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WABRailroad equipment and services

Wabtec

Not investment advice. Kevin may own this stock. How we value stocks

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Updated

Price
$303.49
Intrinsic value
Intrinsic value from an AI estimate
Analysts view
Bullish
Discount category
Far above intrinsic value (AI estimate)
Pick status
Research only
Next earnings
Earnings Feb 10 · · estimated
History
Market cap
$51B
Shares of Oct 16, 2026
Yield at current rate
0.4%
Current annual rate, at the price of Nov 11, 2026
Dividend yield
0.3%
Last 12 months. Fewer payments or a raise
P/E (trailing)
37.7
Price of Nov 11, 2026
EPS (trailing)
$8.05
12 months to Sep 30, 2026
52-week range
$194.93 – $307.96
To Nov 12, 2026
Beta
0.93
Vs S&P 500, 5 years monthly, to Oct 30, 2026
Average volume
906K
3 months, to Nov 12, 2026

Check the numbers:ExchangeGoogle FinanceYahoo FinanceSEC filings

In short

Thesis
Wabtec trades above the AI estimate because investors pay for its fast earnings growth and large backlog, and only steady backlog conversion with higher margins in 2027 can support this price.
Gap
Can close. The 2027 guidance in February 2027 and the quarterly reports in 2027 show whether the backlog turns into sales at higher margins.

Company guidance: 2026 adjusted EPS of $10.85 to $11.05, raised and narrowed, and sales of $12.30 to $12.60 billion (, Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K))

Price history

About

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) makes equipment, systems, digital products and services for freight and passenger railroads, and for mining, marine and industrial markets. Its Freight segment sells locomotives, services and modernizations, components and digital products such as train control, signaling and inspection technology. Its Transit segment sells equipment, components and services for passenger trains and transit systems. Sales were $11.17 billion in 2025 and $3.12 billion in Q3 2026.

Wabtec bought Evident's Inspection Technologies division in July 2025, Frauscher Sensor Technology in December 2025 and Dellner Couplers in February 2026. The total backlog was $31.4 billion at September 30, 2026. The head office is in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Rafael Santana is Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

Thesis

Wabtec trades above the AI estimate because investors pay for its fast earnings growth, but its earnings depend on large locomotive orders and on rail activity in North America. Adjusted EPS rose 22.0% in Q3 2026 and the total backlog rose to $31.4 billion, but locomotive deliveries fell in the quarter and North American rail car builds were lower. The fast growth of 2025 and 2026 can still slow. For the price to hold, three things must be true.

The multi-year backlog must turn into sales at good margins. Services, digital products and the bought businesses must keep growing. And the adjusted operating margin must keep rising from 22.9% in Q3 2026 while Wabtec pays down the debt from its purchases. The Q4 2026 report with the 2027 guidance, expected in February 2027, is the next test.

Valuation

AI estimate, checked by Kevin. How it is made

Show the method

The intrinsic value for Wabtec is an AI estimate from November 11, 2026. It is not an analyst's value. An AI research agent calculated it from Wabtec's filings. The method is a multiple of 2027 adjusted EPS.

Adjusted EPS excludes non-cash amortization expense, which was $0.39 per share in Q3 2026, and restructuring and acquisition costs. The 2025 release (8-K, February 11, 2026) gives 2025 sales of $11.17 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.97. The Q3 2026 release (8-K, October 21, 2026) gives sales of $3.12 billion, adjusted EPS of $2.83, adjusted EPS of $8.29 for the first nine months, an adjusted operating margin of 22.9%, a 12-month backlog of $8,992 million, a total backlog of $31,435 million, total debt of $6.38 billion, and 2026 guidance for sales of $12.30 billion to $12.60 billion and adjusted EPS of $10.85 to $11.05. The Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 gives 167,802,384 shares at October 16, 2026.

EPS is after interest, so the estimate makes no debt adjustment. The estimate assumes 2026 adjusted EPS of about $10.95. The 2027 EPS and the multiples are assumptions. The low case assumes fewer locomotive deliveries and weak North American rail car builds, with 2027 adjusted EPS of $11.40, at 18 times.

It gives $205.20 per share. The base case assumes that the backlog turns into sales and the margin rises a little, with adjusted EPS of $12.20, at 21 times. It gives $256.20 per share. The high case assumes strong orders, growth in digital products and more repurchases, with adjusted EPS of $12.90, at 24 times.

It gives $309.60 per share. The estimate assumes weights of 25%, 50% and 25%. The weighted intrinsic value is $256.80 per share. Switching costs and intangible assets are the main sources of the advantage.

Railroads buy services, parts and modernizations for the locomotives and systems that Wabtec built, and Freight services sales rose 6.7% in Q3 2026. Its brake, train control and signaling products must meet strict safety rules, and a new supplier needs many years to prove them. But locomotive orders come in large contracts that rivals also bid for, and rail car builds move in cycles. The estimate expects the advantage to last 10 years or more, but not 20 years.

Checkpoints

  1. Oct 21, 2026Passed
    Q3 2026 results: margin and guidanceA higher adjusted operating margin with unchanged or higher 2026 guidance passes; a cut fails.Outcome: The adjusted operating margin rose 1.9 points to 22.9%, and Wabtec raised its adjusted EPS guidance to $10.85 to $11.05.
  2. Feb 10, 2027 · est.Pending
    Q4 2026 results and 2027 guidance2027 guidance for adjusted EPS growth of about 10% or more passes; lower growth fails.
  3. Apr 2027 · est.Pending
    Q1 2027 results: backlog and marginSales growth with a higher adjusted operating margin and a stable 12-month backlog passes; a falling backlog or margin fails.

