By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $210.78
- Analysts view
- Analysts Bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $414B
- Shares of Sep 30, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 15.5
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $13.62
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $146.49 – $236.48
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.46
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 8.3M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors pay a premium for Chevron's cash flow at high oil prices, and only higher earnings at normal prices from growth and lower costs can earn it when the Middle East supply shock ends.
- Gap
- Can close. Oil prices set the earnings each quarter, and the Hess Midstream close by the end of 2026 and the Q4 2026 report in late January 2027 show whether cash flow holds at lower prices.
Company guidance: Share repurchases of $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion in fourth quarter 2026 (, Q3 2026 Form 10-Q)
Price history
About
Chevron is one of the largest integrated energy companies. Its upstream business produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States (the Permian Basin, the Gulf of America, the Bakken and the DJ Basin) and in other countries such as Kazakhstan (through its 50% share of Tengizchevroil), Australia, Guyana, Israel and Venezuela. Its downstream business refines crude oil into fuels and sells fuels, lubricants and chemicals, partly through the CPChem and GS Caltex joint ventures.
It bought Hess Corporation on July 18, 2025, which added a share of the Stabroek block in Guyana. In the first nine months of 2026, net production was 3.97 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, and U.S. production was above 2 million barrels per day. Earnings move strongly with oil prices: each $1 change in the Brent price changes annual after-tax earnings by about $600 million.
Thesis
Chevron trades at a premium because investors pay for high cash flow in a period of high oil prices and for a strong balance sheet. Brent averaged $94 per barrel in the first nine months of 2026, against $71 a year earlier, because the conflict in the Middle East disrupted supplies. Chevron's adjusted earnings rose to $25.1 billion in that period, from $10.5 billion. Net debt fell to $20.7 billion, its bonds are rated AA- and Aa2, and it pays a dividend of $1.78 per quarter and buys back about $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion of shares each quarter.
Investors also pay for growth from Hess's share of Guyana, record U.S. refinery runs and Venezuela, where its joint ventures plan to invest $7 billion over five years. For the premium to be earned, earnings must stay high when oil prices fall back. Production growth, lower costs and better Bakken midstream terms must lift quarterly earnings at normal prices to more than the $3.0 billion of Q4 2025, when Brent averaged $64. The Hess Midstream restructuring must close by the end of 2026, and buybacks must continue near the guided pace.
The Q4 2026 report in late January 2027 and the 2027 capital budget are the next tests. The premium can shrink fast if the conflict eases and oil prices fall, or if refining margins return to normal.
Checkpoints
- Dec 2026 · est.PendingHess Midstream restructuring closesA close by the end of 2026 with the planned cut of about 50% in Bakken midstream costs passes; a delay or worse terms fails.
- Jan 29, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 plansSteady production, buybacks near $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion a quarter and a 2027 capital budget that keeps free cash flow high at lower prices pass; lower buybacks or a large rise in costs fail.
Recent events
- October 30, 2026Chevron reported Q3 2026 results. Earnings were $9.9 billion, and adjusted earnings were $10.4 billion, or $5.28 per share, with Brent at an average of $97 per barrel. Cash flow from operations was $16.0 billion, and free cash flow was $12.0 billion. U.S. refineries had record crude throughput at 98% utilization. Total debt fell by $3.5 billion and net debt by $7.8 billion in the quarter. Chevron bought back $2.5 billion of shares and expects $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion in Q4 2026. Its Venezuela joint ventures plan to invest $7 billion over the next five years.
- October 6, 2026Chevron agreed to transfer its interests in Hess Midstream and its DJ Basin crude oil midstream assets to Hess Midstream, for $200 million in cash and new long-term Bakken contracts that cut its Bakken midstream costs by about 50%. Chevron expects an after-tax loss of about $3 billion to $4 billion on closing, which it will treat as a special item, and it will remove about $3.7 billion of Hess Midstream debt from its balance sheet. The deal is expected to close by the end of 2026.
- September 30, 2026Chevron's board named Jeff Gustavson, the head of New Energies, as Chief Financial Officer from January 1, 2027. The current CFO, Eimear Bonner, becomes President of Oil, Products & Gas.
