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NOKOptical and IP networking equipment

Nokia

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$8.44
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 28 ·
History
Market cap
$48B
Shares of Dec 31, 2025
52-week range
$5.86 – $17.45
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.24
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
77M
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Nokia can turn its AI-driven growth in optical and IP networks into steady profit and cash, and that growth with lower restructuring cash outflows can lift its value.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report on January 28, 2027 and the 2027 orders for Optical and IP Networks show whether AI demand lifts profit and cash flow.

Company guidance: 2026 comparable operating profit of EUR 2.1 billion to EUR 2.6 billion, above the mid-point; reports January 28, 2027 (, Q3 2026 interim report (6-K))

Price history

About

Nokia Corporation (Nokia) is a Finnish maker of network equipment, based in Espoo. It has three segments. Network Infrastructure sells IP and optical network products, including for AI and cloud customers. Mobile Infrastructure sells network products to mobile operators.

Portfolio Businesses holds smaller businesses that Nokia is selling. Nokia bought Infinera, an optical maker, in February 2025 and expects to finish the integration by the end of 2026. Net sales were EUR 5,154 million in Q3 2026 and EUR 14,402 million in the first nine months. Comparable operating profit was EUR 1,340 million for the nine months.

Net sales to AI and cloud customers grew 123% in Q3 2026. Nokia reports in euros. Its shares trade on Nasdaq Helsinki, and its American depositary shares (ADS) trade on the New York Stock Exchange as NOK. Each ADS represents one ordinary share, and Citibank is the depositary (Form 20-F for 2025).

Nokia files an annual report on Form 20-F and quarterly reports on Form 6-K, not Form 10-Q. At September 30, 2026, Nokia had 5,742,239,696 shares, of which it held 83,304,077. Justin Hotard is President and Chief Executive Officer.

Thesis

The market prices Nokia as an equipment maker with two different businesses. Network Infrastructure grows fast on AI and cloud demand, with IP Networks up 43% and Optical Networks up 18% in Q3 2026. Mobile Infrastructure grows slowly in a market with strong competition.

Investors doubt that the fast growth turns into steady profit and cash, because free cash flow was negative EUR 205 million in the first nine months of 2026, Nokia invests EUR 400 million more in working capital to secure supply, and restructuring charges rose to EUR 1,100 million. For the value to show, three things must be true. Optical and IP Networks must grow by 25% to 30% in 2027, as Nokia expects.

Comparable operating margin must keep rising as the Infinera integration ends, with EUR 200 million of net synergies, and as restructuring programs cut cost. And free cash flow conversion must rise from the 35% to 55% of comparable operating profit that Nokia now expects for 2026. The Q4 and full-year 2026 report on January 28, 2027 and the orders of the next quarters are the next tests.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 22, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: AI and cloud growth and marginNetwork Infrastructure growth of 10% or more at constant currency with a higher comparable operating margin than last year passes; lower growth or a lower margin fails.Outcome: Network Infrastructure grew 15% at constant currency, and the comparable operating margin rose by 220 basis points to 11.7%.
  2. Jan 28, 2027Pending
    Q4 and full-year 2026 resultsComparable operating profit of EUR 2.1 billion to EUR 2.6 billion for 2026, above the mid-point, and free cash flow conversion of 35% or more pass; a result below the range or lower conversion fails.
  3. 2027 · est.Pending
    2027 growth of Optical and IP NetworksCombined Optical and IP Networks growth of 25% or more in 2027 with the comparable operating margin above 2026 passes; slower growth fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 22, 2026Nokia reported Q3 2026 results. Net sales were EUR 5,154 million, up 10% (9% at constant currency). Comparable operating profit rose 35% to EUR 605 million, a margin of 11.7%, and comparable diluted EPS from continuing operations was EUR 0.09. Reported operating profit was EUR 196 million because of EUR 357 million of restructuring charges. Net sales to AI and cloud customers grew 123%, and orders grew 118%. Free cash flow was negative EUR 99 million.
  • October 22, 2026Nokia kept its 2026 outlook for comparable operating profit of EUR 2.1 billion to EUR 2.6 billion and said it expects a result above the mid-point. It raised its assumption for comparable financial income to EUR 300 million to EUR 400 million, lowered its free cash flow conversion assumption to 35% to 55%, and raised restructuring charges to EUR 1,100 million. It expects Optical and IP Networks to grow 25% to 30% in 2027.
  • October 22, 2026Nokia's Board decided a dividend of EUR 0.03 per share, with a record date of October 27 and payment on November 5, 2026. This leaves EUR 0.03 per share of the authorization for 2025 distributions.
Show 3 older events
  • October 13, 2026Nokia agreed to sell its Enterprise Campus Edge business to AURELIUS. The sale is expected to close in the first half of 2027, and Nokia shows the business as a discontinued operation.
  • October 1, 2026Nokia completed the sale of its Fixed Wireless Access CPE business to Inseego. Nokia invested USD 10 million in cash and received about 1.9 million Inseego shares, about 11% of the company, and warrants for about 0.8 million more shares.
  • June 5, 2026Nokia issued EUR 500 million of 3.625% senior notes due June 2032. It used the money to repay its EUR 500 million of 3.125% notes due May 2028.

