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RCLCruise lines

Royal Caribbean Group

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$336.98
Analysts view
Analysts Bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value
Top pick
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Jan 28 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$90B
Shares of Oct 23, 2026
P/E (trailing)
19.9
Price of Nov 10, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$16.90
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$222.22 – $356.39
To Nov 9, 2026
Beta
1.89
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
2.4M
3 months, to Nov 9, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Investors pay a premium for the strong demand and fast earnings growth of Royal Caribbean, and only adjusted EPS of $20 or more in 2027 with steady yields and costs can earn it.
Gap
Can close. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in late January 2027, and the close of the Sandals purchase in early 2027 show whether earnings reach the Perfecta goal.

Company guidance: Adjusted EPS of $17.85 to $17.95 and revenue growth of 9% for 2026 (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Royal Caribbean Group is one of the largest cruise companies in the world. It owns three cruise brands, Royal Caribbean, Celebrity Cruises and Silversea, and it has a 50% share in TUI Cruises, which operates the Mein Schiff and Hapag-Lloyd brands. Together these brands operate 71 ships that sail to more than 1,000 destinations. The group also owns private destinations in its Perfect Day and Royal Beach Club collections, and it will start river cruises in 2027 with Celebrity River Cruises.

Total revenue was $17.9 billion in 2025. In Q3 2026, revenue was $5.59 billion and the ships carried 2.7 million guests. The head office is in Miami, Florida, and Jason Liberty is its chairman and chief executive officer.

Thesis

Royal Caribbean trades at a premium because investors pay for strong demand, high margins and fast earnings growth. Adjusted EPS rose to $15.64 in 2025, and the company expects $17.85 to $17.95 for 2026. Its Perfecta program targets 20% yearly growth in adjusted EPS from 2024 to 2027 and a return on invested capital of 17% or more, and the company says that it remains on track for adjusted EPS of $20 or more in 2027. Investors also pay for new ships, private destinations and a loyalty program that bring guests back.

For the premium to be earned, three things must be true. Net yields must keep rising in 2027 while capacity grows about 4.5%, and the company said that 2027 bookings are ahead of past levels at higher prices. Costs, mainly fuel, must stay under control: fuel cost $347 million in Q3 2026, up from $297 million a year earlier. The balance sheet must carry ship orders of about $19.4 billion and the purchase of 50% of Sandals and Beaches Resorts for about $3 billion without a large rise in debt.

The premium can shrink if consumers spend less on travel, if geopolitical events change itineraries again, or if fuel prices rise more. The Q4 2026 report, expected in late January 2027 with the first 2027 guidance, is the next test.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 27, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results and 2026 guidanceAdjusted EPS above a year earlier and kept or higher 2026 guidance pass; lower guidance fails.Outcome: Adjusted EPS rose to $6.57 from $5.75, and the company raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.85 to $17.95.
  2. Jan 28, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2026 adjusted EPS within or above $17.85 to $17.95 and 2027 guidance of $20 or more pass; guidance below $20 or falling yields fail.
  3. Mar 2027 · est.Pending
    Close of the Sandals and Beaches purchaseA close in early 2027 with permanent financing and no large rise in leverage passes; a delay or a much higher cost fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • October 27, 2026Royal Caribbean reported Q3 2026 results. Revenue rose 9% to $5.59 billion, and net yields rose 0.9%. Net income was $1.73 billion, or $6.45 per share, and adjusted EPS was $6.57, up from $5.75. The company raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.85 to $17.95 from $17.73 to $17.87. It said that booking volumes rose in the mid-teens since its last call, with bookings for 2027 sailings up in the high teens. In October 2026, it added a $400 million delayed-draw term loan from Export Development Canada.
  • September 23, 2026Royal Caribbean agreed to buy a 50% equity interest in Sandals and Beaches Resorts for about $3 billion. The resorts include 18 all-inclusive resorts in the Caribbean and three resorts under development. The company will use the equity method for the investment and expects the deal to close in early 2027. It arranged a $3 billion 364-day term loan that it can use only for this purchase.
  • August 20, 2026Royal Caribbean issued $1.25 billion of 5.550% senior notes due 2034. It used the money to repay part of its floating-rate term loans and other debt.
Show 3 older events
  • July 28, 2026Royal Caribbean reported Q2 2026 results. Revenue rose 6% to $4.8 billion. EPS was $4.20, down from $4.41, and adjusted EPS was $4.21, down from $4.38. The company raised its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.73 to $17.87. Legend of the Seas, the third ship of the Icon class, started service in July 2026.
  • April 30, 2026Royal Caribbean reported Q1 2026 results. Revenue rose 11% to $4.5 billion. EPS was $3.48 and adjusted EPS was $3.60. The company bought back $836 million of shares in the quarter. It lowered its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.10 to $17.50 because of higher fuel costs and the effect of geopolitical events on Middle East itineraries of TUI Cruises.
  • January 29, 2026Royal Caribbean reported 2025 results. Total revenue was $17.9 billion, EPS was $15.61 and adjusted EPS was $15.64. Q4 2025 adjusted EPS was $2.80, up from $1.63. The company gave 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $17.70 to $18.10 and announced the new Discovery Class of ships and 10 more ships for Celebrity River Cruises.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 27, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about January 28, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Sep 30, 2026Filed · rcl-20260930
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · rcl-20261027
  • 8-KOther company newsFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KNew material agreement and New debt or financial obligationFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KNew material agreementFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 10-QQuarterly report for the period ended Jun 30, 2026Filed · rcl-20260630
  • 8-KEarnings releaseFiled · rcl-20260728
  • 8-KChange of directors or officers and Investor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov
  • 8-KShareholder vote resultsFiled · rcl-20260528
  • 8-KInvestor disclosureFiled · Read it on sec.gov