Show 4 older eventsHide older events
- September 1, 2026Chevron started to use equity accounting for its Venezuela joint ventures, after better fiscal, commercial and legal terms. It now records its share of their earnings, production and reserves.
- July 31, 2026Chevron reported Q2 2026 results. Earnings were $12.1 billion, U.S. production was a record and worldwide production rose 20% from a year earlier. Chevron signed a 20-year power agreement with Microsoft for a West Texas data center.
- May 1, 2026Chevron reported Q1 2026 results. Earnings were $2.2 billion and adjusted earnings were $2.8 billion, as rising oil prices caused negative timing effects of derivatives and a legal reserve of $360 million lowered earnings. It returned $6.0 billion to shareholders.
- January 30, 2026Chevron reported 2025 results. Adjusted earnings were $13.5 billion, or $7.29 per share, with Brent at an average of $69 per barrel. Production rose 12% to a record, helped by Hess. It raised the quarterly dividend 4% to $1.78 per share.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 30, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · cvx-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · cvx-20261030
- 8-KInvestor disclosure and Other company newsFiled · cvx-20261006
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · cvx-20260930
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · cvx-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · cvx-20260731
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · cvx-20260527
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · cvx-20260527
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · cvx-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · cvx-20260501
Risks
- Earnings depend on oil prices. Each $1 change in Brent changes annual after-tax earnings by about $600 million. Brent averaged $94 in the first nine months of 2026 because of the conflict in the Middle East. If the conflict ends or supply grows, prices can fall quickly toward the $64 of Q4 2025.
- The conflict in the Middle East can also hurt operations. It caused production curtailments in the Partitioned Zone between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and at CPChem plants in Saudi Arabia and Qatar, and it raised shipping and insurance costs.
- Chevron works in countries with political risk. Its Venezuela joint ventures depend on US government authorizations and sanctions. Tengiz exports go through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, which drone attacks have hit.
- Legal claims can add costs. A Louisiana jury verdict under the coastal law SLCRMA is under appeal, and Chevron recorded legal reserves in Q1 and Q3 2026.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $12.8B
- Debt
- $33.5B
- Net debt
- $20.7B
- Credit line
- $11.4B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $20.7B
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- S&P AA-
- Moody's Aa2
Chevron funds itself with bonds and commercial paper. At September 30, 2026, total debt and finance lease liabilities were $33.5 billion, down from $40.8 billion at December 31, 2025, and cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $12.8 billion, so net debt was $20.7 billion. Net debt was 0.4 times cash flow from operations of the last 12 months ($52.0 billion). Commercial paper was $0.8 billion. Debt due within one year was $9.6 billion, of which $8.9 billion is classified as long-term, because Chevron can refinance it with $11.4 billion of undrawn 364-day committed credit facilities. S&P rates Chevron's bonds AA- and Moody's rates them Aa2. When the Hess Midstream deal closes, about $3.7 billion of Hess Midstream debt leaves the balance sheet. In the first nine months of 2026, free cash flow was $28.5 billion, and Chevron paid $10.5 billion of dividends and $8.2 billion for its own shares.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 3.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $210.78)
- Paid per share
- $7.05 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $7.12 ($1.78 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 103% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- August 19, 2026, $1.78 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $4.29 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $4.32 | |
| 2018 | $4.48 | |
| 2019 | $4.76 | |
| 2020 | $5.16 | |
| 2021 | $5.31 | |
| 2022 | $5.68 | |
| 2023 | $6.04 | |
| 2024 | $6.52 | |
| 2025 | $6.84 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 6.0% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 5.1% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Chevron
What does Chevron do?
Chevron is one of the largest integrated energy companies. Its market cap is $414B at the current price of $210.78.
When does Chevron report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Chevron may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 30, 2026.
Is Chevron stock below its intrinsic value?
Chevron stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Chevron?
The latest update is from October 30, 2026. Chevron reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Chevron?
Earnings depend on oil prices. The conflict in the Middle East can also hurt operations. Chevron works in countries with political risk.
How much debt and cash does Chevron have?
At September 30, 2026, Chevron had $33.5B of debt and $12.8B of cash.
Does Chevron pay a dividend?
Yes. Chevron paid $7.05 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 3.3% at the current price of $210.78. The latest ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026.
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