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NGLOYMining: copper, premium iron ore and manganese

Anglo American

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$25.68
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 19 · · estimated
History
52-week range
$17.49 – $29.61
To Nov 10, 2026
Beta
1.02
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
403K
3 months, to Nov 10, 2026

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In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for high copper prices and the planned merger of Anglo American with Teck, and only high copper prices with the expected synergies can earn it.
Gap
Slow. Only high copper prices for several years and a merger with Teck that delivers its synergies can earn the premium.

Company guidance: 2026 copper production of 700 to 760 kt and premium iron ore of 55 to 59 Mt; Copper Peru unit cost of about 50 c/lb (, Q3 2026 production report)

Price history

About

Anglo American plc is a mining company. Its main products are copper from Chile and Peru, premium iron ore from South Africa (Kumba Iron Ore) and Brazil (Minas-Rio), and manganese ore. It is developing the Woodsmith crop nutrients mine in North Yorkshire, England. It is selling the businesses that it does not want to keep: De Beers (diamonds), steelmaking coal in Australia and nickel in Brazil.

In the first half of 2026, continuing operations had revenue of $9,926 million and underlying EBITDA of $4,002 million. Copper gave $2,936 million and Premium Iron Ore $1,169 million, and De Beers had an EBITDA loss of $113 million. In 2025, continuing operations had underlying EBITDA of $6,417 million. On September 9, 2025, Anglo American agreed to merge with Teck Resources to form Anglo Teck, with its head office in Canada.

Its ordinary shares trade in London and Johannesburg. In the United States, American depositary receipts (ADRs) trade over the counter under the ticker NGLOY, and one ADR represents one half of an ordinary share. The registered office is in London. Duncan Wanblad is Chief Executive Officer, and Stuart Chambers is Chair.

Thesis

Anglo American trades above its intrinsic value because investors pay for high copper prices, its copper growth and the planned merger with Teck. In the first half of 2026, Copper underlying EBITDA rose 67% to $2,936 million with a margin of 60%, after a 39% increase in the copper market price. Copper gave most of the group's $4,002 million of underlying EBITDA. Net debt fell to $8.2 billion, 1.0 times underlying EBITDA.

For the shares to earn this price, three things must be true. Copper prices must stay high. The merger with Teck must complete, with approval from China's anti-trust regulator as the last regulatory step, and it must deliver the expected $800 million of yearly pre-tax synergies. The sales of Steelmaking Coal, Nickel and De Beers must complete at good prices and reduce debt.

The full-year 2026 results, expected in February 2027, and the merger completion, expected by March 2027, are the next tests. A fall in copper prices or a failed merger can make the premium hard to keep.

Checkpoints

  1. Jul 30, 2026Passed
    Results for the first half of 2026Higher underlying EBITDA and lower net debt pass; lower EBITDA or higher net debt fails.Outcome: Underlying EBITDA from continuing operations rose 35% to $4,002 million, and net debt fell to $8.2 billion.
  2. Feb 19, 2027 · est.Pending
    Full-year 2026 resultsCopper production within the 2026 guidance of 700 to 760 kt and lower net debt pass; lower production or higher debt fails.
  3. Mar 2027 · est.Pending
    Completion of the merger with TeckApproval from China's anti-trust regulator and completion by March 2027 pass; a block or a long delay fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 22, 2026Anglo American appointed Anne Wade as Senior Independent Director of its board. Ian Tyler, who had the role since April 2022, stays on the board as chair of the Remuneration Committee.
  • October 20, 2026Anglo American reported Q3 2026 production. Copper production fell 5% to 174,900 tonnes because of record snowfall in Chile and lower-grade stockpile ore at Collahuasi, and premium iron ore production fell 4% to 13.8 million tonnes. The 2026 guidance did not change, except a lower Copper Peru unit cost of about 50 c/lb, from about 65 c/lb, and higher De Beers production of 25 to 28 million carats. Anglo American expects to complete the merger with Teck by March 2027.
  • September 1, 2026Anglo American gave details of the special dividend that it must approve before the merger with Teck completes. The base amount is about $4.5 billion, adjusted for the ordinary dividends of both companies. The company will also change its name to Anglo Teck plc.
Show 4 older events
  • July 30, 2026Anglo American reported results for the first half of 2026. Underlying EBITDA from continuing operations rose 35% to $4,002 million, and net debt fell to $8.2 billion. The loss attributable to shareholders was $858 million, which includes a lower carrying value of Steelmaking Coal after the agreed sale. The interim dividend is $0.23 per share, from $0.07. Anglo American and Teck also named the future management of Anglo Teck, with Duncan Wanblad as Chief Executive Officer.
  • June 24, 2026Anglo American and Codelco completed their agreement for a joint mine plan for the Los Bronces and Andina copper mines in Chile. The plan is expected to give 2.7 million tonnes of additional copper over 21 years, shared equally, after the environmental permits, which are expected by 2030.
  • May 18, 2026Anglo American agreed to sell its steelmaking coal mines in Australia to Dhilmar for up to $3.875 billion in cash: $2.3 billion at completion and up to $1.575 billion linked to future coal prices. Completion is expected by the first quarter of 2027. Anglo American continues its arbitration with Peabody about the earlier agreement for these mines. On the same day, it said that a court ruling in Chile against the 2021 environmental permit of Collahuasi has no immediate effect on production.
  • February 20, 2026Anglo American reported 2025 results. Underlying EBITDA from continuing operations rose to $6,417 million, and net debt fell to $8.6 billion. The loss attributable to shareholders was $3.7 billion, which includes a pre-tax impairment of $2.3 billion for De Beers. Dividends for 2025 were $0.23 per share.

