DOLDiscount variety retail
Dollarama
Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks
By Kevin Amado
Updated
- Price
- CA$218.47
- Analysts view
- Bullish
- Discount category
- Far above intrinsic value
- Pick status
- Research only
- Next earnings
- Earnings Dec 10 ·
- Market cap
- CA$59B
- Shares of Sep 16, 2026
- Yield at current rate
- 0.2%
- Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- Dividend yield
- 0.2%
- Last 12 months, at the price of Nov 12, 2026
- 52-week range
- CA$163.25 – CA$222.17
- To Nov 12, 2026
- Beta
- 0.15
- Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
- Average volume
- 695K
- 3 months, to Nov 12, 2026
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In short
- Thesis
- Dollarama trades above its intrinsic value because investors pay for its steady Canadian growth and Dollarcity profit, and only growth that lasts while Australia and Mexico stop losing money can support this price.
- Gap
- Slow. Only several years of store openings, Canadian comparable sales growth and a move to profit in Australia and Mexico can lift earnings toward the price.
Company guidance: Fiscal 2027 Canada: 65 to 75 net new stores, comparable store sales growth of 4.0% to 4.5%, gross margin of 45.0% to 45.5% (, Q2 fiscal 2027 results (Dollarama))
Price history
About
Dollarama Inc. (Dollarama) is a Canadian value retailer based in Montreal. It sells consumables, general merchandise and seasonal goods at low fixed price points. It had 1,734 stores in Canada at August 2, 2026. In July 2025, it bought The Reject Shop, now Dollarama Australia, which had 414 stores in Australia at August 2, 2026.
Dollarama also owns 60.1% of Central American Retail Sourcing (CARS) and 80.05% of Inversiones Comerciales Mexicanas (ICM). They run Dollarcity, a value retailer with 781 stores in Colombia, Guatemala, Peru, El Salvador and Mexico at June 30, 2026. Dollarama counts its stakes in Dollarcity as joint arrangements and reports their earnings on one line. It reports Canadian and Australian segments.
Sales were $2,026.6 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, which ended on August 2, 2026. Neil Rossy is President and Chief Executive Officer. The shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canadian dollars. Dollarama is not a US SEC filer, so this profile comes from its own reports.
Thesis
Dollarama trades above its intrinsic value because investors pay a high price for its steady growth. Canadian comparable store sales rose 5.4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, the company plans 65 to 75 net new stores in Canada, and the Dollarcity stake adds profit. Two things hold back earnings per share. Australia loses money while stores change to the Dollarama layout, and Dollarama expects a net loss there in fiscal 2027, which cost $0.05 per share in Q2.
Mexico also loses money while it grows. The consolidated EBITDA margin fell to 32.2% from 34.1% mostly because of Australia, while the Canadian margin rose to 34.9%. For this price to hold, three things must be true. Canadian comparable sales must keep growing at the guided 4.0% to 4.5%, with a gross margin of 45.0% to 45.5%.
Australia must move toward profit after the store conversions, of which 60 of 414 are done. Dollarcity must keep growing its earnings while Mexico expands. The Q3 report on December 10, 2026 and the Q4 report in March 2027 are the next tests.
Checkpoints
- Sep 16, 2026PassedQ2 fiscal 2027 results: Canadian comparable salesCanadian comparable store sales growth of 4.0% or more passes; growth below 3.0% fails.Outcome: Canadian comparable store sales rose 5.4%, and Dollarama raised its fiscal 2027 range to 4.0% to 4.5%.
- Dec 10, 2026PendingQ3 fiscal 2027 results: comparable sales and AustraliaCanadian comparable store sales growth of 4.0% or more with an Australian drag of $0.05 per share or less passes; slower sales or a larger drag fails.
- Mar 2027 · est.PendingQ4 fiscal 2027 results: fiscal 2028 guidanceFiscal 2028 guidance for 60 or more net new stores in Canada and comparable store sales growth of 3% or more passes; weaker guidance fails.
Recent events
- November 9, 2026Dollarama said that it will report third quarter fiscal 2027 results on Thursday, December 10, 2026, before the market opens, and that management will hold a call the same day.
- September 16, 2026Dollarama reported second quarter fiscal 2027 results. Sales were $2,026.6 million, up 17.6%, diluted EPS was $1.29 against $1.16 and EBITDA was $653.0 million. It raised its Canadian fiscal 2027 guidance to 65 to 75 net new stores and comparable store sales growth of 4.0% to 4.5%. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share.
- August 19, 2026The board of CARS approved a cash dividend of US$125.0 million. Dollarama's share was US$75.1 million (C$103.8 million), received in the third quarter. Dollarama used part of it for a capital contribution of US$38.0 million (C$52.4 million) to ICM for expansion in Mexico.