Latest news and filings

Next earnings
January 28, 2027, as the company confirmed.
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · nok-20251231
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · nok-20241231

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 924613)

Risks

  • Growth now depends on AI and cloud customers, which grew 123% in Q3 2026. These are large buyers whose orders can change fast, and Nokia carries more inventory and receivables to serve them. A pause in their spending would cut sales and leave Nokia with extra working capital.
  • Cash conversion is low. Free cash flow was negative EUR 205 million in the first nine months of 2026, and Nokia expects only 35% to 55% of comparable operating profit to turn into cash this year. Restructuring cash outflows are EUR 800 million to EUR 900 million.
  • Mobile Infrastructure faces strong competition, and Nokia said part of its Q3 2026 sales came from Q4. A weaker fourth quarter in this segment would lower profit.
  • Nokia reports in euros, and the ADS trades in dollars. Its 2026 outlook assumes EUR 1 equals USD 1.14, and a stronger dollar lowers reported profit from dollar sales. Parts and chips may also cost more or run short.
  • Nokia is selling its Portfolio Businesses, and two sales are done or agreed. Delays, losses on sales or stakes in other companies, such as Inseego, can add cost or change results.

Balance sheet

Nokia had net cash and interest-bearing financial investments of EUR 2,584 million at September 30, 2026, down EUR 794 million in nine months. Total cash and interest-bearing investments were EUR 5,023 million.

Dividends

The dividend data after July 29, 2025 is missing.

Latest ex-dividend date
July 29, 2025, $0.047 per share

Dividends per share by year

Nokia dividends per share by year
2016
$0.299
2017
$0.182
2018
$0.236
2019
$0.112
2020
$0.00
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.061
2023
$0.121
2024
$0.14
2025
$0.124

From 2015 to 2025, the dividend fell by about 2.5% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Nokia

What does Nokia do?

Nokia Corporation (Nokia) is a Finnish maker of network equipment, based in Espoo. It has three segments. Its market cap is $48B at the current price of $8.44.

When does Nokia report earnings next?

The company confirmed that it will report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 22, 2026.

Is Nokia stock below its intrinsic value?

Nokia stock is close to intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Nokia?

The latest update is from October 22, 2026. Nokia reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Nokia?

Growth now depends on AI and cloud customers, which grew 123% in Q3 2026. Cash conversion is low. Mobile Infrastructure faces strong competition, and Nokia said part of its Q3 2026 sales came from Q4.

How much debt and cash does Nokia have?

Nokia had net cash and interest-bearing financial investments of EUR 2,584 million at September 30, 2026, down EUR 794 million in nine months. This is as of September 30, 2026.

Does Nokia pay a dividend?

The dividend data for Nokia after July 29, 2025 is missing.

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