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ETMidstream energy partnership

Energy Transfer

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$19.09
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Well below intrinsic value
Top pick
Top pick
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 3 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$66B
Shares of Oct 30, 2026
52-week range
$16.18 – $21.84
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
0.62
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
8.7M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors are careful with the growth spending, acquisitions and complex structure of Energy Transfer, and new projects on time with growing cash flow per unit can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report in early February 2027 and Phase II of the Hugh Brinson Pipeline in Q1 2027 show whether growth spending raises cash flow per unit.

Company guidance: Adjusted EBITDA of $19.7 billion to $19.9 billion for 2026 and growth capital of about $7 billion for 2027 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Energy Transfer is a publicly traded limited partnership. It owns about 140,000 miles of pipelines and related energy infrastructure in 44 states. Its assets move, store and process natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil and refined products, and it has NGL fractionation plants and export terminals. It also owns the general partner and about 15% of the units of Sunoco LP, a fuel distribution and pipeline partnership, and the general partner and about 32% of the units of USA Compression Partners, and it consolidates both.

In Q3 2026, NGL and refined products gave $1,224 million and the Sunoco investment $1,049 million of the $5,031 million of Adjusted EBITDA. Investors own common units, not shares, and receive a cash distribution each quarter. The units trade on the Texas Stock Exchange since October 5, 2026, after the move from the New York Stock Exchange. The head office is in Dallas, Texas.

Thomas E. Long becomes the only chief executive officer when co-chief executive officer Marshall McCrea retires, on or before December 31, 2026.

Thesis

Energy Transfer trades below its intrinsic value because investors are careful with its large growth spending, its acquisitions, its complex structure with two consolidated public partnerships and its partnership tax forms. Adjusted EBITDA rose 31% to $5.03 billion in Q3 2026, distributable cash flow covered the distribution 2.1 times, and the distribution of $0.3425 per unit was more than 3% higher than a year earlier. Energy Transfer raised its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $19.7 billion to $19.9 billion. It expects growth capital of about $7 billion in 2027, and it agreed to buy Vaquero Midstream for about $2.6 billion.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. New projects, such as Phase II of the Hugh Brinson Pipeline in Q1 2027 and the new Permian processing plants, must start on time and fill. Distributable cash flow per unit must keep growing while the partnership spends on growth. Debt must stay near its present level after the Vaquero acquisition.

The Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, is the next test. If the partnership keeps its growth and its coverage, the gap can close over the next one to two years.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 3, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results and distribution coverageHigher distributable cash flow and coverage of 1.8 times or more pass; lower coverage fails.Outcome: Distributable cash flow rose 33% to $2.52 billion and covered the distribution 2.1 times.
  2. Feb 3, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2026 Adjusted EBITDA within $19.7 billion to $19.9 billion and a higher distribution pass; lower results fail.
  3. Q1 2027 · est.Pending
    Hugh Brinson Phase II in servicePhase II in service in Q1 2027 within budget passes; a delay or cost overrun fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 5, 2026Energy Transfer priced $2.7 billion of senior notes: $900 million of 5.450% notes due 2032, $900 million of 5.900% notes due 2037 and $900 million of 6.550% notes due 2057. It plans to use the money to repay commercial paper and borrowings under its credit facility.
  • November 3, 2026Energy Transfer reported Q3 2026 results. Net income attributable to partners rose to $1.21 billion from $1.02 billion, or $0.33 per common unit. Adjusted EBITDA rose 31% to $5.03 billion, and distributable cash flow attributable to partners, as adjusted, rose 33% to $2.52 billion. It raised its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $19.7 billion to $19.9 billion and expects growth capital of about $7 billion in 2027. It took a final investment decision on the South Mississippi Pipeline, at about $1.6 billion, and announced Frac X at Mont Belvieu and the Bear II processing plant.
  • October 5, 2026The common units began to trade on the Texas Stock Exchange under the same ticker, ET, after the move from the New York Stock Exchange that Energy Transfer announced on September 10, 2026. In October 2026, it also agreed to buy Vaquero Midstream for about $2.6 billion in cash and units, and it declared a distribution of $0.3425 per unit, more than 3% higher than a year earlier.
Show 3 older events
  • September 1, 2026Energy Transfer put Phase I of the Hugh Brinson Pipeline into full service, ahead of schedule. It expects Phase II in Q1 2027.
  • August 4, 2026Energy Transfer reported Q2 2026 results. Net income attributable to partners was $2.09 billion, or $0.59 per common unit, and Adjusted EBITDA rose 31% to $5.07 billion. NGL exports rose 25% to a record. In August 2026, it redeemed $900 million of Series H preferred units with money from junior subordinated notes due 2057.
  • June 1, 2026Energy Transfer said that co-chief executive officer Marshall McCrea will retire on or before December 31, 2026. Co-chief executive officer Thomas E. Long then becomes the only chief executive officer.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 3, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 3, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 8-KNew material agreement and Other company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · et-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · et-20261103
  • 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · et-20260903
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · et-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · et-20260804
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KNew material agreement and Other company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · et-20260601
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · et-20260331