Show 3 older eventsHide older events
- July 8, 2026The 1.871% fixed rate notes of C$375 million matured. Dollarama had issued 3.940% notes due 2031 and 4.576% notes due 2036, C$375 million each, in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 to repay them and to fund capital spending.
- July 3, 2026Dollarama renewed its normal course issuer bid for up to 13,532,086 shares, 5.0% of its shares, from July 7, 2026 to July 6, 2027. In the second quarter it bought back 1,596,016 shares for C$300.4 million, an average of C$188.23 per share.
- March 24, 2026Dollarama gave its fiscal 2027 guidance for Canada: 60 to 70 net new stores, comparable store sales growth of 3.0% to 4.0%, a gross margin of 45.0% to 45.5%, SG&A of 14.1% to 14.6% of sales and capital spending of C$420 million to C$470 million. It expected a net loss for Australia.
Risks
- Australia may take longer to reach profit. Its gross margin and SG&A are weaker than those in Canada, and Dollarama expects a net loss there for fiscal 2027. The conversion of 414 stores will take several years, and all stores keep the old banner until the products match.
- Dollarcity is a large share of profit. Dollarama's share of its net earnings was C$49.9 million in Q2, about 14% of net earnings. The stores are in Colombia, Guatemala, Peru, El Salvador and Mexico, so currency, politics and the Mexico expansion can change the result.
- Import costs depend on the exchange rate. Dollarama buys most goods in US dollars and uses forward contracts to hedge most of its forecast purchases. A weaker Canadian dollar or new tariffs would raise costs after the hedges end.
- Growth must continue in Canada. Guidance asks for 65 to 75 net new stores and comparable sales growth of 4.0% to 4.5%. Slower openings, fewer shoppers or more competition would cut growth that the share price already expects.
- Debt and leases add fixed costs. Net debt was C$2,517.0 million at August 2, 2026, and lease right-of-use assets were C$2,516.9 million. Net financing costs were C$51.2 million in Q2, up from C$43.2 million.
Balance sheet
Dollarama reported cash of C$479.7 million and total debt of C$2,996.7 million at August 2, 2026, so net debt was C$2,517.0 million (C$2,293.6 million at February 1, 2026). The debt is mostly senior unsecured fixed rate notes: C$375 million at 4.576% due April 2036, C$375 million at 3.940% due July 2031, C$600 million at 3.850% due December 2030, C$450 million at 5.165% due April 2030, C$375 million at 2.443% due July 2029, C$500 million at 5.533% due September 2028 and C$300 million at 1.505% due September 2027. Inventories were C$1,096.1 million and total assets were C$8,180.3 million. Shareholders' equity was C$1,477.9 million, kept low by buybacks. Dollarama bought back C$300.4 million of shares in Q2.
Dividends
- Yield at the current rate
- 0.2% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
- Dividend yield
- 0.2% (last 12 months, at today’s price of CA$218.47)
- Paid per share
- CA$0.466 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
- Current annual rate
- CA$0.48 (CA$0.12 × 4 a year)
- Latest ex-dividend date
- October 9, 2026, CA$0.12 per share
Dividends per share by year
| 2016 | CA$0.13 | |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CA$0.1433 | |
| 2018 | CA$0.1567 | |
| 2019 | CA$0.172 | |
| 2020 | CA$0.176 | |
| 2021 | CA$0.197 | |
| 2022 | CA$0.215 | |
| 2023 | CA$0.268 | |
| 2024 | CA$0.347 | |
| 2025 | CA$0.41 |
From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 18.4% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 13.4% a year.
Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.
Questions about Dollarama
What does Dollarama do?
Dollarama Inc. (Dollarama) is a Canadian value retailer based in Montreal. It sells consumables, general merchandise and seasonal goods at low fixed price points. Its market cap is CA$59B at the current price of CA$218.47.
When does Dollarama report earnings next?
The company confirmed that it will report on December 10, 2026. It last reported results on September 16, 2026.
Is Dollarama stock below its intrinsic value?
Dollarama stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.
What changed recently at Dollarama?
The latest update is from November 9, 2026. Dollarama said that it will report third quarter fiscal 2027 results on Thursday, December 10, 2026, before the market opens, and that management will hold a call the same day.
What are the main risks for Dollarama?
Australia may take longer to reach profit. Dollarcity is a large share of profit. Import costs depend on the exchange rate.
How much debt and cash does Dollarama have?
Dollarama reported cash of C$479.7 million and total debt of C$2,996.7 million at August 2, 2026, so net debt was C$2,517.0 million (C$2,293.6 million at February 1, 2026). This is as of August 2, 2026.
Does Dollarama pay a dividend?
Yes. The current annual dividend of Dollarama is CA$0.48 per share. That is a dividend yield of 0.2% at the current price of CA$218.47. In the last 12 months, it paid CA$0.466 per share (0.2%). The latest ex-dividend date was October 9, 2026.
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