By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $125.16
- Analysts view
- Analysts Very bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Top pick
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Feb 18 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $130B
- Shares of Oct 15, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 14.5
- Price of Nov 10, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $8.62
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $81.34 – $135.29
- To Nov 9, 2026
- Beta
- 0.57
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 6.9M
- 3 months, to Nov 9, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- Newmont trades at a premium because investors pay for high gold prices and large buybacks, and a gold price that stays high with costs under control in 2027 can earn it.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance expected in mid-February 2027 and the Red Chris investment decision in early 2027 are dated tests, but the gold price decides most of the result.
Company guidance: Attributable gold production of 5,260 koz, gold by-product CAS of $925/oz and AISC of $1,520/oz for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
Newmont is one of the largest gold mining companies in the world. It also produces copper, silver, zinc and lead. Its main mines are in Australia (Boddington, Tanami and Cadia), Papua New Guinea (Lihir), Ghana (Ahafo), Mexico (Peñasquito), Peru (Yanacocha), Argentina (Cerro Negro), Suriname (Merian) and Canada (Brucejack and Red Chris, where it owns 70%). It owns 38.5% of Nevada Gold Mines, a joint venture that Barrick operates.
It also owns 40% of Pueblo Viejo and 32% of Lundin Gold. For 2026, it expects to produce about 5.26 million ounces of attributable gold. In Q3 2026, its average realized gold price was $4,317 per ounce. The shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange, and also in Australia and Papua New Guinea.
Thesis
Newmont trades at a premium because investors pay for high gold prices and for large returns of cash. The average realized gold price was $4,546 per ounce in the first nine months of 2026, and free cash flow was $7.3 billion. Newmont cut its share count by more than 115 million shares, about 10%, since February 2024, and it holds net cash of $3.2 billion.
For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. The gold price must stay high: the company says that each $100 per ounce changes revenue by about $505 million a year, and its 2026 guidance assumes $4,500 per ounce. Costs must stay under control, but the company expects unit costs to rise in 2027 from inflation, diesel, a stronger Australian dollar and lower co-product credits.
Production must grow by a low-to-mid single-digit percentage in 2027 as planned, and the Red Chris Block Cave project must start with a sound investment case. The Q4 2026 report with 2027 guidance, expected in mid-February 2027, and the Red Chris investment decision in early 2027 give the next tests. If the gold price falls back, the premium can shrink fast.
Checkpoints
- Feb 18, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and 2027 guidanceAbout 1.37 million ounces in Q4 2026, 2026 AISC near $1,520 per ounce and 2027 guidance with production growth pass; missed production or a large cost rise fails.
- Q1 2027 · est.PendingRed Chris Block Cave investment decisionA full-funds decision with a final grant from Canada and costs close to the feasibility study pass; a delay or a higher cost estimate fails.
Recent events
- October 22, 2026Newmont reported Q3 2026 results. It produced 1.30 million attributable gold ounces at an AISC of $1,454 per ounce, and the realized gold price was $4,317 per ounce. Adjusted net income was $2.20 per diluted share, and free cash flow was $1.9 billion. Production at Cadia rose after a seismic event in April 2026. Newmont improved its 2026 guidance for AISC to $1,520 per ounce, said that 2027 production should grow by a low-to-mid single-digit percentage and expects a Red Chris investment decision in early 2027. It declared a dividend of $0.26 per share.
- August 10, 2026Newmont and Barrick amended the Nevada Gold Mines joint venture agreement and settled all their disputes about it. Barrick will contribute its Fourmile project and Newmont its Fiberline and Mike projects. Newmont will pay Barrick $1.95 billion in cash, which it expects to pay in Q4 2026.
- July 23, 2026Newmont reported Q2 2026 results. It produced 1.29 million attributable gold ounces, and free cash flow was a record $2.2 billion for a second quarter. It received provincial approvals in British Columbia for the Red Chris Block Cave project. In July 2026, the Government of Canada announced a contribution of CAD$500 million to the project.
Show 2 older eventsHide older events
- April 23, 2026Newmont reported Q1 2026 results with record free cash flow of $3.1 billion and a realized gold price of $4,900 per ounce. After it completed its earlier buyback programs, its board approved a new share repurchase program of $6.0 billion.
- February 19, 2026Newmont reported Q4 2025 results and gave 2026 guidance. For 2025, adjusted net income was $6.89 per diluted share and free cash flow was $7.3 billion.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 22, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about February 18, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · nem-20260930
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · nem-20261022
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · nem-20260630
- 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · nem-20260723
- 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · nem-20260331
Risks
- Profit depends on the gold price. The company says that each $100 per ounce changes revenue by about $505 million a year. The realized price fell from $4,900 per ounce in Q1 2026 to $4,317 in Q3 2026.
- Newmont expects unit costs to rise in 2027 because of inflation, higher diesel prices, a stronger Australian dollar and lower silver, lead and zinc output at Peñasquito.
- Mines can stop or slow. A seismic event at Cadia in April 2026 cut output, and El Niño conditions can lower water supply and production at Lihir.
- Development capital is expected to rise by about $500 million in 2027 for the Lihir Nearshore Barrier and Red Chris Block Cave. Large underground projects can cost more and take longer than planned; Red Chris commercial production is targeted for 2033.
- Many mines are in countries with changing tax and mining rules, such as Papua New Guinea, Ghana, Peru, Mexico, Argentina and Suriname.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $8.8B
- Debt
- $5.1B
- Net cash
- $3.7B
- Credit line
- $4.0B
- undrawn
Cash against debt
debt covered by cash
Newmont has more cash than debt. At September 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $8.8 billion, debt was $5.1 billion and lease and other financing obligations were $497 million, so net cash was $3.2 billion. Total liquidity was $12.8 billion, including $4.0 billion available on a revolving credit facility. These balances are before the payment of $1.95 billion to Barrick under the amended Nevada Gold Mines agreement, which Newmont expects to pay in Q4 2026. Adjusted EBITDA was $17.4 billion over the 12 months to September 30, 2026 (a calculation from the release). Newmont targets net cash of $1 billion, plus or minus $2 billion, and a minimum cash balance of $5 billion. Reclamation and remediation liabilities were $6.1 billion.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $125.16)
- Paid per share
- $1.03 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $1.04 ($0.26 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 16% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- September 3, 2026, $0.26 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $0.125 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.25 | |
| 2018 | $0.56 | |
| 2019 | $1.44 | |
| 2020 | $1.04 | |
| 2021 | $2.20 | |
| 2022 | $2.20 | |
| 2023 | $1.60 | |
| 2024 | $1.00 | |
| 2025 | $1.00 |
Over the last 5 years, the dividend fell by about 12.9% a year. Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 26.3% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 9, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Newmont
What does Newmont do?
Newmont is one of the largest gold mining companies in the world. It also produces copper, silver, zinc and lead. Its market cap is $130B at the current price of $125.16.
When does Newmont report earnings next?
This is an estimate: Newmont may report on February 18, 2027. It last reported results on October 22, 2026.
Is Newmont stock below its intrinsic value?
Newmont stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Newmont?
The latest update is from October 22, 2026. Newmont reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for Newmont?
Profit depends on the gold price. Newmont expects unit costs to rise in 2027 because of inflation, higher diesel prices, a stronger Australian dollar and lower silver, lead and zinc output at Peñasquito. Mines can stop or slow.
How much debt and cash does Newmont have?
At September 30, 2026, Newmont had $5.1B of debt and $8.8B of cash.
Does Newmont pay a dividend?
Yes. Newmont paid $1.03 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 0.8% at the current price of $125.16. The latest ex-dividend date was September 3, 2026.
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