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 884887)

Risks

  • Cruise demand depends on how much consumers spend on travel. A recession, a health crisis or a security event can cut bookings and prices quickly.
  • Geopolitical events changed some itineraries in 2026. Bookings for Mediterranean and West Coast of Mexico itineraries slowed in March and early April 2026, and TUI Cruises had lower results from Middle East itineraries.
  • Fuel cost $966 million in the first nine months of 2026. Swaps hedge 58% of the expected fuel use for 2026 and 53% for 2027, so higher fuel prices still reduce profit.
  • Debt was $22.36 billion at September 30, 2026, ships on order cost about $19.4 billion, and the Sandals purchase adds about $3 billion. Higher interest rates or weaker cash flow can slow buybacks and dividend growth.
  • The Sandals and Beaches partnership takes the group into all-inclusive resorts, a new type of business for it. If the resorts grow more slowly than planned, the return on about $3 billion can be low.

Balance sheet

Cash
$851M
Debt
$22.4B
Net debt
$21.5B
Interest cover
5.4×
times profit pays interest
Credit line
$6.6B
undrawn, to October 2028

Cash against debt

Cash$851M
Debt$22.4B

debt covered by cashnet debt $21.5B

When the debt is due

12 months$2.2B
Later$20.1B

Royal Caribbean funds its ships mainly with unsecured notes and term loans, and committed financing with sovereign guarantees covers about 80% of the cost of the ships on order. Total debt was $22.36 billion at September 30, 2026: $2.24 billion is due within one year and $20.12 billion is long-term.

Dividends

Dividend yield
1.6% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $336.98)
Paid per share
$5.50 in the last 12 months (4 payments)
Current annual rate
$6.00 ($1.50 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
22% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
September 17, 2026, $1.50 per share

Dividends per share by year

Royal Caribbean Group dividends per share by year
2016
$1.71
2017
$2.16
2018
$2.60
2019
$2.96
2020
$0.78
2021
$0.00
2022
$0.00
2023
$0.00
2024
$0.95
2025
$3.50

Over the last 10 years, the dividend grew by about 13.1% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 10, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Royal Caribbean Group

What does Royal Caribbean Group do?

Royal Caribbean Group is one of the largest cruise companies in the world. It owns three cruise brands, Royal Caribbean, Celebrity Cruises and Silversea, and it has a 50% share in TUI Cruises, which operates the Mein Schiff and Hapag-Lloyd brands. Its market cap is $90B at the current price of $336.98.

When does Royal Caribbean Group report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Royal Caribbean Group may report on January 28, 2027. It last reported results on October 27, 2026.

Is Royal Caribbean Group stock below its intrinsic value?

Royal Caribbean Group stock is far above intrinsic value. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Royal Caribbean Group?

The latest update is from October 27, 2026. Royal Caribbean reported Q3 2026 results.

What are the main risks for Royal Caribbean Group?

Cruise demand depends on how much consumers spend on travel. Geopolitical events changed some itineraries in 2026. Fuel cost $966 million in the first nine months of 2026.

How much debt and cash does Royal Caribbean Group have?

At September 30, 2026, Royal Caribbean Group had $22.4B of debt and $851M of cash.

Does Royal Caribbean Group pay a dividend?

Yes. Royal Caribbean Group paid $5.50 per share in the last 12 months. That is a dividend yield of 1.6% at the current price of $336.98. The latest ex-dividend date was September 17, 2026.

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