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IHGHotel franchising and management

InterContinental Hotels Group

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$181.41
Analysts view
Leaning bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 23 ·
History
Market cap
$30B
Shares of Dec 31, 2025
Yield at current rate
1.0%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
Dividend yield
1.0%
Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
52-week range
$124.51 – $181.77
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
1.14
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
206K
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for the steady fee growth and buybacks of IHG, and only steady RevPAR growth with fast net room growth through 2027 can earn this price.
Gap
Slow. The price needs several more years of RevPAR growth, fast net room growth and buybacks, and the 2026 report on February 23, 2027 is the next test.

Company guidance: 2026 adjusted EPS growth around the top of the +12% to +15% target; adjusted interest $230M to $240M; $950M buyback (, Q3 2026 trading update (6-K))

Price history

About

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) is a global hotel company based in Windsor, United Kingdom. It has 21 hotel brands, among them Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn, Crowne Plaza, InterContinental, Kimpton, Six Senses and voco, and the IHG One Rewards loyalty program with more than 160 million members. At September 30, 2026, its system had 7,186 hotels with 1,060 thousand rooms in more than 100 countries, and its pipeline had 2,426 hotels with 353 thousand rooms. IHG calls itself asset-light.

The Form 20-F says that at December 31, 2025, 73% of its rooms were franchised and 27% were managed, and that its revenue is mostly the fees that owners pay. In the first half of 2026, revenue from the fee business was $971 million of $1,255 million revenue from reportable segments, and operating profit from reportable segments was $665 million. Elie Maalouf is Chief Executive Officer. IHG files Form 20-F and Form 6-K with the SEC.

It reports in US dollars under IFRS Accounting Standards. Its ordinary shares trade in London, and its American Depositary Shares (ADSs) trade on the New York Stock Exchange in US dollars. The Form 20-F states that each ADS represents one ordinary share.

Thesis

The price of IHG depends on whether it can keep adjusted earnings growth at the top of its target range while it returns cash to shareholders. Owners of the hotels pay IHG fees, so each new room adds fee income with little capital from IHG. The CEO says that 2026 is the fifth year in a row of faster net room growth. In Q3 2026, global RevPAR (revenue per available room) rose 5.3% and net system growth was 4.9%, and the fee margin was 65.9% in the first half.

IHG also buys back its shares, with $707 million of a $950 million program done by October 21, 2026. Investors pay for this record. Three things must hold for the price to hold or rise. RevPAR must keep growing, although Greater China fell 3.3% in Q3 and the GCC countries fell 12% because of the conflict in the Middle East.

Net system growth must stay near 5% as the pipeline of 353 thousand rooms opens. Adjusted EPS must grow 12% to 15% a year, while adjusted interest expense rises, which the company expects to be $40 million to $60 million more in 2027 (a preliminary view). The next tests are the 2026 results on February 23, 2027 and the Q1 trading update, expected in early May 2027.

Checkpoints

  1. Feb 23, 2027Pending
    2026 results: adjusted EPS growthAdjusted EPS grows 14% or more for 2026 and the range for 2027 interest expense is no worse than $40 million to $60 million more, and this passes; slower growth fails.
  2. May 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 2027 trading updateGlobal RevPAR grows 3% or more and net system growth stays near 5%, and this passes; slower growth in either fails.
  3. Aug 2027 · est.Pending
    Half-year 2027 resultsThe fee margin rises above the 65.9% of the first half of 2026 and the buyback goes on, and this passes; a lower fee margin fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 22, 2026IHG gave its Q3 2026 trading update. Global RevPAR rose 5.3%, with the Americas up 6.8%, EMEAA up 5.0% and Greater China down 3.3%. In the first nine months, 289 hotels opened and 516 were signed. IHG said that adjusted EPS growth for 2026 will be around the top end of its target of 12% to 15% a year.
  • October 22, 2026IHG said that $707 million of its $950 million share buyback for 2026 was done, with 4.7 million shares bought. It expects to return more than $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2026 through buybacks and dividends.
  • September 28, 2026IHG's finance subsidiary issued two euro bonds: EUR 350 million at 4.000% due September 28, 2029 and EUR 500 million at 4.625% due September 28, 2033. Currency swaps turned them into $402 million at 5.5% and $574 million at 6.0%.
Show 3 older events
  • September 11, 2026IHG set its interim dividend for 2026 at 64.5 cents per share, or 47.6 pence, payable on October 1, 2026.
  • August 11, 2026IHG reported results for the first half of 2026. Operating profit from reportable segments rose 10% to $665 million, and adjusted EPS rose 13% to 274.7 cents. Net debt was $3,663 million at June 30, 2026.
  • February 26, 2026IHG filed its Form 20-F for 2025. Adjusted EPS was 501.3 cents, up 15.9%.

