OKEMidstream: NGLs, refined products, crude oil and natural gas
ONEOK
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- $87.37
- Analysts view
- Leaning bullish
- Discount category
- Below intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Jan 27 · · estimated
- Market cap
- $55B
- Shares of Oct 19, 2026
- P/E (trailing)
- 13.6
- Price of Nov 11, 2026
- EPS (trailing)
- $6.44
- 12 months to Sep 30, 2026
- 52-week range
- $68.10 – $99.85
- To Nov 10, 2026
- Beta
- 0.75
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 3.5M
- 3 months, to Nov 10, 2026
Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings
In short
- Thesis
- The market prices ONEOK on its steady fee-based cash flow and waits to see what the Apollo investment and the Brazos purchase give common shareholders.
- Gap
- Can close. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance show whether the Brazos assets and lower debt raise EPS after Apollo's share.
Company guidance: 2026 net income of $4.09 to $4.27 billion, diluted EPS midpoint of $6.30 and adjusted EBITDA of $8.5 to $8.6 billion (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))
Price history
About
ONEOK is a large midstream company in the United States. It gathers and processes natural gas, and it transports, fractionates and stores natural gas liquids (NGLs). It also transports and stores refined products and crude oil, and it owns natural gas pipelines. It reports four segments.
In Q3 2026, adjusted EBITDA was $718 million in Natural Gas Liquids, $685 million in Refined Products and Crude, $563 million in Natural Gas Gathering and Processing and $231 million in Natural Gas Pipelines. Its systems serve the Permian Basin, the Rocky Mountain region and the Mid-Continent and connect to the Gulf Coast. In September 2026, funds managed by Apollo invested $9 billion for 13% of ONEOK Holdings, the subsidiary that holds the business. In October 2026, ONEOK bought the Permian Midland Basin assets of Brazos Midstream.
The shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange. The head office is in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Pierce H. Norton II is President and Chief Executive Officer.
Thesis
The market prices ONEOK on its steady fee-based cash flow and its dividend, but it waits to see what the Apollo investment and the Brazos purchase give common shareholders. The $9 billion from Apollo paid for the Brazos assets and about $5.5 billion of debt repayment, and ONEOK expects leverage of about 3.25 times debt to EBITDA in 2027. But Apollo has a capped return of 7.01% a year for nine years, which comes before common shareholders. For the shares to earn more, three things must be true.
EPS must grow from about $5.77 for 2026 without the one-time tax benefit, as the Brazos assets and new projects add earnings. Adjusted EBITDA must grow toward the high end of the target of mid- to high-single-digit growth a year. And ONEOK must use the lower debt for higher dividends or share buybacks. The Q4 2026 report and the 2027 guidance, expected in early 2027, are the next test.
Checkpoints
- Oct 27, 2026PassedQ3 2026 results and the 2026 guidanceHigher adjusted EBITDA and kept or raised 2026 guidance pass; lower guidance fails.Outcome: Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $2.24 billion, and ONEOK raised its 2026 guidance for the third time in the year.
- Jan 27, 2027 · est.PendingQ4 2026 results and the 2027 guidance2027 guidance for higher EPS than in 2026 without the tax benefit passes; flat or lower EPS fails.
- Q3 2027 · est.PendingStart of the Cassidy II processing plantStart-up in Q3 2027, as planned, with growing Midland Basin volumes passes; a delay fails.
Recent events
- October 27, 2026ONEOK reported Q3 2026 results. Net income attributable to ONEOK was $1.35 billion, or $2.13 per diluted share, including a one-time tax benefit of $0.53 per share. Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $2.24 billion. ONEOK raised its 2026 guidance to a midpoint of $6.30 of diluted EPS and $8.55 billion of adjusted EBITDA, and it declared a quarterly dividend of $1.07 per share. S&P and Fitch raised its credit rating to BBB+.
- October 6, 2026ONEOK completed the purchase of the Permian Midland Basin assets of Brazos Midstream for about $4.425 billion in cash. The system will have about 1.2 Bcf/d of processing capacity after the Cassidy II plant starts, expected in Q3 2027.
- September 10, 2026ONEOK closed the $9 billion nonvoting minority equity investment from funds managed by Apollo. In September 2026, it used the proceeds to extinguish about $5.5 billion of debt.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- August 3, 2026ONEOK reported Q2 2026 results. Net income rose 13% to $967 million, or $1.53 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA rose 7% to $2.12 billion, with record NGL volumes.
