BCETelecommunications and media
BCE
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- CA$30.47
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Well below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 4 · · estimated
- Market cap
- CA$28B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 5.7%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 5.7%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 13, 2026
- 52-week range
- CA$26.66 – CA$36.25
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.37
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 5.0M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that BCE can grow while it carries large debt and spends more on AI data centres and US fibre, and lower debt with stable Canadian earnings through 2027 can lift its value.
- Gap
- Slow. BCE expects its debt to reach 3.5 times adjusted EBITDA only by the end of 2027, and the returns on AI data centres and US fibre take several years to show.
Company guidance: 2026 revenue growth 1% to 5%; adjusted EBITDA growth 0% to 4%; free cash flow $2,100 to $2,300 million (, Q3 2026 results release (6-K))
Price history
About
BCE Inc. (BCE) is based in Montréal, Québec. It is the largest communications company in Canada, and it operates through its subsidiary Bell Canada. Bell CTS Canada sells wireless, Internet, TV and business services, Bell CTS U.S. is Ziply Fiber, a fibre Internet provider that BCE bought on August 1, 2025, and Bell Media owns CTV, Crave and TSN.
Operating revenues were $6,182 million in Q3 2026 and adjusted EBITDA was $2,786 million, in Canadian dollars. The common shares trade on the TSX in Canadian dollars and on the NYSE. BCE files 40-F and 6-K reports with the SEC.
Thesis
The price of BCE depends on whether it can return to earnings growth while it carries large debt and spends more on AI data centres and US fibre. In Q3 2026 revenue grew 2.2% and adjusted EBITDA grew 0.9%, but adjusted EBITDA of Bell CTS Canada fell 0.8%, adjusted EPS fell 6.3% and capital spending rose 49.3% to $1,330 million. Net debt was $39,554 million.
For the price to hold or rise, four things must be true. Wireless pricing must improve and the Canadian business must stop losing EBITDA. The Bell AI Fabric data centre in Saskatchewan must open its first data hall in the first half of 2027 and earn a return on its cost.
The sale of 49.9% of the tower company to La Caisse must close in Q1 2027, so that net debt leverage reaches the target of 3.5 times by the end of 2027. Free cash flow must cover the dividend of $1.75 per share. The Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, with its 2027 guidance, is the next test.
Checkpoints
- Feb 4, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2026 adjusted EBITDA grows within the guided 0% to 4% and free cash flow is in the range of $2,100 million to $2,300 million, and this passes; a result below either range fails.
- Q1 2027 · est.PendingTower company sale to La Caisse closesThe sale of 49.9% of the tower company closes in Q1 2027 for about $2.45 billion and the proceeds lower debt, and this passes; a delay past Q1 2027 fails.
Recent events
- November 5, 2026BCE reported Q3 2026 results. Operating revenues rose 2.2% to $6,182 million, adjusted EBITDA rose 0.9% to $2,786 million and adjusted EPS fell to $0.74 from $0.79. Free cash flow fell to $854 million because of higher capital spending. BCE confirmed its 2026 guidance and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.4375 per common share.
- October 27, 2026Bell agreed to sell a 49.9% stake in a new wireless tower company to La Caisse for $2.45 billion. The deal values the tower company at about $4.91 billion. Bell keeps control with 50.1%, and the deal is expected to close in Q1 2027.
- October 20, 2026Ziply Fiber and Network FiberCo agreed to buy another US fibre business. BCE expects its cash share for this and an earlier small purchase to be about US$200 million, and closing is expected in Q1 2027.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- September 14, 2026Bell and the Government of Saskatchewan signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding to add up to 900 megawatts of AI data centre capacity at the Sherwood facility, a path to 1.2 gigawatts in all.
- May 27, 2026Bell Canada announced offerings of $1.6 billion of MTN debentures in two series due 2036 and 2056, and US$650 million of 5.450% notes due 2036.
