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HLTHotels

Hilton Worldwide

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$373.23
Analysts view
Analysts Leaning bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 10 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$83B
Shares of Oct 22, 2026
P/E (trailing)
50.4
Price of Nov 10, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$7.41
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$263.95 – $381.34
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.08
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
1.8M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for the fee business, pipeline and buybacks of Hilton, and only years of steady unit growth with rising RevPAR can earn it.
Gap
Slow. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 outlook, expected in February 2027, shows whether unit growth and RevPAR keep fee growth high, but the premium needs years of growth.

Company guidance: Diluted EPS adjusted for special items of $9.07 to $9.13 and net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0% for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Hilton Worldwide is one of the largest hotel companies in the world. At September 30, 2026, it had 9,620 properties with 1,408,417 rooms in 144 countries and territories. Its brands include Waldorf Astoria, Conrad, LXR, Curio Collection, DoubleTree, Canopy, Spark and timeshare brands. Most of its profit comes from management and franchise fees: in Q3 2026, this segment gave $1,012 million of the $1,053 million of segment adjusted EBITDA.

The Hilton Honors loyalty program had 270 million members. The head office is in McLean, Virginia, and Christopher J. Nassetta is its president and chief executive officer. Its shares moved from the New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq on November 5, 2026, with the same ticker.

Thesis

Hilton trades at a premium because investors pay for a fee business that needs little capital, a large pipeline of new hotels and steady buybacks. Management and franchise fee revenues rose 9.5% in Q3 2026, and the pipeline had 543,100 rooms at September 30, 2026. Net unit growth was 6.0% in the year to that date, and Hilton expects to return about $3.5 billion to shareholders in 2026.

For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. Net unit growth must stay near the 6.0% to 7.0% that the company guides for 2026. RevPAR must keep rising: it rose 5.8% in Q3 2026 with help from the World Cup, but the company expects only 3.0% to 3.5% in Q4 2026 because of the midterm elections and the Middle East.

Fees and buybacks must lift adjusted EPS, which the company expects at $9.07 to $9.13 for 2026, against $8.11 in 2025. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 outlook, expected in February 2027, is the next test. A weak travel market or slower hotel openings can shrink the premium.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 27, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results and 2026 outlookRevPAR growth and a kept or higher 2026 outlook pass; a lower outlook fails.Outcome: RevPAR rose 5.8%, and Hilton raised its 2026 RevPAR outlook to 4.0% to 4.5% and its adjusted EBITDA outlook to $4,060 million to $4,080 million.
  2. Feb 10, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 outlookNet unit growth near 6% to 7% and 2027 guidance for higher adjusted EPS pass; lower unit growth or flat EPS guidance fail.
  3. Apr 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 2027 results: RevPAR and openingsPositive RevPAR and net unit growth of 6% or more pass; falling RevPAR or slower openings fail.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 27, 2026Hilton reported Q3 2026 results. Diluted EPS was $2.37, and diluted EPS adjusted for special items was $2.45, up from $2.11. Net income was $536 million and adjusted EBITDA was $1,058 million. System-wide comparable RevPAR rose 5.8%. Hilton added 23,000 net rooms, and net unit growth was 6.0% from a year earlier. It raised its 2026 RevPAR outlook to growth of 4.0% to 4.5% and its adjusted EBITDA outlook to $4,060 million to $4,080 million. It bought back 2.6 million shares in the quarter.
  • October 20, 2026Hilton said that it will move its stock listing from the New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq on November 5, 2026, with the same ticker, HLT.
  • July 28, 2026Hilton reported Q2 2026 results. Diluted EPS was $2.10, and diluted EPS adjusted for special items was $2.29. System-wide comparable RevPAR rose 3.9%, and the pipeline reached 541,300 rooms. Hilton issued $1.0 billion of 5.500% senior notes due 2031 in May 2026, and it launched the Undergraduate by Hilton brand in June 2026.
Show 2 older events
  • April 28, 2026Hilton reported Q1 2026 results. Diluted EPS was $1.66, and diluted EPS adjusted for special items was $2.01. System-wide comparable RevPAR rose 3.6%. In March 2026, Hilton launched the Select by Hilton brand, with YOTEL as its first brand, and it extended its revolving credit facility to an expected maturity in March 2031.
  • February 11, 2026Hilton reported 2025 results. Diluted EPS was $6.12, and diluted EPS adjusted for special items was $8.11. Net income was $1,461 million and adjusted EBITDA was $3,725 million. System-wide comparable RevPAR rose 0.4%, and net unit growth was 6.7%. Hilton expected net unit growth of 6.0% to 7.0% for 2026 and capital return of about $3.5 billion.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 10, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · hlt-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · hlt-20261027
  • 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · hlt-20261020
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · hlt-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · hlt-20260728
  • 8-KChange of directors or officers and Shareholder vote resultsFiled · hlt-20260514
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · hlt-20260331
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · hlt-20260428

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 1585689)

Risks

  • RevPAR depends on travel demand and the economy. The company expects slower RevPAR growth in Q4 2026 because of the midterm elections and the Middle East, and it lowered its expectations for the Middle East in its 2026 outlook.
  • Hilton had $13.5 billion of debt, including finance leases, and a total deficit of $6.56 billion at September 30, 2026. Higher interest rates or weaker fees can limit buybacks.
  • Growth depends on hotel owners who build and convert hotels. Higher construction costs or tighter loans for owners can slow openings and net unit growth.
  • Reservation channels outside Hilton's own system, such as online travel agencies, compete for guests and can raise the cost of each booking.
  • Hilton operates in many countries. Geopolitical conflicts, travel barriers, tariffs and currency changes can lower results outside the United States.

Balance sheet

Cash
$774M
Debt
$13.1B
Net debt
$12.3B
Interest cover
4.6×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$1.9B
undrawn, to March 2031

Cash against debt

Cash$774M
Debt$13.1B

debt covered by cashnet debt $12.3B

When the debt is due

12 months$600M
Later$12.5B

Hilton funds itself mainly with senior unsecured notes and secured term loans. At September 30, 2026, debt was $13.5 billion with a weighted average interest rate of 5.09%.

Dividends

Dividend yield
0.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $373.23)
Paid per share
$0.60 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$0.60 ($0.15 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
10% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 21, 2026, $0.15 per share

Dividends per share by year

Hilton Worldwide dividends per share by year
2016
$0.5746
2017
$0.60
2018
$0.60
2019
$0.60
2020
$0.15
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.45
2023
$0.60
2024
$0.60
2025
$0.60

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Hilton Worldwide

What does Hilton Worldwide do?

Hilton Worldwide is one of the largest hotel companies in the world. At September 30, 2026, it had 9,620 properties with 1,408,417 rooms in 144 countries and territories. Its market cap is $83B at the current price of $373.23.

When does Hilton Worldwide report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Hilton Worldwide may report on February 10, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is Hilton Worldwide stock below its intrinsic value?

Hilton Worldwide stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Hilton Worldwide?

The latest update is from October 27, 2026. Hilton reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Hilton Worldwide?

RevPAR depends on travel demand and the economy. Hilton had $13.5 billion of debt, including finance leases, and a total deficit of $6.56 billion at September 30, 2026. Growth depends on hotel owners who build and convert hotels.

How much debt and cash does Hilton Worldwide have?

At September 30, 2026, Hilton Worldwide had $13.1B of debt and $774M of cash.

Does Hilton Worldwide pay a dividend?

Yes. Hilton Worldwide paid $0.60 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.2% at the current price of $373.23. The latest ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.

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