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ASXSemiconductor packaging and testing

ASE Technology

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$34.36
Intrinsic value
Intrinsic value: AI estimate
Analysts view
Analysts Very bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value (AI estimate)
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 29 · · estimated
History
52-week range
$13.35 – $47.93
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.80
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
7.9M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay more than the AI estimate for the AI packaging growth of ASE, and only strong AI chip demand with rising margins in 2027 can earn it.
Gap
Can close. The monthly revenue reports and the Q4 2026 report in early February 2027 show whether AI packaging demand and margins keep rising.

Company guidance: Q4 2026 revenue up 6% to 8% from Q3 in NT dollars, a gross margin of 23% to 24% and an operating margin of 14.5% to 15.5% (, Q3 2026 earnings presentation (6-K))

Price history

About

ASE Technology (ASE) is the largest provider of outsourced assembly and test services for semiconductors. It packages and tests chips for chip designers and chip makers, including advanced packages for AI and high-performance computing chips, and it makes packaging materials. Its subsidiary USI gives electronic manufacturing services (EMS), such as the assembly of modules and systems. In Q3 2026, packaging gave about 50%, testing 11% and EMS 38% of net revenues of NT$244,161 million.

ASE has plants in Taiwan, China, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Vietnam, Mexico, Tunisia, the United States and Europe, and it had 119,346 employees at September 30, 2026. Its shares trade in Taipei, and its ADSs trade on the New York Stock Exchange. Each ADS represents two common shares. The head office is in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Jason C.S. Chang is Chairman.

Thesis

ASE trades above the AI estimate because investors pay for its fast growth in advanced packaging and testing for AI chips. In Q3 2026, net revenues rose 44.8% to NT$244,161 million, ATM revenues rose 51.0%, and the ATM operating margin rose to 20.0%. Net income attributable to shareholders rose to NT$26,996 million from NT$10,870 million. ASE expects Q4 2026 revenue to grow by 6% to 8% from Q3, with a higher operating margin.

For the shares to keep this price, three things must be true. Demand for AI chips must stay strong in 2027, so that the new capacity fills. ATM margins must keep rising while ASE spends heavily on equipment, US$2,104 million in Q3 2026 alone. Trade rules between the United States, China and Taiwan must not cut its sales.

The monthly revenue reports and the Q4 2026 report, expected in early February 2027, are the next tests. A slowdown in AI chip orders or lower margins can push the shares down to the AI estimate.

Valuation

AI estimate, checked by Kevin. How it is made

Show the method

The intrinsic value for ASE Technology is an AI estimate from November 10, 2026. It is not an analyst's value. An AI research agent calculated it from ASE's filings. The company reports in New Taiwan dollars, and the estimate is in U.S. dollars per ADS.

The method is a multiple of basic earnings per share for 2027. The Q3 2026 results (6-K, October 29, 2026) give basic EPS of NT$6.13 for Q3 2026, and the quarterly table of the earnings presentation gives NT$3.23 for Q1 2026 and NT$4.80 for Q2 2026, so NT$14.16 for the first nine months, and NT$9.37 for 2025. The presentation also expects Q4 2026 revenue growth of 6% to 8% from Q3 and an operating margin of 14.5% to 15.5%. On this basis, the estimate assumes basic EPS of about NT$21 for 2026.

The annual report on Form 20-F for 2025 states that each ADS represents two common shares, and the Q3 2026 results give EPS of NT$6.13 per share as US$0.384 per ADS, which agrees with this ratio. The ADS price of $34.36 and the Taipei price of NT$561 on November 9, 2026 are also close to this ratio. EPS already includes the interest on debt, so the estimate makes no debt adjustment. It uses an exchange rate of NT$32.76 per U.S. dollar, the market rate on November 9, 2026, as an assumption.

The EPS and the multiples in each case are assumptions. The low case assumes that AI chip demand slows and margins fall, with EPS of NT$21.0 for 2027, at 14 times. It gives NT$294 per share and $17.95 per ADS. The base case assumes EPS of NT$27.0, about 29% growth, at 18 times.

It gives NT$486 per share and $29.67 per ADS. The high case assumes that advanced packaging and testing keep their fast growth, with EPS of NT$32.0, at 21 times. It gives NT$672 per share and $41.03 per ADS. The estimate assumes weights of 25%, 50% and 25%.

The weighted intrinsic value is NT$484.50 per share and $29.58 per ADS. The value moves with the New Taiwan dollar. Cost advantage from scale and switching costs are the main sources of the advantage. ASE is the largest company in outsourced assembly and test, and its customers must qualify each package and test process, which takes time.