- April 28, 2026ONEOK reported Q1 2026 results. Net income rose 12% to $776 million, or $1.23 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA rose 13% to $2.0 billion.
- February 23, 2026ONEOK reported 2025 results. Net income attributable to ONEOK rose 12% to $3.39 billion, or $5.42 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA rose 18% to $8.02 billion.
Latest news and filings
- Last earnings
- October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
- Next earnings
- Expected about January 27, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · oke-20260930
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KNew material agreement and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 8-KNew material agreement and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · oke-20260630
- 8-KAcquisition or sale completed and Investor disclosureFiled · oke-20260803
- 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · oke-20260520
- 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Mar 31, 2026Filed · oke-20260331
- 8-KEarnings release and Investor disclosureFiled · Press release and exhibits
- 8-KChange of directors or officersFiled · oke-20260320
Risks
- Volumes depend on drilling by oil and gas producers. If oil or gas prices fall, producers can drill less in the Permian Basin and the Rocky Mountain region, and NGL and gas volumes can grow more slowly.
- Apollo's investment has a return of 7.01% a year for nine years and more after that. These distributions come before common shareholders and lower the earnings per share from the business.
- Part of the earnings comes from optimization and marketing, crude contracts with margin sharing and NGL price differentials. These earnings can fall when commodity prices or price differences change.
- Total debt was $28.5 billion at September 30, 2026. Higher interest rates make refinancing more expensive.
- The integration of several acquisitions and the start-up of new plants and pipelines can cost more or take longer than planned.
Balance sheet
- Cash
- $186M
- Debt
- $28.5B
- Net debt
- $28.3B
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.3×
- EBITDA $8.5B, last 12 months
Cash against debt
debt covered by cashnet debt $28.3B
Leverage: net debt / EBITDA
low, under 2×medium, 2× to 4×high, over 4×
When the debt is due
Credit ratings
- S&P BBB+
- Fitch BBB+
ONEOK funds itself with senior notes, commercial paper, a minority equity investment and cash flow. At September 30, 2026, cash was $186 million. Current maturities of long-term debt were $1,500 million, short-term borrowings were $85 million and long-term debt was $26,935 million. In September 2026, ONEOK used the proceeds of the $9 billion investment from Apollo to extinguish about $5.5 billion of debt. Noncontrolling interests in equity were $9,144 million. ONEOK has a $3.5 billion revolving credit agreement. S&P and Fitch rate ONEOK BBB+. ONEOK expects leverage of about 3.25 times debt to EBITDA in 2027. At October 19, 2026, there were 630,450,437 shares. The quarterly dividend is $1.07 per share.
Dividends
- Dividend yield
- 4.9% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $87.37)
- Paid per share
- $4.28 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- $4.28 ($1.07 × 4 a year)
- Payout ratio
- 76% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- November 2, 2026, $1.07 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | $2.46 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.72 | |
| 2018 | $3.245 | |
| 2019 | $3.53 | |
| 2020 | $3.74 | |
| 2021 | $3.74 | |
| 2022 | $3.74 | |
| 2023 | $3.82 | |
| 2024 | $3.96 | |
| 2025 | $4.12 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 2.0% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 5.4% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 11, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about ONEOK
What does ONEOK do?
ONEOK is a large midstream company in the United States. It gathers and processes natural gas, and it transports, fractionates and stores natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its market cap is $55B at the current price of $87.37.
When does ONEOK report earnings next?
This is an estimate: ONEOK may report on January 27, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.
Is ONEOK stock below its intrinsic value?
ONEOK stock is below intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at ONEOK?
The latest update is from October 27, 2026. ONEOK reported Q3 2026 results.
What are the main risks for ONEOK?
Volumes depend on drilling by oil and gas producers. Apollo's investment has a return of 7.01% a year for nine years and more after that. Part of the earnings comes from optimization and marketing, crude contracts with margin sharing and NGL price differentials.
How much debt and cash does ONEOK have?
At September 30, 2026, ONEOK had $28.5B of debt and $186M of cash.
Does ONEOK pay a dividend?
Yes. ONEOK paid $4.28 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 4.9% at the current price of $87.37. The latest ex-dividend date was November 2, 2026.
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