By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $118.37
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Pricey
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 19 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $38B
- Shares of Oct 15, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 10.8
- Price of Nov 12, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $10.92
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $84.64 – $138.77
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 1.38
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 4.5M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices United on a fuel cost that rose faster than fares, and a fall in jet fuel or fares that keep rising faster than costs can lift its value.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report in January 2027 and its fuel and unit revenue outlook show whether fares keep pace with fuel.
Company guidance: Q4 2026 adjusted diluted EPS $0.50 to $1.50 at about $4.80 a gallon of fuel; 2026 adjusted capital spending about $7.5 billion (, Investor Update (8-K, Exhibit 99.2))
Price history
About
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (United) is one of the largest airlines in the world. It is based in Chicago and runs hubs across the United States. At September 30, 2026, it had 1,143 mainline aircraft and 432 regional aircraft. In Q3 2026, it carried a record 49.5 million customers and served 241 airports in the United States and Canada.
It had 117,900 employees at September 30, 2026. Revenue comes from tickets in the Premium, Economy and Basic Economy cabins, from its MileagePlus loyalty program, and from cargo. In Q3 2026, total operating revenue was $17.9 billion, the highest of any quarter in its history. United offers Starlink Wi-Fi on more than 640 aircraft.
Scott Kirby is Chief Executive Officer. The shares trade on Nasdaq in US dollars.
Thesis
The market prices United on fuel. Fuel expense rose 62% in Q3 2026 to $4,843 million, because the average price rose to $3.90 a gallon from $2.43. Adjusted diluted EPS for nine months was $5.72, against $7.53 a year earlier, even though revenue grew 14.8%. For Q4 2026, United assumes fuel of about $4.80 a gallon and guides adjusted diluted EPS of $0.50 to $1.50.
The company says every $0.01 change in the fuel price changes EPS by about 2.5 cents for the quarter. Debt of $26.4 billion, including finance leases, adds risk when profit falls. For the price to rise, three things must be true. Fares and demand must keep unit revenue growth above unit cost growth, as in Q3 2026, when unit revenue rose 15.9% and unit cost without fuel rose 7.8%.
The fuel price must stop rising or fall. Net leverage, now 2.4 times, must keep falling toward the investment-grade goal of the company. The next test is the Q4 2026 report in January 2027, which shows whether revenue growth is above 20% and EPS is within guidance, and the first guidance for 2027.
Checkpoints
- Dec 31, 2026PendingStarlink on 61% of United flightsStarlink is on about 61% of United flights by the end of 2026, as the company says, and this passes; a clear delay fails.
- Jan 19, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results: fuel and revenue growthAdjusted diluted EPS is within the guided $0.50 to $1.50 and revenue grows more than 20%, and this passes; EPS below $0.50 fails.
Recent events
- October 20, 2026United reported Q3 2026 results. Total operating revenue was $17.9 billion, up 17.4%, and unit revenue (TRASM) rose 15.9%. Adjusted diluted EPS was $2.54, against $2.78 a year earlier, and diluted EPS was $3.14. The average fuel price was $3.90 a gallon. The company also announced service to 10 new destinations, which start in summer 2027 and need government approval.
- October 20, 2026United guided Q4 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.50 to $1.50, with an average fuel price of about $4.80 a gallon, and adjusted capital spending of about $7.5 billion for 2026. It expects Q4 revenue to grow more than 20% from the year before, and unit cost without fuel to grow less than in Q3.
- October 16, 2026United expanded its revolving credit facility. Available liquidity under it rose from $3 billion to $5 billion.
Show 1 older eventHide older events
- September 17, 2026United began to show live professional and college football on seatback screens of aircraft that have Starlink. Starlink is free for MileagePlus members in every class of service.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 20, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 19, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · ual-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · ual-20260630
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · ual-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · ual-20251231
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- The fuel price can rise again. Fuel expense was $12,993 million for nine months of 2026, up from $8,473 million. The company says that every $0.01 change in the price moves Q4 EPS by about 2.5 cents.
- Debt and leases are large. Total debt, finance lease obligations and other financial liabilities were $26.4 billion at September 30, 2026, and net leverage was 2.4 times. Interest and aircraft payments continue when profit falls.
- Demand can weaken quickly. Airline profit follows the economy, and a fall in business or leisure travel hurts a company that carries many fixed costs, such as salaries of $14,209 million for nine months.
- Aircraft deliveries can slip. United has firm orders for 142 Boeing 787, 167 Boeing 737 MAX 10, 108 Airbus A321neo, 48 Airbus A321XLR and 45 Airbus A350 aircraft, and it adjusts delivery plans when the makers change dates.
- Labor costs are rising. Salaries and related costs grew 8.9% in Q3 2026, and profit sharing for employees takes part of any rise in profit.
- United holds an 8.6% equity interest in Azul, a Brazilian airline, at September 30, 2026. The value of this stake can change.
Balance sheet
At September 30, 2026, United had total debt, finance lease obligations and other financial liabilities of $26.4 billion. Long-term debt, finance leases and other financial liabilities were $24,550 million, against $20,562 million at December 31, 2025. Trailing 12-month net leverage was 2.4 times. Cash and cash equivalents were $6,648 million, and available liquidity was $17.7 billion. Available liquidity includes cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and undrawn credit facilities. On October 16, 2026, United expanded its revolving credit facility, and the liquidity under it rose from $3 billion to $5 billion. The company expects adjusted capital spending of about $7.5 billion for 2026. Its goal is an investment-grade credit rating.
Dividends
United Airlines does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026.
Questions about United Airlines
What does United Airlines do?
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (United) is one of the largest airlines in the world. It is based in Chicago and runs hubs across the United States. Its market cap is $38B at the current price of $118.37.
When does United Airlines report earnings next?
This is an estimate: United Airlines may report on January 19, 2027. It last reported results on October 20, 2026.
Is United Airlines stock below its intrinsic value?
United Airlines stock is pricey. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at United Airlines?
The latest update is from October 20, 2026. United reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for United Airlines?
The fuel price can rise again. Debt and leases are large. Demand can weaken quickly.
How much debt and cash does United Airlines have?
At September 30, 2026, United had total debt, finance lease obligations and other financial liabilities of $26.4 billion. This is as of September 30, 2026.
Does United Airlines pay a dividend?
No. United Airlines does not pay a dividend.
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