But other assembly and test companies and the foundries also offer advanced packaging, and prices follow the chip cycle. The estimate expects the advantage to last 10 years or more, but not 20 years.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 29, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: ATM growth and marginsATM revenue growth above 40% and a higher ATM margin pass; a lower ATM margin fails.Outcome: ATM revenues rose 51.0%, and the ATM operating margin rose to 20.0% from 15.7% in Q2 2026.
  2. Jan 29, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlookQ4 revenue growth of 6% to 8% with an operating margin of 14.5% or more passes; a lower margin fails.
  3. Q2 2027 · est.Pending
    AI packaging demand in 2027Monthly ATM revenue growth above 30% from a year earlier in the first half of 2027 passes; a fall fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 10, 2026ASE reported October 2026 net revenues of NT$88,615 million, up 47.1% from October 2025. ATM net revenues were NT$56,840 million, up 57.7%.
  • October 29, 2026ASE reported Q3 2026 results. Net revenues rose 44.8% to NT$244,161 million. Net income attributable to shareholders rose to NT$26,996 million from NT$10,870 million, and basic EPS was NT$6.13, or US$0.384 per ADS. The gross margin was 22.1% and the operating margin 13.6%. ATM revenues rose 51.0%, with an operating margin of 20.0%. For Q4 2026, ASE expects revenue growth of 6% to 8% from Q3, a gross margin of 23% to 24% and an operating margin of 14.5% to 15.5%.
  • August 3, 2026ASE priced US$1 billion of zero coupon convertible bonds due 2031. It uses the money to repay loans of subsidiaries and to buy materials in foreign currencies.
Show 2 older events
  • July 30, 2026ASE reported Q2 2026 results. Net revenues were NT$191,064 million, up 26.7%, and net income attributable to shareholders was NT$21,065 million. Basic EPS was NT$4.80.
  • March 27, 2026The board resolved to pay a cash dividend of NT$6.6 per share. On February 5, 2026, ASE reported 2025 net revenues of NT$645,388 million, net income attributable to shareholders of NT$40,658 million and basic EPS of NT$9.37.

Latest news and filings

Next earnings
Expected about January 29, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · Read it on sec.gov
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · Read it on sec.gov

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1122411)

Risks

  • The semiconductor industry is cyclical. If demand for AI or other chips falls, ASE can have too much capacity after large equipment purchases.
  • Sales depend on a few customers. In Q3 2026, the five largest customers gave about 46% of net revenues on an ATM basis, and one customer gave more than 10% of total net revenues.
  • Most plants are in Taiwan and China. Tension between Taiwan and China, export controls or U.S. tariffs can stop production or lower sales.
  • Debt rose with capital spending. The net debt to equity ratio was 0.66 at September 30, 2026, against 0.47 at June 30, 2026.
  • ASE reports in New Taiwan dollars, but it sells mostly in U.S. dollars. Changes in the exchange rate move margins and the value of each ADS in U.S. dollars.

Balance sheet

Cash
NT$88.4B
Debt
NT$394.4B
Net debt
NT$306.0B
Interest cover
13×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
NT$457.3B
undrawn

Cash against debt

CashNT$88.4B
DebtNT$394.4B

debt covered by cashnet debt NT$306.0B

When the debt is due

12 monthsNT$75.6B
LaterNT$318.8B

ASE funds itself with bank loans, bonds, convertible bonds and cash flow. At September 30, 2026, short-term borrowings were NT$70,428 million, the current part of long-term debt NT$5,141 million, bonds payable NT$42,201 million and long-term borrowings NT$276,633 million, so debt was NT$394,403 million.

Dividends

Dividend yield
1.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $34.36)
Paid per share
$0.417 in the last 12 months (1 payment)
Current annual rate
$0.417 ($0.417 × 1 a year)
Latest ex-dividend date
July 6, 2026, $0.417 per share

Dividends per share by year

ASE Technology dividends per share by year
2016
$0.251
2017
$0.231
2018
$0.532
2019
$0.16
2020
$0.136
2021
$0.302
2022
$0.479
2023
$0.571
2024
$0.322
2025
$0.356

Over the last 5 years, the dividend grew by about 6.7% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 5.2% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about ASE Technology

What does ASE Technology do?

ASE Technology (ASE) is the largest provider of outsourced assembly and test services for semiconductors. It packages and tests chips for chip designers and chip makers, including advanced packages for AI and high-performance computing chips, and it makes packaging materials.

When does ASE Technology report earnings next?

This is an estimate: ASE Technology may report on January 29, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.

Is ASE Technology stock below its intrinsic value?

ASE Technology stock is far above intrinsic value. The source of the intrinsic value is: AI estimate. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at ASE Technology?

The latest update is from November 10, 2026. ASE reported October 2026 net revenues of NT$88,615 million, up 47.1% from October 2025.

What are the main risks for ASE Technology?

The semiconductor industry is cyclical. Sales depend on a few customers. Most plants are in Taiwan and China.

How much debt and cash does ASE Technology have?

At September 30, 2026, ASE Technology had NT$394.4B of debt and NT$88.4B of cash.

Does ASE Technology pay a dividend?

Yes. ASE Technology paid $0.417 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 1.2% at the current price of $34.36. The latest ex-dividend date was July 6, 2026.

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