Every passed and failed checkpoint across all picks

Recent events

  • November 4, 2026Wabtec issued $500 million of 5.900% senior notes due 2037.
  • October 21, 2026Wabtec reported Q3 2026 results. Sales rose 8.1% to $3.12 billion, GAAP EPS rose 33.7% to $2.42, and adjusted EPS rose 22.0% to $2.83. Wabtec raised and narrowed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $10.85 to $11.05 and kept sales guidance of $12.30 billion to $12.60 billion. It repurchased $305 million of shares in the quarter.
  • July 22, 2026Wabtec reported Q2 2026 results and raised its 2026 guidance to sales of $12.30 billion to $12.60 billion and adjusted EPS of $10.60 to $10.90.
Show 2 older events
  • February 11, 2026Wabtec reported 2025 results, with sales of $11.17 billion and adjusted EPS of $8.97. It gave 2026 guidance for adjusted EPS of $10.05 to $10.45, raised the quarterly dividend by 24% and raised its share repurchase authorization to $1.2 billion.
  • February 10, 2026Wabtec bought Dellner Couplers, a maker of train connection systems for passenger trains, for about $1.053 billion.

Latest news and filings

Last earnings
October 21, 2026 (8-K on sec.gov)
Next earnings
Expected about February 10, 2027. The company has not confirmed the date.

Every filing on SEC EDGAR (CIK 943452)

Risks

  • Freight demand depends on rail activity and rail car builds in North America. Lower builds reduced Components sales in Q3 2026, and fewer locomotive deliveries kept Equipment sales growth at 0.3%.
  • Locomotive orders come in a few large contracts. Delays in deliveries, customer financing or payments can move sales and cash flow between years.
  • Wabtec paid about $1.797 billion for Inspection Technologies, about $792 million for Frauscher and about $1.053 billion for Dellner Couplers. Weak results from them can cause goodwill impairments, and the purchases raised debt.
  • Wabtec makes and sells products in many countries. Tariffs, trade rules and currency changes can raise costs and change reported results.
  • Safety and emissions rules shape demand for locomotives and train control systems. Changes in these rules can delay customer orders.

Balance sheet

Cash
$480M
Debt
$6.4B
Net debt
$5.9B
Credit line
$1.6B
undrawn

Cash against debt

Cash$480M
Debt$6.4B

debt covered by cashnet debt $5.9B

When the debt is due

12 months$1.7B
Later$4.7B

Wabtec funds its business with senior notes, bank credit facilities and cash flow. At September 30, 2026, total debt was $6,379 million, of which $1,714 million was due within 12 months, and cash and cash equivalents were $0.48 billion.

Dividends

Yield at the current rate
0.4% (current annual rate, at today’s price)
Dividend yield
0.3% (last 12 months, at today’s price of $303.49)
Paid per share
$0.93 in the last 12 months (3 payments)
Current annual rate
$1.24 ($0.31 × 4 a year)
Payout ratio
15% of the last fiscal year’s earnings (the year that ended December 31, 2025)
Latest ex-dividend date
August 18, 2026, $0.31 per share

Fewer payments or a raise. The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend.

Dividends per share by year

Wabtec dividends per share by year
2016
$0.36
2017
$0.44
2018
$0.48
2019
$0.48
2020
$0.48
2021
$0.48
2022
$0.60
2023
$0.68
2024
$0.80
2025
$1.00

From 2020 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 15.8% a year. From 2015 to 2025, the dividend grew by about 13.6% a year.

Source: company filings and market data, read on November 13, 2026. The ex-dividend date is the first day a buyer no longer gets the next payment.

Questions about Wabtec

What does Wabtec do?

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) makes equipment, systems, digital products and services for freight and passenger railroads, and for mining, marine and industrial markets. Its market cap is $51B at the current price of $303.49.

When does Wabtec report earnings next?

This is an estimate: Wabtec may report on February 10, 2027. It last reported results on October 21, 2026.

Is Wabtec stock below its intrinsic value?

Wabtec stock is far above intrinsic value. The source of the intrinsic value is: AI estimate. This is general information, not advice.

What changed recently at Wabtec?

The latest update is from November 4, 2026. Wabtec issued $500 million of 5.900% senior notes due 2037.

What are the main risks for Wabtec?

Freight demand depends on rail activity and rail car builds in North America. Locomotive orders come in a few large contracts. Wabtec paid about $1.797 billion for Inspection Technologies, about $792 million for Frauscher and about $1.053 billion for Dellner Couplers.

How much debt and cash does Wabtec have?

At September 30, 2026, Wabtec had $6.4B of debt and $480M of cash.

Does Wabtec pay a dividend?

Yes. The current annual dividend of Wabtec is $1.24 per share. That is a dividend yield of 0.4% at the current price of $303.49. In the last 12 months, it paid $0.93 per share (0.3%). The last 12 months paid at least 25% less than the current annual rate. A payment may fall just outside the 12 months, or the company may have raised its dividend. The latest ex-dividend date was August 18, 2026.

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