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MFCLife insurance and wealth management

Manulife Financial

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
CA$62.49
Analysts view
Analysts Leaning bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 4 · · estimated
History
52-week range
CA$44.23 – CA$64.60
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
0.62
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
5.2M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for the growth in Asia and the buybacks of Manulife, and only several years of core EPS growth with net inflows in Global WAM can earn it.
Gap
Slow. Only several years of core EPS growth from Asia, buybacks and a return to net inflows in Global WAM can earn the premium.

Price history

About

Manulife Financial (Manulife) sells life and health insurance, annuities, retirement plans and investment products. It operates as Manulife in Canada and Asia and mainly as John Hancock in the United States. Manulife Wealth & Asset Management (Global WAM) manages money for individuals, retirement plans and institutions, and it owns 75% of the private credit manager Comvest Credit Partners. Average assets under management and administration of Global WAM were C$1,198 billion in Q3 2026.

Of the core earnings of the four operating segments in Q3 2026, Asia gave the largest part, then Global WAM, Canada and the United States. The common shares trade on the Toronto, New York and Philippine stock exchanges and in Hong Kong. The head office is in Toronto. Phil Witherington is President and Chief Executive Officer.

Thesis

Manulife trades above its intrinsic value because investors pay for its growth in Asia, its steady core earnings and its large share buybacks. In Q3 2026, core earnings rose 4% to a record C$2,125 million and core EPS rose 6% to C$1.24. Asia core earnings rose 17%. Manulife bought back 26.8 million shares in the first nine months of 2026, and the share count fell to 1,654 million.

For the shares to earn this price, three things must be true. Asia must keep its growth in new business and core earnings. Global WAM must return to net inflows after net outflows of C$7.5 billion in the first nine months of 2026, which came partly from the change to the eMPF pension platform in Hong Kong. Credit losses and claims in the United States and Canada must stay low.

The Q4 2026 and full-year report, expected in early February 2027, is the next test, together with a new buyback program. A rise in credit losses, a fall in Asia sales or lower markets can make the premium hard to keep.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 4, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: core EPS and AsiaCore EPS growth of 5% or more and higher Asia core earnings pass; lower core EPS fails.Outcome: Core EPS rose 6% to C$1.24, and Asia core earnings rose 17%.
  2. Feb 4, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and new buyback programCore EPS growth for 2026 of 10% or more and a new buyback program pass; a fall in Asia core earnings fails.
  3. Q2 2027 · est.Pending
    Global WAM net flowsNet inflows in Global WAM in the first half of 2027 pass; more net outflows fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 4, 2026Manulife reported Q3 2026 results. Core earnings rose 4% to a record C$2,125 million, and core EPS rose 6% to C$1.24. Net income attributed to shareholders fell to C$1,424 million from C$1,799 million, or C$0.82 per share. Core ROE was 17.8% and the LICAT ratio was 136%. Global WAM had net outflows of C$3.6 billion. Manulife returned C$1.3 billion to shareholders in the quarter and declared a quarterly dividend of C$0.485 per share, payable on December 21, 2026.
  • September 1, 2026Manulife priced US$750 million of 6.146% subordinated notes due 2041, which it expects to count as Tier 2 capital. It issued the notes on September 11, 2026.
  • August 5, 2026Manulife reported Q2 2026 results. Core earnings rose 12% to C$1.9 billion, and core EPS rose 16% to C$1.09. Net income attributed to shareholders was C$2.1 billion. Asia core earnings rose 21%, and Global WAM had net inflows of C$0.4 billion.
Show 2 older events
  • May 13, 2026Manulife reported Q1 2026 results. Core EPS rose 11% to C$1.06, and net income attributed to shareholders was C$1.1 billion. Global WAM had net outflows of C$4.4 billion.
  • February 11, 2026Manulife reported 2025 results. Core EPS rose 8% to C$4.21, and net income attributed to shareholders was C$5.6 billion. It bought back 54.4 million shares, or 3.1% of the shares, for C$2.4 billion in 2025. It raised the quarterly dividend by 10.2% and announced a new buyback program of up to about 2.5% of its shares.

Latest news and filings

Next earnings
Expected about February 4, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · mfc-20251231_d2
  • 40-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · mfc-20241231_d2

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1086888)

Risks

  • Asia gives the largest part of core earnings. Lower sales in Hong Kong or the Chinese Mainland, tension between China and other countries, or new rules in the region can slow growth.
  • Global WAM had net outflows of C$7.5 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Fees fall when money leaves or when markets fall.
  • Manulife holds large portfolios of bonds, mortgages, private placements and real estate. In Q3 2026, higher provisions for expected credit losses lowered core earnings in all four operating segments. A recession can raise credit losses more.
  • Insurance results depend on actuarial assumptions about claims, lapses and interest rates. Changes to these assumptions, as in the annual review each third quarter, can change earnings and capital.
  • Manulife reports in Canadian dollars, but most of its earnings come in U.S. dollars and Asian currencies. A stronger Canadian dollar lowers reported earnings.

Balance sheet

Manulife funds itself mainly with shareholders' equity, insurance liabilities and some long-term debt and capital instruments. At September 30, 2026, long-term debt was C$6,542 million and capital instruments were C$8,017 million, including the US$750 million of 6.146% subordinated notes due 2041 issued on September 11, 2026.

Dividends

Dividend yield
3.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of CA$62.49)
Paid per share
CA$1.895 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
CA$1.94 (CA$0.485 × 4 a year)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 21, 2026, CA$0.485 per share

Dividends per share by year

Manulife Financial dividends per share by year
2016
CA$0.74
2017
CA$0.82
2018
CA$0.91
2019
CA$1.00
2020
CA$1.12
2021
CA$1.17
2022
CA$1.32
2023
CA$1.46
2024
CA$1.60
2025
CA$1.76

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 11.1% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 10.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Manulife Financial

What does Manulife Financial do?

Manulife Financial (Manulife) sells life and health insurance, annuities, retirement plans and investment products. It operates as Manulife in Canada and Asia and mainly as John Hancock in the United States.

When does Manulife Financial report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Manulife Financial may report on February 4, 2027. It last reported results on November 4, 2026.

Is Manulife Financial stock below its intrinsic value?

Manulife Financial stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Manulife Financial?

The latest update is from November 4, 2026. Manulife reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Manulife Financial?

Asia gives the largest part of core earnings. Global WAM had net outflows of C$7.5 billion in the first nine months of 2026. Manulife holds large portfolios of bonds, mortgages, private placements and real estate.

How much debt and cash does Manulife Financial have?

Manulife funds itself mainly with shareholders' equity, insurance liabilities and some long-term debt and capital instruments. This is as of September 30, 2026.

Does Manulife Financial pay a dividend?

Yes. Manulife Financial paid CA$1.895 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 3.0% at the current price of CA$62.49. The latest ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.

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