DXCMGlucose monitoring medical devices
Dexcom
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $80.35
- Analysts view
- Very bullish
- Discount category
- Close to intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 11 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $30B
- Shares of Oct 22, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 31.6
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $2.54
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $56.72 – $92.59
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.45
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 4.2M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market doubts that revenue growth and margins keep rising while lawsuits are open, and steady growth from the G7 15 Day system and from users of type 2 diabetes can lift its value.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 report with the guidance for 2027, expected in early 2027, shows whether growth and margins stay on the path to the targets for 2030.
Company guidance: 2026 revenue $5.20B to $5.25B; non-GAAP operating margin about 24%; adjusted EBITDA margin about 32% (, Q3 2026 results release (8-K))
Price history
About
DexCom, Inc. (Dexcom) is a maker of continuous glucose monitoring systems for people with diabetes. It is based in San Diego, California. Its products include the Dexcom G7 system, the Dexcom G7 15 Day system, which began to roll out in late 2025, and Stelo, a biosensor that it launched in August 2024 for adults with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin. In 2025, revenue was $4,662.0 million.
In the first nine months of 2026, revenue was $3,844.8 million and net income was $723.7 million. In Q3 of 2026, revenue in the United States grew 14% and revenue abroad grew 5%. Jake Leach is President and Chief Executive Officer. The company files 10-K and 10-Q reports with the SEC, and its common stock trades on Nasdaq in US dollars.
Thesis
The price of Dexcom depends on whether revenue keeps growing at a double-digit pace while the operating margin rises toward the targets of the company, and on how its lawsuits end. In Q3 of 2026, revenue rose 11% to $1.344 billion, GAAP operating income was $327.2 million, which is 24.3% of revenue, and the non-GAAP operating margin was 25.3%. The company raised its guidance for 2026 to revenue of $5.20 billion to $5.25 billion and a non-GAAP operating margin of about 24%, and it announced a buyback of up to $1.0 billion.
At its Investor Day on May 14, 2026, it set targets of organic revenue growth of 10% or more every year through 2030 and a non-GAAP operating margin of 29% to 30% in 2030. For the price to hold or rise, three things must be true. Growth must stay above 10%, which needs the new G7 15 Day system, the Stelo product and more users of type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin.
Growth abroad, which was 5% in Q3, must improve. The legal cases, which include a securities class action, derivative actions and a class action about the G6 and G7 systems, must end without a large cost. The next tests are the Q4 report with the guidance for 2027, expected in early 2027, and each ruling in the legal cases.
Checkpoints
- Feb 11, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and guidance for 2027Revenue for 2026 lands in the guided range of $5.20 billion to $5.25 billion and the guidance for 2027 keeps growth near 10% or more with a higher operating margin, and this passes; slower growth or a flat margin fails.
- Q2 2027 · est.PendingQ1 2027 results: growth abroadInternational revenue growth rises above the 5% of Q3 2026 and total growth stays above 10%, and this passes; slower growth fails.
Recent events
- October 29, 2026Dexcom reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 11% to $1.344 billion, GAAP net income was $275.1 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, and non-GAAP net income was $275.0 million, or $0.73 per diluted share. The company held $1.82 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, and its revolving credit facility is undrawn.
- October 29, 2026Dexcom announced a share repurchase authorization of up to $1.0 billion. It raised the midpoint of its revenue guidance for 2026 to $5.20 billion to $5.25 billion, and it raised its non-GAAP operating margin guidance to about 24%.
- October 29, 2026After the quarter, a randomized trial named CONNECT, which tested the Dexcom G7 in people with type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin, was published in The New England Journal of Medicine. In Q3, Dexcom launched a redesigned Stelo experience, and it won its first two international clearances of the G7 15 Day system.
Show 2 older eventsHide older events
- September 10, 2026Dexcom increased its board to thirteen directors and appointed Glenn S. Boehnlein as a director. He joins the Operations and Innovation Committee and the Audit Committee.
- May 14, 2026At its 2026 Investor Day, Dexcom set long-range targets of organic revenue growth of 10% or more every year through 2030, a non-GAAP gross margin of 67% to 69%, a non-GAAP operating margin of 29% to 30% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 36% to 37% in 2030.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 11, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · dxcm-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Other company newsFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · dxcm-20260910
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · dxcm-20260910
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · dxcm-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · dxcm-20260527
- 8-KInvestor disclosure and Other company newsFiled · dxcm-20260514
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · dxcm-20260331
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
Risks
- Lawsuits can lead to large costs. The Form 10-Q lists a securities class action that is on appeal, several derivative actions, and the G6 and G7 Class Action Litigation. The company says that it cannot estimate the outcome of any of them.
- Growth abroad is slow. International revenue grew 5% in Q3, against 14% in the United States. The targets need growth of 10% or more every year.
- The margin gain must continue. The non-GAAP operating margin guidance is about 24% for 2026, and the target for 2030 is 29% to 30%. A slower rise in gross margin or higher costs would delay it.
- The convertible notes will need cash or shares. The notes of $1.25 billion fall due on May 15, 2028, and the conversion price is $162.41 per share. The company can pay in cash, shares or both.
- Share-based pay is a large cost. It was $119.1 million in the nine months, and the company does not add it back to its non-GAAP operating income.
Balance sheet
At September 30, 2026, Dexcom held $1.82 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities. Its revolving credit facility is undrawn. Its only debt is $1.25 billion of 0.375% convertible senior notes due May 15, 2028, with a carrying value of $1,243.7 million. The conversion price is $162.41 per share, and the company may settle in cash, shares or both. The notes add 7.7 million shares to its diluted count. There were 372,950,922 shares of common stock outstanding at October 22, 2026. The company announced a new buyback authorization of up to $1.0 billion on October 29, 2026.
Dividends
Dexcom does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.
Questions about Dexcom
What does Dexcom do?
DexCom, Inc. (Dexcom) is a maker of continuous glucose monitoring systems for people with diabetes. It is based in San Diego, California. Its market cap is $30B at the current price of $80.35.
When does Dexcom report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Dexcom may report on February 11, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.
Is Dexcom stock below its intrinsic value?
Dexcom stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Dexcom?
The latest update is from October 29, 2026. Dexcom reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Dexcom?
Lawsuits can lead to large costs. Growth abroad is slow. The margin gain must continue.
How much debt and cash does Dexcom have?
At September 30, 2026, Dexcom held $1.82 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does Dexcom pay a dividend?
No. Dexcom does not pay a dividend.
Similar companies
- BSXBoston ScientificShares: Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- PODDInsuletShares: Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Well below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- MDTMedtronicShares: Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- JNJJohnson & JohnsonShares: Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Far above intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- ABTAbbott LaboratoriesShares: Regulation and courts
- Intrinsic value
- Pricey
- Gap
- Slow
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star DXCM or pass, then go on to the next one.