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Palantir Technologies

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$169.20
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Pricey
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 1 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$408B
Shares of Sep 30, 2026
P/E (trailing)
119.2
Price of Nov 10, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$1.42
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$106.37 – $212.94
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.64
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
26M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
The market doubts that Palantir can keep its very fast growth for many years, and a recovery in new bookings with strong 2027 guidance in early 2027 can close the gap.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report in early February 2027 and its first 2027 guidance show whether new bookings recover after the slow Q3 2026.

Company guidance: Revenue of $8.530 billion to $8.534 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $4.8 billion to $5.0 billion for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K Ex. 99.1))

Price history

About

Palantir Technologies builds software platforms that help governments and companies combine their data and use AI to make decisions. Gotham serves defense and intelligence agencies. Foundry and its Ontology connect the data and operations of a business. AIP adds large language models to these platforms, and Apollo deploys and updates the software in many environments.

In the first nine months of 2026, 51% of revenue came from government customers and 49% from commercial customers, and 81% came from the United States. Palantir had 1,090 customers in the twelve months to September 30, 2026. Revenue was $4.48 billion in 2025, and the company guides $8.530 billion to $8.534 billion for 2026.

Thesis

The market doubts that Palantir can keep its very fast growth long enough to support its value. Revenue grew 96% to $2.313 billion in Q3 2026, and U.S. commercial revenue grew 148%. But new contracts slowed in the same quarter. Total contract value grew only 6% from a year earlier, after 49% growth in Q2 2026.

U.S. commercial remaining deal value grew only 4% from Q2. Remaining performance obligations were only $4.9 billion, and most contracts allow customers to end them for convenience. The share price fell in the days after the report. The value depends on revenue that grows to many times its current size over the next ten years.

For the gap to close, three things must be true. Q4 2026 revenue must reach the guidance of $2.649 billion to $2.653 billion. New bookings and U.S. commercial remaining deal value must grow strongly again. The 2027 guidance must show high revenue growth while the adjusted operating margin stays near 60%.

The Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, gives the next test and the first 2027 guidance. If bookings recover, the gap can close over the next two to four quarters. If bookings stay slow, growth can fall faster than the price assumes.

Checkpoints

  1. Feb 1, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceQ4 revenue at or above $2.649 billion, more total contract value than in Q3 2026 and 2027 guidance for high revenue growth pass; slow bookings again or weak 2027 guidance fail.
  2. May 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 2027 bookings and remaining deal valueU.S. commercial remaining deal value that grows faster than the 4% of Q3 2026 passes; flat or falling remaining deal value fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 2, 2026Palantir reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue grew 96% to $2.313 billion, U.S. commercial revenue grew 148% to $984 million and U.S. government revenue grew 96% to $953 million. GAAP operating margin was 47%, and adjusted free cash flow was $1.216 billion. Total contract value grew 6% to $2.918 billion. It raised its 2026 guidance to revenue of $8.530 billion to $8.534 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $4.8 billion to $5.0 billion.
  • September 10, 2026Oracle launched its AI Data Platform and said that it automatically creates enterprise ontologies. Oracle named Palantir as the company that pioneered ontologies built for each customer, so this product competes with Palantir's Foundry.
  • August 3, 2026Palantir reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue grew 93% to $1.935 billion, and U.S. commercial revenue grew 149% to $764 million. Total contract value grew 49% to $3.373 billion, with a record $2.132 billion in U.S. commercial. It raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $8.150 billion to $8.158 billion.
Show 2 older events
  • May 4, 2026Palantir reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue grew 85% to $1.633 billion, and U.S. revenue grew 104%. It raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $7.650 billion to $7.662 billion.
  • February 2, 2026Palantir reported 2025 results. Revenue grew 56% to $4.475 billion, and GAAP net income was $1.625 billion. Q4 2025 total contract value was a record $4.262 billion. It gave 2026 guidance of revenue of $7.182 billion to $7.198 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $3.925 billion to $4.125 billion.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
November 2, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 1, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · pltr-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · pltr-20261102
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · pltr-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · pltr-20260803
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · pltr-20260603
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · pltr-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · pltr-20260504
  • 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · pltr-20251231
  • 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · pltr-20260202
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · pltr-20250605

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1321655)

Risks

  • The value depends on many years of very fast growth. Total contract value grew only 6% in Q3 2026 and U.S. commercial remaining deal value grew only 4% from Q2. If bookings stay slow, revenue growth can fall fast.
  • Government customers gave 51% of revenue in the first nine months of 2026. Budgets, policy changes and the timing of awards are hard to predict, and most contracts can be ended for convenience.
  • A small number of customers give a large part of revenue. The top twenty customers paid an average of $146 million each in the twelve months to September 30, 2026.
  • Large software and cloud companies build similar tools. Oracle said in September 2026 that its AI Data Platform creates enterprise ontologies automatically.
  • Stock-based compensation was $786 million in the first nine months of 2026. The diluted share count of 2,574 million in Q3 2026 was above the 2,406 million basic shares.

Balance sheet

Cash
$10.6B
Debt
$0.0M
Net cash
$10.6B
Credit line
$500M
undrawn, to March 2027

Cash against debt

Cash$10.6B
Debt$0.0M

debt covered by cash

When the debt is due

12 months$0.0M
Later$0.0M

Palantir has no debt. At September 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $3.62 billion and marketable securities were $6.94 billion, for $10.56 billion.

Dividends

Palantir Technologies does not pay a dividend.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Palantir Technologies

What does Palantir Technologies do?

Palantir Technologies builds software platforms that help governments and companies combine their data and use AI to make decisions. Gotham serves defense and intelligence agencies. Its market cap is $408B at the current price of $169.20.

When does Palantir Technologies report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Palantir Technologies may report on February 1, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.

Is Palantir Technologies stock below its intrinsic value?

Palantir Technologies stock is pricey. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Palantir Technologies?

The latest update is from November 2, 2026. Palantir reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Palantir Technologies?

The value depends on many years of very fast growth. Government customers gave 51% of revenue in the first nine months of 2026. A small number of customers give a large part of revenue.

How much debt and cash does Palantir Technologies have?

At September 30, 2026, Palantir Technologies had $0.0M of debt and $10.6B of cash.

Does Palantir Technologies pay a dividend?

No. Palantir Technologies does not pay a dividend.

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