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CIENOptical networking systems

Ciena

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$296.04
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Below intrinsic value
Pick status
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Dec 10 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$42B
Shares of Aug 28, 2026
P/E (trailing)
66.2
Price of Nov 12, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$4.47
12 months to Aug 1, 2026
52-week range
$168.22 – $637.51
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.34
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
2.9M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market prices Ciena as a network supplier that depends on a few cloud customers and on scarce parts, and more supply with a higher margin through fiscal 2027 can lift its value.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 report in December 2026 and its fiscal 2027 plan show whether supply and margins keep growing.

Company guidance: Q4 FY26 revenue $1.75 billion +/- $50 million, adj. operating margin 20%; FY26 revenue $6.42 billion +/- $50 million (, Q3 fiscal 2026 results (8-K))

Price history

About

Ciena Corporation designs, makes and sells optical networking systems, routing and switching products, software and services that move data over fiber for telecom operators, cloud and data center companies and governments. Revenue was $1.67 billion in the fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended August 1, 2026. Optical networking was 71.3% of it, routing and switching 9.8%, platform software and services 5.9%, Blue Planet automation software 1.4% and global services 11.6%. Two customers each made more than 10% of revenue, 41.7% together.

Ciena's fiscal year ends around October 31. Gary Smith is President and Chief Executive Officer, and Marc Graff is Chief Financial Officer. The pick is the common stock on the NYSE (CIEN), in US dollars.

Thesis

The market prices Ciena as a network supplier that depends on a few cloud customers that are building AI data center networks and on scarce parts that limit how fast it can ship. Revenue rose 37% to $1.67 billion in the fiscal third quarter of 2026, and adjusted earnings per share rose to $2.11 from $0.67. Orders have been above revenue, so backlog is historically high, and Ciena raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $6.42 billion plus or minus $50 million. Two customers made 41.7% of revenue.

For the price to hold, supply must grow fast enough to turn orders into revenue, the adjusted operating margin must reach the 20% that Ciena expects for Q4 from 10.7% a year earlier, and the cloud customers must keep ordering. The Q4 report and the fiscal 2027 plan in December 2026 are the next test. If revenue and margin keep rising, the gap can close within about two years.

Checkpoints

  1. Dec 10, 2026 · est.Pending
    Q4 fiscal 2026 results and fiscal 2027 planQ4 revenue of $1.70 billion or more and an adjusted operating margin of 19.5% or more passes; lower results fail.
  2. Mar 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 fiscal 2027 results: revenueQuarterly revenue of $1.75 billion or more passes; less fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • September 3, 2026Ciena reported fiscal Q3 2026 results. Revenue was $1.67 billion, up 37%, adjusted gross margin was 46.4% and adjusted operating margin was 22.5%. GAAP net income per diluted share was $1.83 and adjusted net income per diluted share was $2.11. Ciena bought about 0.4 million shares for $171.7 million.
  • September 3, 2026Ciena gave an outlook for Q4: revenue of $1.75 billion plus or minus $50 million, an adjusted gross margin of 45% plus or minus 50 basis points and an adjusted operating margin of 20% plus or minus 50 basis points. It raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $6.42 billion plus or minus $50 million.
  • June 11, 2026Ciena closed an offering of $2.88 billion of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2031, including $375.0 million from the buyers' option, and repaid its 2030 term loan in full.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
September 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about December 10, 2026. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 936395)

Risks

  • Customer concentration. Two customers made 41.7% of revenue in the fiscal third quarter of 2026. A cut in orders from one of them would hit revenue and profit.
  • Supply limits. Orders exceed revenue and the industry has a supply shortage. Ciena signs multi-year supply agreements with firm purchase commitments and prepayments, so late parts delay revenue and a drop in demand would leave it with commitments.
  • Inventory. Inventories were $872.0 million at August 1, 2026, and inventory turns were 3.5. Excess or old parts would need write-downs.
  • Debt. Long-term debt was $3,229.8 million at August 1, 2026, against $1,524.2 million at November 1, 2025. The 0.00% convertible notes do not pay interest, but they can dilute shareholders.

Balance sheet

At August 1, 2026, Ciena had cash and cash equivalents of $2,445.7 million, short-term investments of $184.3 million and long-term investments of $213.6 million. Long-term debt, net, was $3,229.8 million, against $1,524.2 million at November 1, 2025, with no current portion.

Dividends

Ciena does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.

Questions about Ciena

What does Ciena do?

Ciena Corporation designs, makes and sells optical networking systems, routing and switching products, software and services that move data over fiber for telecom operators, cloud and data center companies and governments. Its market cap is $42B at the current price of $296.04.

When does Ciena report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Ciena may report on December 10, 2026. It last reported results on September 3, 2026.

Is Ciena stock below its intrinsic value?

Ciena stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Ciena?

The latest update is from September 3, 2026. Ciena reported fiscal Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Ciena?

Customer concentration. Supply limits. Inventory.

How much debt and cash does Ciena have?

At August 1, 2026, Ciena had cash and cash equivalents of $2,445.7 million, short-term investments of $184.3 million and long-term investments of $213.6 million. This is as of August 1, 2026.

Does Ciena pay a dividend?

No. Ciena does not pay a dividend.

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