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SSUMYTrading and investment conglomerate

Sumitomo Corporation

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$10.73
Intrinsic value
Intrinsic value: AI estimate
Analysts view
Very bullish
Discount category
Close to intrinsic value (AI estimate)
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 2 · · estimated
History
52-week range
$7.27 – $12.45
To Nov 10, 2026
Beta
0.67
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
226K
3 months, to Nov 10, 2026

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In short

Thesis
The market prices Sumitomo close to the AI estimate on doubts that it can keep its high profit when commodity prices and the yen return to normal, and only growth in its non-commodity businesses can lift its value.
Gap
Slow. Profit must shift to businesses without commodity risk, such as SCSK and aircraft leasing, over several years, so no single event can close the gap.

Company guidance: Profit for the year to March 2027 of ¥670.0 billion, raised from ¥630.0 billion, and an annual dividend of ¥44 per share (, Financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2026)

Price history

About

Sumitomo Corporation (Sumitomo) is a Japanese integrated trading and investment company. Its ten business groups are Steel, Automotive, Transportation & Construction Systems, Diverse Urban Development, Communication Services, Digital AI, Lifestyle Business, Mineral Resources, Chemical Solutions and Energy Transformation Business. It owns all of the IT services company SCSK, and in 2026 it bought Sumisho Air Lease, which made its aircraft leasing business the second largest in the world.

Revenues were ¥3,918.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent was ¥347.9 billion in the six months to September 30, 2026. The shares trade on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (8053). American depositary receipts trade over the counter as SSUMY.

One ADR represents one share, and Citibank is the depositary. The head office is in Tokyo. Shingo Ueno is President and Chief Executive Officer.

Thesis

The market values Sumitomo close to the AI estimate, as a group of many businesses whose profit depends partly on commodity prices and on a weak yen. In the six months to September 2026, high copper and coal prices and a weak yen helped profit. Investors doubt that a return on equity of about 14% lasts when these prices fall. For the shares to earn more, three things must be true.

Profit from businesses without commodity risk, such as SCSK, aircraft leasing and construction equipment, must keep growing. Sumitomo must keep selling weak assets, as it did with the nickel business in Madagascar, without large losses. And it must pay at least 40% of profit to shareholders while net debt falls back to about 0.6 times equity. The Q3 report, expected in early February 2027, and the results for the fiscal year to March 2027 with a new medium-term plan, expected in early May 2027, are the next tests.

Valuation

AI estimate, checked by Kevin. How it is made

Show the method

The intrinsic value for Sumitomo Corporation is an AI estimate from November 11, 2026. It is not an analyst's value. An AI research agent calculated it from Sumitomo's own reports. The values are per American depositary receipt (ADR) in U.S. dollars.

The ADR page of Sumitomo's investor website gives a ratio of 1 ADR to 1 ordinary share, with Citibank, N.A. as depositary. The company reports in yen under IFRS. The method is a multiple of profit per share for the fiscal year to March 2028. The consolidated financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2026 (November 2, 2026) give profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥347.9 billion, a forecast for the fiscal year to March 2027 of ¥670.0 billion, raised from ¥630.0 billion, an annual dividend forecast of ¥44 per share, net interest-bearing liabilities of ¥3,855.6 billion and 4,725,549,108 shares outside treasury at September 30, 2026, after a 4-for-1 share split on July 1, 2026.

The results presentation of the same date gives profit of ¥600.3 billion for the fiscal year to March 2026, an expected return on equity of about 14%, a loss buffer of ¥30.0 billion in the forecast and an exchange rate assumption of ¥150 per U.S. dollar for the second half. Profit is after interest, so the estimate makes no debt adjustment. It uses an exchange rate of ¥157.98 per U.S. dollar, the market rate on November 10, 2026, as an assumption. The estimate assumes 4,700 million shares after more repurchases.

The profit for the fiscal year to March 2028 and the multiples are assumptions. The low case assumes lower commodity prices and a stronger yen, with profit of ¥600 billion, or ¥127.66 per share, at 10 times. It gives ¥1,276.60, or $8.08 per ADR. The base case assumes profit of ¥700 billion, or ¥148.94 per share, at 12.5 times.

It gives ¥1,861.75, or $11.78 per ADR. The high case assumes growth in SCSK, aircraft leasing and other non-commodity businesses, with profit of ¥770 billion, or ¥163.83 per share, at 14.5 times. It gives ¥2,375.54, or $15.04 per ADR. The estimate assumes weights of 25%, 50% and 25%.

The weighted intrinsic value is $11.67 per ADR. The value moves with the yen. Sumitomo has large positions in many industries and a wide network of partners, which help it find and finance deals. But other Japanese trading companies have similar networks, many of its businesses sell commodities at market prices, and returns depend on the price of each new investment.