- March 16, 2026Bell announced a partnership with the Government of Saskatchewan to build a 300 megawatt AI data centre, and it raised its expected capital intensity for 2026 to about 20%.
Latest news and filings
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 4, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 6-KInterim report for the period ended Jun 30, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
- 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Debt is large. Net debt was $39,554 million at September 30, 2026, which is about 3.7 times adjusted EBITDA of the last four quarters, and BCE targets 3.5 times by the end of 2027.
- Competition and regulation press on prices. BCE expects more wireline price competition, and a CRTC decision requires an aggregated wholesale high-speed access service on its fibre-to-the-premise network.
- AI data centres need large capital. Construction of the 300 megawatt Sherwood facility was expected to cost about $1.7 billion, and BCE expects the total to be higher with the expansion. Returns depend on tenant demand.
- Margins of the US fibre business fell. The adjusted EBITDA margin of Bell CTS U.S. was 39.9% in Q3 2026, down 4.5 points, partly because of higher payments to the Network FiberCo partners.
- A class action from 2004 about wireless system access fees was dismissed for delay on October 16, 2026, but the plaintiff filed an appeal on November 2, 2026.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- CA$653M
- Debt
- CA$41.5B
- Net debt
- CA$40.9B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.8×
- EBITDA CA$10.8B, last 12 months
- Credit line
- CA$2.3B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt CA$40.9B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
At September 30, 2026, BCE had debt due within one year of $6,205 million and long-term debt of $35,308 million, which is $41,513 million in all, including lease liabilities and junior subordinated debt. Preferred shares were $3,216 million. Cash and cash equivalents were $653 million. Net debt, as BCE defines it with 50% of preferred shares and 50% of junior subordinated debt, was $39,554 million. Available liquidity was $3.7 billion: cash, $700 million under a securitized receivables program and $2.3 billion under $4.0 billion of committed credit facilities, with $1.7 billion of commercial paper outstanding. Free cash flow guidance for 2026 is $2,100 million to $2,300 million, and the annual dividend is $1.75 per common share. All amounts are in Canadian dollars.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 5.7% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 5.7% (last 12 months, at today’s price of CA$30.47)
- Paid per share
- CA$1.752 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- CA$1.752 (CA$0.438 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 15, 2026, CA$0.438 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | CA$2.732 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CA$2.872 | |
| 2018 | CA$3.02 | |
| 2019 | CA$3.172 | |
| 2020 | CA$3.332 | |
| 2021 | CA$3.50 | |
| 2022 | CA$3.68 | |
| 2023 | CA$3.872 | |
| 2024 | CA$3.992 | |
| 2025 | CA$2.312 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 7.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 1.2% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 12, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about BCE
What does BCE do?
BCE Inc. (BCE) is based in Montréal, Québec. It is the largest communications company in Canada, and it operates through its subsidiary Bell Canada. Its market cap is CA$28B at the current price of CA$30.47.
When does BCE report earnings next?
This is an estimate: BCE may report on February 4, 2027. It last reported results on November 5, 2026.
Is BCE stock below its intrinsic value?
BCE stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at BCE?
The latest update is from November 5, 2026. BCE reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for BCE?
Debt is large. Competition and regulation press on prices. AI data centres need large capital.
How much debt and cash does BCE have?
At September 30, 2026, BCE had CA$41.5B of debt and CA$653M of cash.
Does BCE pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of BCE is CA$1.752 per share. That is a dividend yield of 5.7% at the current price of CA$30.47. The latest ex-dividend date was September 15, 2026.
Similar companies
- METAMeta PlatformsShares: AI spender, High debt, Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- SKMSK TelecomShares: AI spender, Regulation and courts, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- FICOFICOShares: Regulation and courts, Interest rates, High debt
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- TDGTransDigmShares: High debt, Interest rates, Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- EIXEdison InternationalShares: Regulation and courts, High debt, Interest rates
- Intrinsic value
- Well below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star BCE or pass, then go on to the next one.