FDXFLess-than-truckload freight
FedEx Freight
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $131.00
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 28 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $20B
- Shares of Oct 27, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 40.7
- Price of Nov 13, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $3.22
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 1.5M
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Investors pay a premium for the large network of FedEx Freight, and only higher margins with more shipments through 2027, despite weak freight volumes and new debt after the spin-off, can earn this price.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 capital return plan, expected in early 2027, and the first 2027 quarters show whether margins rise in an independent company.
Company guidance: June to December 2026 revenue $5.58 to $5.65 billion; adjusted operating income $695 to $715 million (, Transition period results release (8-K))
Price history
About
FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. (FedEx Freight) is based in Memphis, Tennessee. It is the largest less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier in North America. It moves freight for businesses with nearly 30,000 vehicles and more than 365 locations in the United States, Canada, Mexico and Puerto Rico. FedEx Corporation spun it off on June 1, 2026 and kept 19.9% of its shares.
It changed its fiscal year end from May 31 to December 31, so it reports a transition period from June 1 to December 31, 2026. Revenue was $2,442 million in the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The common stock trades on the NYSE in US dollars. FedEx Freight files 10-K and 10-Q reports.
Thesis
The price of FedEx Freight depends on whether it can raise its margins as an independent company while freight volumes are weak and its new debt costs interest. Average daily shipments fell 1.4% in the four months to September 30, 2026, and tonnage per day was flat. FedEx Freight borrowed $4.3 billion to pay about $4.1 billion in cash to FedEx at the spin-off, and debt was $4,421 million at September 30, 2026. It guides adjusted operating income of $695 million to $715 million for June to December 2026.
For the price to rise, four things must be true. Freight demand must recover. Prices excluding fuel must keep rising faster than costs. The exit from the transition services agreement with FedEx must stay on time and on budget.
The costs of a standalone company must stay within plan. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 dividend and share buyback plan, expected in early 2027, are the next tests. If freight volumes stay weak, the margin gains can take longer.
Checkpoints
- Jan 28, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 plansQ4 adjusted operating income is in the guided range of $185 million to $205 million and the company announces its 2027 dividend and share buyback plan, and this passes; a result below $185 million fails.
- Q2 2027 · est.PendingQ1 2027 resultsAverage daily shipments grow from a year before and the adjusted operating margin rises, and this passes; falling shipments with a lower margin fail.
Recent events
- October 29, 2026FedEx Freight reported results for the four months ended September 30, 2026. Revenue was $3.3 billion, up 9.2%, operating income was $383 million and adjusted operating income was $510 million. It raised its outlook for revenue and adjusted operating income for the transition period. It repaid $100 million of its term loan early.
- October 7, 2026FedEx Freight amended its credit facilities. It can now borrow under the revolving credit facility with same-day notice, and the leverage ratio adds back some non-cash share-based compensation.
- October 1, 2026The Board set the first annual meeting of stockholders for May 5, 2027.
Show 2 older eventsHide older events
- September 2, 2026FedEx Freight terminated Michael B. Lyons, Chief Specialized Services and Commercial Officer, after an internal investigation found that he violated its Code of Conduct. The company said that the conduct did not affect its financial reporting or customer relationships.
- June 1, 2026FedEx completed the spin-off of FedEx Freight. It distributed about 80.1% of the shares to its stockholders and kept 19.9%. The shares started to trade on the NYSE as FDXF.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 29, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 28, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · fdxf-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 10-KAnnual report for the period ended May 31, 2026Filed · fdxf-20260531
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
Risks
- Freight volumes are weak. Average daily shipments fell 1.4% in the four months to September 30, 2026, and results depend on freight demand in North America.
- Debt is new and large. Debt was $4,421 million at September 30, 2026, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.82% on long-term debt, and total equity was a deficit of $252 million.
- FedEx Freight still gets some IT, financial and administrative services from FedEx under a transition services agreement. A late or costly exit can raise costs.
- The spin-off must keep its tax-free treatment. If the distribution does not qualify, the tax cost can be large.
- FedEx keeps 19.9% of the shares and is a related party. A sale of this stake can add supply of shares to the market.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $388M
- Debt
- $4.4B
- Net debt
- $4.0B
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $4.0B
When the debt is due
At September 30, 2026, FedEx Freight had cash of $388 million. Total long-term debt was $4,421 million, of which $45 million was current: a term loan of $499 million, senior notes of $3,667 million due from 2029 to 2036 and finance lease liabilities of $255 million. No amounts were outstanding under the revolving credit facility of $1.2 billion, and total liquidity was $1.6 billion. Net pension liabilities were $22 million. Total equity was a deficit of $252 million.
Dividends
FedEx Freight does not pay a dividend.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 12, 2026.
Questions about FedEx Freight
What does FedEx Freight do?
FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. (FedEx Freight) is based in Memphis, Tennessee. It is the largest less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier in North America. Its market cap is $20B at the current price of $131.00.
When does FedEx Freight report earnings next?
This is an estimate: FedEx Freight may report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 29, 2026.
Is FedEx Freight stock below its intrinsic value?
FedEx Freight stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at FedEx Freight?
The latest update is from October 29, 2026. FedEx Freight reported results for the four months ended September 30, 2026.
What are the main risks for FedEx Freight?
Freight volumes are weak. Debt is new and large. FedEx Freight still gets some IT, financial and administrative services from FedEx under a transition services agreement.
How much debt and cash does FedEx Freight have?
At September 30, 2026, FedEx Freight had $4.4B of debt and $388M of cash.
Does FedEx Freight pay a dividend?
No. FedEx Freight does not pay a dividend.
Similar companies
- AZOAutoZoneShares: High debt, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
- CPBThe Campbell's CompanyShares: High debt, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Deep below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- SUGRSucro LimitedShares: High debt, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Close to intrinsic value (AI estimate)
- Gap
- Will probably not close
- BABoeingShares: High debt, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Slow
- ESABESABShares: High debt, Tariffs and trade
- Intrinsic value
- Well below intrinsic value
- Gap
- Can close
Loading your notes…
Read it all? Star FDXF or pass, then go on to the next one.