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1276187)

Risks

  • Growth capital of about $7 billion in 2027 and the Vaquero acquisition add risk. Delays or cost overruns on new pipelines and plants can lower returns and raise debt.
  • Consolidated debt was $68,850 million at September 30, 2026, including the debt of Sunoco LP and USA Compression Partners. About $4.35 billion of notes are due by September 30, 2027. Higher interest rates raise the cost of new debt.
  • Energy Transfer is a partnership for federal income tax. A change in law can make it pay income tax as a corporation. Unitholders pay tax on their share of income even when they receive no cash, and tax-exempt holders such as retirement accounts can owe tax on unrelated business taxable income.
  • Some earnings move with commodity prices and spreads, such as NGL and crude oil marketing and the fuel margins of Sunoco LP.
  • Pipelines must follow safety and environmental rules. A leak, a fine or a permit delay can cause costs and stop projects.

Balance sheet

Cash
$926M
Debt
$68.9B
Net debt
$67.9B
Net debt / EBITDA
3.5×
EBITDA $19.2B, last 12 months
Interest cover
3.3×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$4.4B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$926M
Debt$68.9B

debt covered by cashnet debt $67.9B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$4.4B
Later$64.5B

The last debt is due in 2057.

Energy Transfer funds itself with senior notes, junior subordinated notes, preferred units, commercial paper and retained cash flow. Its consolidated debt includes the separate debt of Sunoco LP and USA Compression Partners.

Dividends

Dividend yield
7.1% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $19.09)
Paid per share
$1.356 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.372 ($0.343 × 4 a year)
Latest ex-dividend date
November 6, 2026, $0.343 per share

Dividends per share by year

Energy Transfer dividends per share by year
2016
$1.14
2017
$1.15
2018
$1.22
2019
$1.22
2020
$1.068
2021
$0.612
2022
$0.87
2023
$1.236
2024
$1.276
2025
$1.316

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 17.2% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 1.8% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Energy Transfer

What does Energy Transfer do?

Energy Transfer is a publicly traded limited partnership. It owns about 140,000 miles of pipelines and related energy infrastructure in 44 states. Its market cap is $66B at the current price of $19.09.

When does Energy Transfer report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Energy Transfer may report on February 3, 2027. It last reported results on November 3, 2026.

Is Energy Transfer stock below its intrinsic value?

Energy Transfer stock is well below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Energy Transfer?

The latest update is from November 5, 2026. Energy Transfer priced $2.7 billion of senior notes: $900 million of 5.450% notes due 2032, $900 million of 5.900% notes due 2037 and $900 million of 6.550% notes due 2057.

What are the main risks for Energy Transfer?

Growth capital of about $7 billion in 2027 and the Vaquero acquisition add risk. Consolidated debt was $68,850 million at September 30, 2026, including the debt of Sunoco LP and USA Compression Partners. Energy Transfer is a partnership for federal income tax.

How much debt and cash does Energy Transfer have?

At September 30, 2026, Energy Transfer had $68.9B of debt and $926M of cash.

Does Energy Transfer pay a dividend?

Yes. Energy Transfer paid $1.356 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 7.1% at the current price of $19.09. The latest ex-dividend date was November 6, 2026.

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