Risks

  • Earnings follow copper and iron ore prices. A fall in the copper price from the high level of 2026 can reduce EBITDA, cash flow and dividends fast.
  • The merger with Teck still needs approval from China's anti-trust regulator. A block, a long delay or difficult conditions can reduce the expected value, and the combination must deliver $800 million of yearly synergies.
  • The sales of De Beers, Steelmaking Coal and Nickel are not complete. The diamond market is weak, the coal sale needs regulatory approvals, and the nickel sale is in a European Commission review.
  • The mines are in Chile, Peru, South Africa and Brazil, where taxes, permits and water rules can change. A court in Chile set aside parts of the environmental permit of Collahuasi on May 15, 2026.
  • The ADR trades over the counter, not on a U.S. exchange, and Anglo American files no reports with the SEC. ADR holders receive dividends in U.S. dollars through the depositary, less its fees.

Balance sheet

Cash
$8.9B
Debt
$17.3B
Net debt
$8.2B
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0×
as the company states it
Credit line
$6.6B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$8.9B
Debt$17.3B

debt covered by cashnet debt $8.2B

Leverage: net debt / EBITDA

low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×

When the debt is due

12 months$1.2B
Later$16.0B

At June 30, 2026, net debt, including related derivatives, was $8,234 million, against $8,571 million at December 31, 2025, and it was 1.0 times underlying EBITDA. Borrowings were $17,261 million: short-term borrowings of $1,242 million and medium and long-term borrowings of $16,019 million.

Dividends

Dividend yield
0.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $25.68)
Paid per share
$0.195 in the last 12 months (2 payments)
Current annual rate
$0.195 (the last two payments)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 21, 2026, $0.115 per share

Dividends per share by year

Anglo American dividends per share by year
2016
$0.00
2017
$0.2341
2018
$0.5023
2019
$0.5511
2020
$0.3658
2021
$1.6621
2022
$1.4241
2023
$0.6291
2024
$0.4048
2025
$0.1423

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 17.2% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 11, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Anglo American

What does Anglo American do?

Anglo American plc is a mining company. Its main products are copper from Chile and Peru, premium iron ore from South Africa (Kumba Iron Ore) and Brazil (Minas-Rio), and manganese ore.

When does Anglo American report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Anglo American may report on February 19, 2027. It last reported results on July 30, 2026.

Is Anglo American stock below its intrinsic value?

Anglo American stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Anglo American?

The latest update is from October 22, 2026. Anglo American appointed Anne Wade as Senior Independent Director of its board.

What are the main risks for Anglo American?

Earnings follow copper and iron ore prices. The merger with Teck still needs approval from China's anti-trust regulator. The sales of De Beers, Steelmaking Coal and Nickel are not complete.

How much debt and cash does Anglo American have?

At June 30, 2026, Anglo American had $17.3B of debt and $8.9B of cash.

Does Anglo American pay a dividend?

Yes. Anglo American paid $0.195 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.8% at the current price of $25.68. The latest ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.

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