparable EPS growth above the divestiture and currency headwinds passes; lower organic growth guidance or a lower margin fails.
  3. 2027 · est.Pending
    Eleventh Circuit ruling on the IRS tax caseA ruling mostly for the company passes; a ruling for the IRS, which can add about $14 billion of tax and interest, fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 28, 2026In its Q3 2026 Form 10-Q, Coca-Cola said that its bottling operations in Singapore, Malaysia and Myanmar are now held for sale. It expects these sales to close by mid-2027, after regulatory approvals.
  • October 27, 2026Coca-Cola reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenues grew 7% to $13.4 billion, organic revenues grew 7% and unit case volume grew 5%. Comparable EPS grew 11% to $0.91. It raised its 2026 guidance to at least 5% organic revenue growth, at least 11% comparable EPS growth and at least $13.0 billion of free cash flow. For 2027, it expects a headwind from acquisitions and divestitures of about 8% to comparable net revenues and about 2% to comparable EPS.
  • July 28, 2026Coca-Cola reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenues grew 7% to $13.4 billion, organic revenues grew 6% and unit case volume grew 5%. Comparable EPS grew 11% to $0.97. It raised its 2026 guidance for comparable EPS growth to 9% to 10% and for free cash flow to about $12.4 billion.
Show 6 older events
  • July 16, 2026Coca-Cola said in an 8-K that fairlife, its dairy company, had a ransomware event. Production of fairlife in the United States stopped for a time, and production in Canada was not affected. The company said that product quality and safety were not affected.
  • June 25, 2026The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit heard Coca-Cola's appeal of the Tax Court decision in its transfer pricing case with the IRS. Coca-Cola paid $6.0 billion for the tax years 2007 to 2009 in 2024, and it estimates about $14 billion of more tax and interest for 2010 to 2025 if it loses.
  • June 25, 2026Coca-Cola said that Jennifer Mann, President of the North America Operating Unit, will leave her role on July 31, 2026. John Murphy, President and Chief Financial Officer, took over North America on an interim basis on August 1, 2026.
  • April 28, 2026Coca-Cola reported Q1 2026 results. Net revenues grew 12% to $12.5 billion and organic revenues grew 10%, helped by six more days in the quarter. Unit case volume grew 3%, and comparable EPS grew 18% to $0.86.
  • March 31, 2026Henrique Braun, the Chief Operating Officer, became CEO of Coca-Cola. James Quincey, the former CEO, became Executive Chairman. The board elected Mr. Braun on December 10, 2025.
  • February 10, 2026Coca-Cola reported 2025 results. Net revenues grew 2% to $47.9 billion, organic revenues grew 5% and comparable EPS grew 4% to $3.00. Q4 2025 included a non-cash impairment charge of $960 million on the BODYARMOR trademark. Free cash flow was $11.4 billion without the fairlife milestone payment.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 9, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Oct 2, 2026Filed · ko-20261002
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ko-20261027
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jul 3, 2026Filed · ko-20260703
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ko-20260728
  • 8-KOther company newsFiled · ko-20260716
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · ko-20260429
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Apr 3, 2026Filed · ko-20260403
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · ko-20260428
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · ko-20260219

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 21344)

Risks

  • Coca-Cola can lose its tax case with the IRS. It would then not get back the $6.0 billion it paid in 2024 and $589 million of interest on it, it can owe about $14 billion more for 2010 to 2025, and its effective tax rate can rise by about 3.8 points. The company believes that it will more likely than not win on appeal.
  • The price assumes many years of steady growth. Health rules, sugar taxes and changes in what people drink can slow volume growth. North America unit case volume was even in Q3 2026.
  • About two thirds of the business is outside the United States. Currency helped comparable EPS by about 3% in 2026, but the company expects a slight currency headwind in 2027.
  • Coca-Cola is selling bottling operations in Africa and Asia. These sales lower reported revenue, by about 8% in 2027, and they can be delayed by regulators.
  • A new CEO took over on March 31, 2026, and the head of North America left in July 2026. The fairlife ransomware event of July 2026 shows that cyber attacks can stop production.

Balance sheet

Cash
$16.6B
Debt
$41.6B
Net debt
$25.0B
Interest cover
12×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$6.6B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$16.6B
Debt$41.6B

debt covered by cashnet debt $25.0B

When the debt is due

12 months$5.0B
Later$36.6B

Coca-Cola funds itself mainly with long-term notes in U.S. dollars and euros, and it uses commercial paper for short-term needs. At October 2, 2026, debt was $41.6 billion: $36.6 billion of long-term debt, $4.9 billion of current maturities and $73 million of loans and notes payable.

Dividends

Dividend yield
2.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $96.03)
Paid per share
$2.10 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$2.12 ($0.53 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
67% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 15, 2026, $0.53 per share

Dividends per share by year

Coca-Cola dividends per share by year
2016
$1.40
2017
$1.48
2018
$1.56
2019
$1.60
2020
$1.64
2021
$1.68
2022
$1.76
2023
$1.84
2024
$1.94
2025
$2.04

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 4.7% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 4.3% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Coca-Cola

What does Coca-Cola do?

The Coca-Cola Company makes and sells concentrates, syrups and finished beverages. Its brands include Coca-Cola, Sprite, Fanta, fairlife, smartwater, Powerade, Minute Maid and Costa. Its market cap is $413B at the current price of $96.03.

When does Coca-Cola report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Coca-Cola may report on February 9, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is Coca-Cola stock below its intrinsic value?

Coca-Cola stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Coca-Cola?

The latest update is from October 28, 2026. In its Q3 2026 Form 10-Q, Coca-Cola said that its bottling operations in Singapore, Malaysia and Myanmar are now held for sale.

What are the main risks for Coca-Cola?

Coca-Cola can lose its tax case with the IRS. The price assumes many years of steady growth. About two thirds of the business is outside the United States.

How much debt and cash does Coca-Cola have?

At October 2, 2026, Coca-Cola had $41.6B of debt and $16.6B of cash.

Does Coca-Cola pay a dividend?

Yes. Coca-Cola paid $2.10 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 2.2% at the current price of $96.03. The latest ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.

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