The estimate does not expect an advantage that lasts 10 years or more.

Checkpoints

  1. Nov 2, 2026Passed
    Results for the six months to September 2026Profit progress of about half of the annual forecast or more passes; a cut in the forecast fails.Outcome: Profit rose 15.5% to ¥347.9 billion, and Sumitomo raised its annual forecast to ¥670.0 billion.
  2. Feb 2, 2027 · est.Pending
    Results for the nine months to December 2026Profit on track for the ¥670.0 billion forecast passes; a lower forecast fails.
  3. May 2027 · est.Pending
    Results for the fiscal year to March 2027 and the new medium-term planProfit of ¥670.0 billion or more and a plan with growth in businesses without commodity risk pass; lower profit or a lower dividend fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 2, 2026Sumitomo reported results for the six months to September 30, 2026. Profit attributable to owners of the parent rose 15.5% to ¥347.9 billion. Sumitomo raised its forecast for the fiscal year to March 2027 to ¥670.0 billion from ¥630.0 billion, and its dividend forecast to ¥44 per share from ¥40. It expects a return on equity of about 14%.
  • November 2, 2026In the same report, Sumitomo said that it completed the purchase of Sumisho Air Lease, an investment of about ¥330 billion, and that it sold its nickel mining and refining business in Madagascar. The sale gave a loss of ¥73.0 billion before a tax benefit of ¥72.0 billion.
  • September 3, 2026Sumitomo completed the share repurchase of ¥80.0 billion that it announced on May 1, 2026.
Show 2 older events
  • July 1, 2026Sumitomo split each share into four shares.
  • May 1, 2026Sumitomo reported results for the fiscal year to March 2026, with profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥600.3 billion. It forecast ¥630.0 billion for the next year and announced a share repurchase of up to ¥80.0 billion.

Risks

  • Mineral Resources profit depends on the prices of copper, coal, iron ore and manganese. High prices helped results in 2026, and a fall would lower profit.
  • Profit from overseas businesses is converted into yen. A stronger yen lowers profit, and it lowered equity by about ¥100 billion in the six months to September 2026.
  • Net interest-bearing liabilities rose to ¥3,855.6 billion after the purchases of SCSK shares and Sumisho Air Lease. Higher interest rates raise the cost of this debt.
  • Sumitomo sells and buys many businesses. Sales can cause losses, such as the Madagascar nickel sale, and impairments, such as at the South African iron ore business in 2026.
  • The conflict in the Middle East and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz raise energy costs and can slow the world economy and trade.

Balance sheet

Cash
¥637.2B
Debt
¥4,492.8B
Net debt
¥3,855.6B

Cash against debt

Cash¥637.2B
Debt¥4,492.8B

debt covered by cashnet debt ¥3,855.6B

Credit ratings

  • Moody's Baa1 · stable
  • S&P A- · negative

Sumitomo funds its business with bonds, bank loans and cash flow. At September 30, 2026, bonds and borrowings were ¥4,492.8 billion, without lease liabilities.

Dividends

The dividend data after March 31, 2025 is missing.

Latest ex-dividend date
March 31, 2025, $0.11 per share

Dividends per share by year

Sumitomo Corporation dividends per share by year
2016
$0.00
2017
$0.00
2018
$0.00
2019
$0.00
2020
$0.00
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.00
2023
$0.00
2024
$0.1083
2025
$0.11

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Sumitomo Corporation

What does Sumitomo Corporation do?

Sumitomo Corporation (Sumitomo) is a Japanese integrated trading and investment company.

When does Sumitomo Corporation report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Sumitomo Corporation may report on February 2, 2027. It last reported results on November 2, 2026.

Is Sumitomo Corporation stock below its intrinsic value?

Sumitomo Corporation stock is close to intrinsic value. The source of the intrinsic value is: AI estimate. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Sumitomo Corporation?

The latest update is from November 2, 2026. Sumitomo reported results for the six months to September 30, 2026.

What are the main risks for Sumitomo Corporation?

Mineral Resources profit depends on the prices of copper, coal, iron ore and manganese. Profit from overseas businesses is converted into yen. Net interest-bearing liabilities rose to ¥3,855.6 billion after the purchases of SCSK shares and Sumisho Air Lease.

How much debt and cash does Sumitomo Corporation have?

At September 30, 2026, Sumitomo Corporation had ¥4,492.8B of debt and ¥637.2B of cash.

Does Sumitomo Corporation pay a dividend?

The dividend data for Sumitomo Corporation after March 31, 2025 is missing.

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