Latest news and filings

Next earnings
February 23, 2027, as the company confirmed.
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2025Filed · ihg-20251231
  • 20-FAnnual report for the period ended Dec 31, 2024Filed · Read it on sec.gov

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 858446)

Risks

  • Hotel demand moves with the economy and with travel patterns. RevPAR in Greater China fell 3.3% in Q3 2026 and in the six GCC countries it fell 12%, because of the conflict in the Middle East.
  • Growth in adjusted EPS depends on net room growth and rising fees. A slowdown in openings, or more hotels leaving the system, would cut fee income, which is the main source of profit.
  • Net debt was $3,663 million at June 30, 2026, which is 2.63 times adjusted EBITDA. IHG expects the ratio to stay in its range of 2.5 to 3.0 times at the end of 2026, and its adjusted interest expense is rising.
  • IHG earns in several currencies and reports in US dollars. It has euro bonds that it swaps into US dollars, and a change in rates or currencies would change its interest cost and its profit.

Balance sheet

At June 30, 2026, IHG had cash and cash equivalents of $798 million (net of overdrafts and restricted cash) and undrawn bank facilities of $1,500 million, which is total liquidity of $2,298 million. Loans and other borrowings were $4,147 million, of which $1,046 million were current.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
1.0% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
1.0% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $181.41)
Paid per share
$1.904 in the last 12 months (2 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.904 (the last two payments)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 21, 2026, $0.645 per share

Dividends per share by year

InterContinental Hotels Group dividends per share by year
2016
$1.0904
2017
$1.0524
2018
$1.1307
2019
$1.18
2020
$0.00
2021
$0.00
2022
$1.298
2023
$1.428
2024
$1.572
2025
$2.874

From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 10.6% a year.

One-off payments far above the usual dividend are left out of these numbers.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about InterContinental Hotels Group

What does InterContinental Hotels Group do?

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) is a global hotel company based in Windsor, United Kingdom. Its market cap is $30B at the current price of $181.41.

When does InterContinental Hotels Group report earnings next?

The company confirmed that it will report on February 23, 2027. It last reported results on August 11, 2026.

Is InterContinental Hotels Group stock below its intrinsic value?

InterContinental Hotels Group stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at InterContinental Hotels Group?

The latest update is from October 22, 2026. IHG gave its Q3 2026 trading update.

What are the main risks for InterContinental Hotels Group?

Hotel demand moves with the economy and with travel patterns. Growth in adjusted EPS depends on net room growth and rising fees. Net debt was $3,663 million at June 30, 2026, which is 2.63 times adjusted EBITDA.

How much debt and cash does InterContinental Hotels Group have?

At June 30, 2026, IHG had cash and cash equivalents of $798 million (net of overdrafts and restricted cash) and undrawn bank facilities of $1,500 million, which is total liquidity of $2,298 million. This is as of June 30, 2026.

Does InterContinental Hotels Group pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of InterContinental Hotels Group is $1.904 per share. That is a dividend yield of 1.0% at the current price of $181.41. The latest ex-dividend date was August 21, 2026.

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